Tragic-Mist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

279

lifetime

Volume

$25.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$92

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 08-11 20:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

55% 0% $-2

Other

21% — —

Politics

16% — —

Crypto

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	15	$1.8K	923	923	+0	No	$-2	03-03 21:58
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	15	$1.3K	700	700	+0	open	—	03-02 15:49
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	8	$1.2K	641	641	+0	open	—	03-03 20:11
Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	12	$1.0K	542	542	+0	open	—	03-03 22:04
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	20	$988	530	530	+0	open	—	02-11 06:14
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	6	$953	497	497	+0	open	—	03-02 23:05
Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	7	$947	490	490	+0	open	—	03-02 10:00
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$932	498	498	+0	open	—	03-03 14:48
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	13	$787	420	420	+0	open	—	02-14 06:10
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	23	$731	391	391	+0	open	—	03-03 20:06
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	12	$717	379	379	+0	open	—	03-03 20:03
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	8	$644	332	332	+0	open	—	01-28 06:36
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$636	336	336	+0	open	—	03-02 13:40
will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	4	$633	330	330	+0	open	—	02-11 06:19
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	4	$628	325	325	+0	open	—	03-02 17:56
will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	4	$628	321	321	+0	open	—	02-14 06:30
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$618	340	340	+0	open	—	03-03 00:45
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	9	$593	313	313	+0	open	—	03-03 18:26
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	4	$585	313	313	+0	open	—	03-03 02:46
will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	4	$571	297	297	+0	open	—	03-03 20:09
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$520	262	262	+0	open	—	01-22 08:21
Will France win Eurovision 2026?	5	$380	199	199	+0	open	—	03-02 10:08
Will the Florida Panthers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$363	188	188	-0	open	—	02-06 07:33
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	2	$350	179	179	+0	open	—	02-11 06:05
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	2	$347	177	177	+0	open	—	01-13 04:04
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	2	$345	181	181	+0	No	$-0	02-14 06:29
us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	2	$344	176	176	+0	open	—	02-14 06:15
will the us next strike iran on february 20 2026 et	4	$340	174	174	+0	open	—	02-15 03:15
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$338	173	173	+0	open	—	02-15 03:21
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$336	174	174	+0	open	—	02-15 02:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 20:34:33	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	91¢	$6	0x425fad…
08-11 14:34:18	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x1c2241…
07-09 01:18:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	57	94¢	$54	0x63f1b8…
07-08 19:18:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	57	95¢	$54	0xae72e4…
06-15 18:52:10	will bosnia and herzegovina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149716	No	SELL	47	97¢	$46	0x522811…
06-15 11:51:42	will bosnia and herzegovina reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149716	No	BUY	47	98¢	$46	0xa0e39d…
03-03 22:04:53	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	140	97¢	$136	0xdff2cd…
03-03 22:04:15	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	140	97¢	$136	0x3e39ac…
03-03 22:03:37	Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	SELL	144	95¢	$138	0xdd4b01…
03-03 22:02:31	Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	144	96¢	$138	0x9a2073…
03-03 21:59:07	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	140	94¢	$132	0x292173…
03-03 21:58:41	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	140	95¢	$133	0xc2a19b…
03-03 21:58:11	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	140	97¢	$135	0x16bf68…
03-03 21:57:23	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	140	97¢	$135	0x13a954…
03-03 20:11:17	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	143	93¢	$134	0x4f7ea5…
03-03 20:10:17	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	143	93¢	$134	0x57e0ef…
03-03 20:09:39	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	143	96¢	$138	0x8e17f9…
03-03 20:09:13	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	143	97¢	$139	0x4978aa…
03-03 20:07:39	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	134	97¢	$129	0x3aad4a…
03-03 20:06:57	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	134	97¢	$130	0x08614f…
03-03 20:06:35	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	148	92¢	$136	0xe953ff…
03-03 20:05:35	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	148	92¢	$136	0x4811d2…
03-03 20:03:49	Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	147	93¢	$137	0xa564c5…
03-03 20:03:15	Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	147	93¢	$137	0x9e226c…
03-03 18:26:29	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	155	94¢	$145	0x66c46d…
03-03 18:26:01	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	155	94¢	$145	0xb08e4f…
03-03 16:33:45	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	144	96¢	$139	0x23ac29…
03-03 16:33:11	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	144	97¢	$139	0x2fb046…
03-03 14:52:03	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	140	97¢	$136	0x48a52b…
03-03 14:51:33	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	140	97¢	$136	0xb6d517…
03-03 14:48:27	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	156	93¢	$145	0xc0575f…
03-03 14:47:57	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	156	93¢	$146	0x47e210…
03-03 14:46:59	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	SELL	141	98¢	$137	0x0ce795…
03-03 14:46:27	will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 113	No	BUY	141	98¢	$138	0xb0be7e…
03-03 12:26:35	will jordan spieth win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	64	98¢	$63	0xad6f1e…
03-03 11:02:51	will jordan spieth win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	64	97¢	$62	0x93a0d4…
03-03 10:38:49	will jordan spieth win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	38	97¢	$37	0x26696f…
03-03 10:38:19	will jordan spieth win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	38	97¢	$36	0xacd759…
03-03 10:35:51	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	No	SELL	101	96¢	$97	0x042a3c…
03-03 10:35:19	will xai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 497	No	BUY	101	97¢	$98	0x04b2e0…
03-03 07:22:11	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	155	93¢	$145	0x8b4c71…
03-03 07:21:35	Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	155	93¢	$145	0x71e43a…
03-03 07:20:59	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	SELL	156	95¢	$149	0x0e1bb0…
03-03 07:20:09	will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	No	BUY	156	96¢	$149	0xb0d8e6…
03-03 07:18:29	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	161	91¢	$147	0x76d636…
03-03 07:17:55	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	161	92¢	$147	0x49a37b…
03-03 04:28:49	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	160	93¢	$150	0xf87584…
03-03 04:28:15	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	160	94¢	$150	0xef8420…
03-03 04:27:45	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	154	97¢	$149	0xeed98c…
03-03 04:27:11	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	154	97¢	$150	0xf15e62…
03-03 02:46:59	Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	151	94¢	$142	0x518425…
03-03 02:46:33	Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	151	94¢	$142	0x38b8e8…
03-03 02:46:07	Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	161	94¢	$151	0xd55b1a…
03-03 02:45:41	Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	161	94¢	$151	0xf34ebb…
03-03 02:40:39	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	154	96¢	$147	0xe3817b…
03-03 02:40:13	will purdue win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	154	96¢	$147	0xb010e2…
03-03 00:45:59	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	170	90¢	$153	0xab2ebd…
03-03 00:45:27	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	170	90¢	$153	0x98c39f…
03-02 23:05:49	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	154	96¢	$148	0x39e766…
03-02 23:05:19	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	154	96¢	$148	0x553379…
03-02 23:04:51	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	147	98¢	$143	0xd6dcad…
03-02 23:04:19	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	147	98¢	$143	0x991148…
03-02 19:49:37	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	41	97¢	$39	0x22b2ae…
03-02 18:05:47	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x0df838…
03-02 18:05:35	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0x495612…
03-02 17:58:11	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	115	97¢	$111	0x4219bf…
03-02 17:57:41	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	115	97¢	$111	0xa22b7e…
03-02 17:56:49	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	164	97¢	$158	0x197a6c…
03-02 17:56:21	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	164	97¢	$159	0xd93337…
03-02 15:54:05	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	161	97¢	$156	0xaadd71…
03-02 15:53:31	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	161	97¢	$156	0x7197cc…
03-02 15:53:01	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	161	96¢	$155	0x86c05d…
03-02 15:52:33	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	161	97¢	$155	0x2d0a9a…
03-02 15:49:21	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	160	98¢	$157	0x7ecd4d…
03-02 15:48:55	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	160	98¢	$157	0xac7dfa…
03-02 15:46:59	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	171	91¢	$155	0x56691e…
03-02 15:46:23	Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	171	91¢	$156	0xf875ac…
03-02 13:40:11	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	168	94¢	$159	0x2ffe51…
03-02 13:39:43	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	168	95¢	$159	0xfab42a…
03-02 13:38:05	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	162	93¢	$152	0xa3ecea…
03-02 13:37:35	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	162	94¢	$152	0x63e260…
03-02 13:37:01	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	162	93¢	$150	0x35413e…
03-02 13:36:29	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	162	93¢	$151	0x963ba9…
03-02 11:40:59	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	170	95¢	$163	0x3eb983…
03-02 11:40:33	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	170	96¢	$163	0xa0c11a…
03-02 10:09:35	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	160	97¢	$155	0x1256ab…
03-02 10:09:11	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	160	97¢	$155	0x5d9860…
03-02 10:08:43	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	171	95¢	$163	0xfeaa3e…
03-02 10:08:13	Will France win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	171	96¢	$164	0xfe1981…
03-02 10:06:43	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	173	96¢	$166	0x3283aa…
03-02 10:06:11	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	173	96¢	$166	0x75ea38…
03-02 10:04:45	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	168	95¢	$159	0x6f30ac…
03-02 10:04:19	Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	168	95¢	$159	0x331a6a…
03-02 10:03:23	will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	167	96¢	$159	0xbd190a…
03-02 10:02:55	will jon rahm win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	167	96¢	$160	0xdba2ae…
03-02 10:00:47	Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	SELL	174	97¢	$169	0x93bb0f…
03-02 10:00:21	Will the Orlando Magic win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	174	97¢	$169	0x79c3ad…
02-15 03:21:23	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	173	97¢	$169	0x71a83d…
02-15 03:21:01	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	173	98¢	$169	0x73dd8b…
02-15 03:16:13	Will the Utah Mammoth win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	39	98¢	$38	0x88865c…