Dearest-Clove — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$156

Unrealized P&L

-$39

Hit rate

95.8%

Resolved

154

Trades

220

lifetime

Volume

$8.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$39

Open exposure

$186

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-28 11:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

41% 100% +$45

Politics

33% 83% -$168

Crypto

18% 97% -$50

Sports

6% 100% +$16

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No		+313	$222	60¢	$186	-$36	10-27 17:58
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No		+3	$2	1¢	$0	-$2	10-27 13:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	4	$618	445	193	+252	No	+$10	09-30 18:57
Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	6	$553	288	288	+0	Yes	+$1	10-13 13:11
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	2	$546	299	299	+0	No	+$7	10-19 22:22
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$518	361	256	+105	Yes	+$17	10-25 23:14
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	5	$409	214	214	+0	open	—	10-28 11:10
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	2	$391	198	198	+0	No	+$4	08-31 13:47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	1	$248	249	0	+249	No	+$1	09-14 16:52
Will Uzbekistan concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?	1	$244	248	0	+248	No	+$4	06-27 20:53
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	1	$242	245	0	+245	No	+$3	09-02 21:46
will new zealand reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120762	1	$242	244	0	+244	No	+$2	06-26 22:10
Billions FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$238	239	0	+239	Yes	+$1	05-04 22:02
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 in August?	2	$236	236	0	+236	No	+$0	08-31 16:52
LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$235	239	0	+239	Yes	+$4	09-10 12:15
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	4	$222	313	0	+313	open	—	10-27 17:58
Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch	1	$219	220	0	+220	Yes	+$0	09-17 18:34
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	1	$202	204	0	+204	No	+$2	08-17 04:06
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	1	$202	203	0	+203	No	+$1	08-21 10:22
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$199	212	0	+212	No	+$13	08-13 00:28
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$187	189	0	+189	Yes	+$2	05-29 02:36
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$187	187	0	+187	Yes	+$0	05-26 19:07
Will Denmark advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$186	186	0	+186	Yes	+$1	05-11 11:30
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?	1	$183	183	0	+183	Yes	+$0	04-30 20:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$181	187	0	+187	No	+$6	05-19 16:35
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	1	$147	148	0	+148	No	+$0	08-05 06:43
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	1	$144	154	0	+154	No	+$10	08-07 17:19
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	1	$143	149	0	+149	Yes	-$143	08-11 18:58
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	1	$143	144	0	+144	No	+$1	08-10 10:09
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	3	$125	130	130	+0	No	-$57	07-31 14:39
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?	2	$67	33	33	+0	No	+$0	09-29 11:34
will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	1	$62	62	0	+62	No	+$0	07-31 18:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 11:10:08	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	109	96¢	$105	0x84173a…
10-28 08:24:47	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	109	95¢	$104	0xa9c889…
10-28 06:16:16	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	104	98¢	$103	0xdbaf3c…
10-28 02:44:57	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x120582…
10-27 21:55:56	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xcffda4…
10-27 17:58:44	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x18e17b…
10-27 16:52:30	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	98	94¢	$92	0x07f860…
10-27 13:07:39	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x25552e…
10-26 16:54:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xa758eb…
10-26 15:13:33	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x98b421…
10-25 23:14:02	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	105	87¢	$91	0xd657c4…
10-20 09:02:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	306	71¢	$217	0x183bb6…
10-19 22:22:12	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	SELL	299	93¢	$276	0x7b3639…
10-19 17:05:24	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?	No	BUY	299	90¢	$269	0x3044d3…
10-13 21:20:21	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x97c30a…
10-13 13:11:35	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	225	96¢	$217	0x6db48a…
10-13 13:11:34	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	96¢	$10	0xc503e5…
10-13 13:11:34	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0x1057de…
10-13 07:02:25	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xeeac3f…
10-13 06:03:09	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	96¢	$7	0xbad08c…
10-13 05:57:21	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xd92b9f…
10-13 05:57:18	Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	230	96¢	$221	0x2279e3…
10-10 23:46:48	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x536ed1…
10-07 18:13:09	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x2c7c47…
10-05 10:50:50	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	256	84¢	$215	0x18b815…
10-05 02:21:01	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	256	83¢	$212	0xe2ccc3…
10-03 11:20:42	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3f40a1…
09-30 23:53:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	12	99¢	$11	0xe418f0…
09-30 18:57:18	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x4eafa7…
09-30 17:25:47	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x4f06b7…
09-29 18:25:09	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xb4ffc0…
09-29 15:41:59	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	219	98¢	$214	0x4ede07…
09-29 11:34:35	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xb0c706…
09-29 00:27:17	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	193	97¢	$188	0x013131…
09-28 18:10:12	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3e12fc…
09-27 15:20:53	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	193	95¢	$184	0xef2d31…
09-25 03:52:27	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$25	0xfbe36d…
09-24 04:01:35	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x452b74…
09-17 20:36:36	Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xac4e09…
09-17 18:34:10	Tread FDV above $40M one day after launch	Yes	BUY	220	100¢	$219	0x8a0a42…
09-17 18:31:57	Tread FDV above $100M one day after launch	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x1b08d1…
09-14 16:52:07	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	249	100¢	$248	0xb5a3b4…
09-12 20:21:46	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xa55d93…
09-10 19:40:10	LAPTOP FDV above $350M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xb23667…
09-10 12:15:30	LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	239	98¢	$235	0x38e7d0…
09-09 16:50:04	Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4543ad…
09-02 21:46:04	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	245	99¢	$242	0xcccbc2…
08-31 16:52:19	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 in August?	No	BUY	235	100¢	$235	0xfca31e…
08-31 15:52:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb83afd…
08-31 15:01:22	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9526a2…
08-31 14:58:04	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x322e91…
08-31 14:58:04	Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x316535…
08-31 14:20:12	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x1a9c63…
08-31 13:47:25	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	SELL	198	100¢	$198	0xe47447…
08-31 11:17:12	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xdbb06c…
08-31 11:15:36	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x01a1a5…
08-29 18:35:00	Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $280 in August?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x37739c…
08-27 19:07:00	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	198	98¢	$193	0x9f5ee6…
08-25 06:04:27	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc43b73…
08-21 10:22:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	203	100¢	$202	0x58bebe…
08-18 23:51:25	Will Alexander Vindman be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Florida?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xce181d…
08-17 04:06:51	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	BUY	204	99¢	$202	0xe08c83…
08-16 07:17:46	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa2ad53…
08-14 01:34:40	will wti dip to 55 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x83fd18…
08-13 00:28:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	212	94¢	$199	0xd96df3…
08-11 18:58:00	Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	No	BUY	149	96¢	$143	0xffbd2f…
08-10 12:39:27	will xauusd dip to 3500 in august 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x27e101…
08-10 10:09:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	No	BUY	144	99¢	$143	0x4edc17…
08-09 23:23:57	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x24bf3f…
08-09 05:07:03	Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0ab3f0…
08-07 18:07:55	will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbe80c4…
08-07 17:19:24	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	154	93¢	$144	0xc1319c…
08-06 07:15:44	will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xef964b…
08-05 06:43:36	Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	No	BUY	148	100¢	$147	0xd0ea54…
08-03 15:32:30	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in august 2026	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xc14570…
07-31 18:28:42	will bitcoin reach 67pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xbf0e40…
07-31 14:39:08	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	130	26¢	$34	0xee3cc6…
07-30 18:34:08	GRVT FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x1b0687…
07-28 02:25:03	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x414b74…
07-26 00:43:37	will xauusd reach 4400 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x77badc…
07-24 22:58:06	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xb2dbef…
07-24 14:52:01	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xccdd85…
07-24 10:36:27	will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026 812	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3bbf1f…
07-23 10:04:40	will spy dip to 680 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9d2f13…
07-23 05:55:01	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	122	70¢	$85	0x044b38…
07-23 02:17:27	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	8	70¢	$6	0x8bce1a…
07-23 00:48:10	will xagusd dip to 44 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb58148…
07-22 22:47:48	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x255840…
07-22 05:04:03	will xagusd dip to 46 in july 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5a05ef…
07-21 23:34:58	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xa7109f…
07-21 19:53:30	will spy dip to 680 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x63794e…
07-21 18:51:49	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe814d4…
07-21 06:43:49	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3dc83e…
07-20 14:45:13	will bitcoin dip to 50k in july 2026 812	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x04eadc…
07-19 16:42:51	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2dcc1f…
06-29 13:59:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	Yes	BUY	71	85¢	$60	0x1e03f0…
06-29 12:36:53	will xauusd reach 4600 in june 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x0a678e…
06-29 01:45:40	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,700 (HIGH) in June?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$28	0x8d522d…
06-29 01:42:19	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	99¢	$43	0x59ed18…
06-28 13:50:37	Will Silver (SI) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x83d17b…