Bronze-Raisin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$109

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 07-17 04:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

68% 67% +$17

Politics

21% — —

Crypto

11% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	2	$875	450	450	+0	open	—	05-08 05:25
Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	3	$869	440	440	+0	open	—	05-10 04:54
Spread: ENPPI (-1.5)	1	$464	483	0	+483	open	—	04-27 07:15
Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)	1	$460	489	0	+489	open	—	05-24 05:14
Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)	1	$440	450	0	+450	Como 1907	+$10	05-10 05:06
Spread: FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (-1.5)	1	$437	470	0	+470	FC UTA Arad	+$33	05-08 05:36
will russia capture novodmytrivka by july 31 20260714215009495	4	$162	900	900	+0	open	—	07-17 03:23
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	4	$124	730	730	+0	open	—	07-01 03:37
will russia enter malokaterynivka by december 31 2026	5	$117	866	866	+0	open	—	07-17 04:29
will russia enter krasnopillya by july 31	4	$61	790	790	+0	open	—	07-01 07:57
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?	5	$55	581	581	+0	open	—	06-17 08:09
Spread: Club Independiente Petrolero (-1.5)	3	$40	773	773	+0	open	—	05-01 01:03
Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)	2	$26	900	0	+900	RB Leipzig	$-26	05-09 08:16
spl nsr ett 2026 04 24 spread away 1pt5	2	$8	639	0	+639	open	—	04-15 08:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-17 04:29:04	will russia enter malokaterynivka by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	13	7¢	$1	0x32e7aa…
07-17 04:28:27	will russia enter malokaterynivka by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	415	7¢	$29	0x7c3118…
07-17 04:28:25	will russia enter malokaterynivka by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	438	7¢	$31	0x8fbb0d…
07-17 03:25:46	will russia enter malokaterynivka by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	448	6¢	$29	0xea3ab2…
07-17 03:25:37	will russia enter malokaterynivka by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	418	6¢	$27	0x19f633…
07-17 03:23:18	will russia capture novodmytrivka by july 31 20260714215009495	Yes	SELL	445	10¢	$44	0x324c57…
07-17 03:23:16	will russia capture novodmytrivka by july 31 20260714215009495	Yes	SELL	455	10¢	$46	0x3aa5c4…
07-17 02:26:42	will russia capture novodmytrivka by july 31 20260714215009495	Yes	BUY	465	8¢	$37	0xd39781…
07-17 02:26:30	will russia capture novodmytrivka by july 31 20260714215009495	Yes	BUY	435	8¢	$35	0x1a7988…
07-01 07:57:26	will russia enter krasnopillya by july 31	Yes	SELL	410	4¢	$16	0x0752a3…
07-01 07:57:13	will russia enter krasnopillya by july 31	Yes	SELL	380	4¢	$15	0x31da62…
07-01 06:44:38	will russia enter krasnopillya by july 31	Yes	BUY	390	4¢	$15	0xc3b94f…
07-01 06:44:26	will russia enter krasnopillya by july 31	Yes	BUY	400	4¢	$15	0x5e672a…
07-01 03:37:31	U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	SELL	330	9¢	$30	0x12ff8f…
07-01 03:37:19	U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	SELL	400	9¢	$36	0xbaedf9…
07-01 02:56:59	U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	310	8¢	$25	0x1f61cb…
07-01 02:56:16	U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?	Yes	BUY	420	8¢	$34	0xec810b…
06-17 08:09:50	Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x297f01…
06-17 07:56:10	Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?	Yes	SELL	280	5¢	$14	0x74a7e3…
06-17 07:53:47	Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?	Yes	SELL	295	4¢	$12	0x5355b6…
06-17 06:42:29	Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?	Yes	BUY	266	5¢	$13	0x564afb…
06-17 06:42:17	Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks by June 30?	Yes	BUY	315	5¢	$16	0x608de4…
05-24 05:14:24	Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)	Chongqing Tonglianglong FC	BUY	489	94¢	$460	0xc494cb…
05-10 05:06:14	Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)	Como 1907	BUY	450	98¢	$440	0x9489b3…
05-10 04:54:02	Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x1de4f7…
05-10 04:53:38	Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	416	99¢	$411	0xa3ee56…
05-10 03:13:39	Will Australia send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	440	99¢	$434	0x1d6583…
05-09 08:16:07	Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)	FC St. Pauli 1910	BUY	440	3¢	$13	0x1fcf9d…
05-09 08:15:53	Spread: FC St. Pauli 1910 (-1.5)	FC St. Pauli 1910	BUY	460	3¢	$13	0x3721e8…
05-08 05:36:03	Spread: FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc (-1.5)	FC UTA Arad	BUY	470	93¢	$437	0x4bd9a8…
05-08 05:25:31	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	450	97¢	$437	0xb4f2c3…
05-08 03:06:04	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	450	97¢	$437	0x48b48b…
05-01 01:03:34	Spread: Club Independiente Petrolero (-1.5)	Club Independiente Petrolero	SELL	773	0¢	$1	0x12543d…
04-27 07:15:58	Spread: ENPPI (-1.5)	Zamalek SC	BUY	483	96¢	$464	0x53110d…
04-15 09:50:24	Spread: Club Independiente Petrolero (-1.5)	Club Independiente Petrolero	BUY	385	5¢	$19	0x50757c…
04-15 09:50:12	Spread: Club Independiente Petrolero (-1.5)	Club Independiente Petrolero	BUY	388	5¢	$19	0x370d3b…
04-15 08:27:12	spl nsr ett 2026 04 24 spread away 1pt5	Al Ettifaq Saudi Club	BUY	300	1¢	$4	0x314bf4…
04-15 08:25:26	spl nsr ett 2026 04 24 spread away 1pt5	Al Ettifaq Saudi Club	BUY	339	1¢	$4	0xc5666c…