Innocent-Marshland — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$101

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 05-11 20:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

56% 26% $-17

Politics

39% 45% $-5

Crypto

3% 0% $-3

Tech

2% 100% +$6

Activity

No trades on file.

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
x banned in uk by march 31	2	$31	34	+34	No	+$3	01-10 09:51
will trump say transgender this week january 18	1	$10	13	+13	Yes	+$3	01-10 09:47
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	1	$10	34	+34	Yes	$-10	01-10 09:51
will trump say ass this week january 18	1	$10	16	+16	Yes	+$6	01-10 09:48
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	1	$5	26	+26	No	$-5	05-02 15:29
will powell say good afternoon during march press conference	1	$5	263	+263	Yes	$-5	03-18 17:11
btc updown 5m 1776508800	2	$2	16	+16	Down	$-2	04-18 10:44
will trump say oil 15 times during oil executive meetings on friday	2	$2	4	+4	Yes	$-0	01-09 02:37
Will Starmer say "Anti-Semitism" or "Anti-Semitic" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	1	$1	2	+2	No	$-1	05-02 15:35
will trumps approval rating be between 42pt5 and 42pt9 on january 9 2026	1	$1	10	+10	No	$-1	01-09 02:59
will trumps approval rating be between 41pt0 and 41pt4 on january 9 2026	1	$1	32	+32	No	$-1	01-09 02:59
maduro mugshot released by january 9	1	$1	50	+50	No	$-1	01-09 02:43
will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on january 9 2026	1	$1	31	+31	No	$-1	01-09 02:59
will trumps approval rating be less than 41pt0 on january 9 2026	1	$1	41	+41	No	$-1	01-09 02:59
Will Lutfur Rahman win the 2026 London Borough of Tower Hamlets mayoral election?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	04-18 10:30
nothing ever happens january 581	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	01-09 02:48
will israel launch a major ground offensive in gaza by march 31	1	$1	5	+5	No	$-1	01-09 02:55
will trump say million or billion or trillion 12 times during oil executive meetings on friday	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	$-1	01-09 02:34
nothing ever happens february 452	1	$1	2	+2	Something	$-1	02-03 10:03
btc updown 5m 1773854400	1	$1	3	+3	Up	$-1	03-18 17:20
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$1	5	+5	No	$-1	02-03 15:05
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$1	29	+29	No	$-1	02-03 15:04
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	04-18 10:28
will trump say venezuela 7 times during oil executive meetings on friday	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	$-1	01-09 02:34
trump out as president by march 31	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	01-09 02:44
will trump say biden during oil executive meetings on friday	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	$-1	01-09 02:40
will venezuela give the us oil by january 31	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	01-09 03:06
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	1	$1	7	+7	Yes	+$6	04-18 10:28
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	01-09 03:05
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 18	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	+$1	01-10 09:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 20:32:30	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8fcdea…
05-02 15:35:20	Will Starmer say "Anti-Semitism" or "Anti-Semitic" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xfe948a…
05-02 15:31:56	Will Starmer say "Liz" or "Truss" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x8454e1…
05-02 15:31:02	Will Starmer say "Jewish" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xc6eb30…
05-02 15:29:32	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xf345de…
04-18 10:44:32	btc updown 5m 1776508800	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x5ef776…
04-18 10:43:10	btc updown 5m 1776508800	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa297bb…
04-18 10:30:06	Will Lutfur Rahman win the 2026 London Borough of Tower Hamlets mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xbde634…
04-18 10:28:54	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xe21e63…
04-18 10:28:50	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x6d8bec…
03-18 17:20:41	btc updown 5m 1773854400	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x1b947c…
03-18 17:11:03	will powell say good afternoon during march press conference	No	BUY	263	2¢	$5	0xad503c…
02-03 15:05:24	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x184e77…
02-03 15:04:58	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x8ad2c9…
02-03 10:03:56	nothing ever happens february 452	Nothing	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x868aae…
01-10 09:51:40	x banned in uk by march 31	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xf17b80…
01-10 09:51:00	Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	No	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x6a24ae…
01-10 09:48:58	will trump say ass this week january 18	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x0a5820…
01-10 09:47:26	will trump say transgender this week january 18	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x4dc236…
01-10 09:32:22	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 18	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf1144a…
01-10 09:31:44	x banned in uk by march 31	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x81236f…
01-09 03:06:14	will venezuela give the us oil by january 31	Yes	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x993d7f…
01-09 03:05:34	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xe59f2a…
01-09 03:03:40	will mamdani make nyc buses free by march 31	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xdbe16b…
01-09 02:59:40	will trumps approval rating be less than 41pt0 on january 9 2026	Yes	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0x87a361…
01-09 02:59:32	will trumps approval rating be between 41pt0 and 41pt4 on january 9 2026	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x2eb8a0…
01-09 02:59:12	will trumps approval rating be between 42pt5 and 42pt9 on january 9 2026	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0bcf1b…
01-09 02:59:00	will trumps approval rating be at least 43pt0 on january 9 2026	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0x823be5…
01-09 02:55:00	will israel launch a major ground offensive in gaza by march 31	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc5ef7a…
01-09 02:48:56	nothing ever happens january 581	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x401fa7…
01-09 02:44:44	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x5f9bf8…
01-09 02:43:14	maduro mugshot released by january 9	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x41d72a…
01-09 02:40:02	will trump say biden during oil executive meetings on friday	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xce5afb…
01-09 02:37:54	will trump say oil 15 times during oil executive meetings on friday	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x4fe4a6…
01-09 02:34:36	will trump say venezuela 7 times during oil executive meetings on friday	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x190943…
01-09 02:34:24	will trump say million or billion or trillion 12 times during oil executive meetings on friday	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xc9c391…
01-09 02:31:02	will trump say oil 15 times during oil executive meetings on friday	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x8a3f59…