Will Starmer say "Liz" or "Truss" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
open
Total volume
$187
Trades
51
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$9
Latest YES mid
32¢
Latest NO mid
68¢
End date
2026-05-06
First seen
2026-05-02
last 05-20 14:27
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $22 | $19 | +$3 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $7 | $17 | $11 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $8 | $50 | $42 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $16 | $20 | $3 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $36 | $43 | $7 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $0 | $5 | $5 |
| Median | 2 | $3 | $1 | +$2 |
| Below median | 9 | $1 | $13 | $12 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $36 | $36 |
| unranked | 4 | $13 | $8 | +$5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spry-Bondsman 0x5569…c927 | No | +53 | $30 | $35 | 3 | 05-09 17:37 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +51 | $22 | $22 | 3 | 05-07 11:23 |
| Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | +21 | $7 | $7 | 5 | 05-19 21:49 |
| Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | +20 | $12 | $12 | 4 | 05-19 15:14 |
| Blond-Bug 0x69d0…b0ca | Yes | +19 | $9 | $15 | 2 | 05-19 15:27 |
| Stormy-Urgency 0x13a9…e573 | Yes | +17 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 05-06 02:22 |
| Teeming-Puppet 0x4388…5050 | No | +12 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 05-19 15:14 |
| Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-20 14:16 |
| Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-20 14:16 |
| Tattered-Columnist 0x8457…87fd | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-20 14:27 |
| Staid-Sovereignty 0x4ea9…1651 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-16 07:33 |
| Infantile-Coleslaw 0x45e7…3577 | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-02 02:07 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-20 12:10 |
| Flat-Waterskiing 0xb0de…c36f | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-20 13:15 |
| Pink-Balcony-Wick 0x3dd3…ccac | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-20 00:46 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-09 17:37 |
| Better-Consensus 0xeee3…4696 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-20 12:10 |
| Inconsequential-Spider 0xc2bc…1485 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-19 15:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x49a0…a0a6 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-20 00:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x87ba…9fd1 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 14:40 |
| Watchful-Ketchup 0x768a…4f50 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 02:32 |
| Innocent-Marshland 0x48e0…1845 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-02 15:31 |
| Overlooked-Shred 0x903c…3787 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-19 14:52 |
| Mean-Pronunciation 0x6c96…959f | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 11:23 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-20 14:27:44 | Weary-Chassis 0x7d8e…092d | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x49411b… |
| 05-20 14:27:44 | Tattered-Columnist 0x8457…87fd | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x49411b… |
| 05-20 14:16:48 | Every-Alligator 0xa16a…33a1 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x3dfdc1… |
| 05-20 14:16:48 | Past-Misrepresentation 0xba17…92b4 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3dfdc1… |
| 05-20 13:15:23 | Grown-Lyre 0x48de…0c51 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x93412c… |
| 05-20 13:15:23 | Flat-Waterskiing 0xb0de…c36f | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x93412c… |
| 05-20 12:10:46 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1b807a… |
| 05-20 12:10:46 | Better-Consensus 0xeee3…4696 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x1b807a… |
| 05-20 00:46:54 | (anonymous) 0x49a0…a0a6 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x6759cb… |
| 05-20 00:46:54 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6759cb… |
| 05-20 00:46:07 | Pink-Balcony-Wick 0x3dd3…ccac | No | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x6f7dc4… |
| 05-20 00:46:07 | Humming-Tactics 0xfa2d…9a97 | No | SELL | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x6f7dc4… |
| 05-19 21:49:20 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0x70d525… |
| 05-19 21:49:20 | Weary-Chassis 0x7d8e…092d | No | BUY | 6 | 48¢ | $3 | 0x70d525… |
| 05-19 21:49:20 | Humming-Tactics 0xfa2d…9a97 | No | SELL | 1 | 49¢ | $1 | 0x70d525… |
| 05-19 15:27:50 | Humming-Tactics 0xfa2d…9a97 | No | SELL | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0x2a0543… |
| 05-19 15:27:50 | Blond-Bug 0x69d0…b0ca | Yes | SELL | 5 | 58¢ | $3 | 0x2a0543… |
| 05-19 15:14:34 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | BUY | 2 | 62¢ | $1 | 0x060e97… |
| 05-19 15:14:34 | Humming-Tactics 0xfa2d…9a97 | No | BUY | 11 | 35¢ | $4 | 0x060e97… |
| 05-19 15:14:34 | Teeming-Puppet 0x4388…5050 | No | BUY | 10 | 60¢ | $6 | 0x060e97… |
| 05-19 15:14:34 | Blond-Bug 0x69d0…b0ca | Yes | BUY | 24 | 52¢ | $12 | 0x060e97… |
| 05-19 15:02:54 | Inconsequential-Spider 0xc2bc…1485 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 38¢ | $1 | 0xa56879… |
| 05-19 15:02:54 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | BUY | 3 | 62¢ | $2 | 0xa56879… |
| 05-19 14:52:03 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 1 | 18¢ | $0 | 0xa623f0… |
| 05-19 14:52:03 | Overlooked-Shred 0x903c…3787 | No | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0xa623f0… |
| 05-16 07:33:32 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xdc00da… |
| 05-16 07:33:32 | Staid-Sovereignty 0x4ea9…1651 | No | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0xdc00da… |
| 05-10 14:40:12 | (anonymous) 0x87ba…9fd1 | No | BUY | 2 | 71¢ | $1 | 0xd7d904… |
| 05-10 14:40:12 | Minty-Favorite 0xfc26…4b92 | No | SELL | 7 | 72¢ | $5 | 0xd7d904… |
| 05-10 14:40:12 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0xd7d904… |
| 05-09 17:37:31 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0xc987e9… |
| 05-09 17:37:31 | Spry-Bondsman 0x5569…c927 | No | SELL | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0xc987e9… |
| 05-08 21:15:05 | Spry-Bondsman 0x5569…c927 | No | BUY | 7 | 70¢ | $5 | 0xb92fb5… |
| 05-08 21:15:05 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 7 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xb92fb5… |
| 05-08 05:55:06 | Teeming-Puppet 0x4388…5050 | No | BUY | 2 | 37¢ | $1 | 0x79535e… |
| 05-08 05:55:06 | Untimely-Elimination 0xdd42…9588 | No | SELL | 2 | 37¢ | $1 | 0x79535e… |
| 05-07 11:23:28 | Mean-Pronunciation 0x6c96…959f | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x4a5e33… |
| 05-07 11:23:28 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x4a5e33… |
| 05-06 05:58:48 | Untimely-Elimination 0xdd42…9588 | No | BUY | 2 | 60¢ | $1 | 0x6a404b… |
| 05-06 05:58:48 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | Yes | BUY | 2 | 40¢ | $1 | 0x6a404b… |
| 05-06 02:32:34 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 45¢ | $22 | 0x36e2f9… |
| 05-06 02:32:34 | Spry-Bondsman 0x5569…c927 | No | BUY | 50 | 55¢ | $28 | 0x36e2f9… |
| 05-06 02:32:34 | Watchful-Ketchup 0x768a…4f50 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 45¢ | $1 | 0x36e2f9… |
| 05-06 02:22:44 | Minty-Favorite 0xfc26…4b92 | No | BUY | 7 | 57¢ | $4 | 0xb286ac… |
| 05-06 02:22:44 | Stormy-Urgency 0x13a9…e573 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 43¢ | $3 | 0xb286ac… |
| 05-05 05:24:10 | Stormy-Urgency 0x13a9…e573 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 43¢ | $4 | 0x42116d… |
| 05-05 05:24:10 | Courageous-Lard 0xeb74…2f5a | No | BUY | 10 | 57¢ | $6 | 0x42116d… |
| 05-02 15:31:56 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x8454e1… |
| 05-02 15:31:56 | Innocent-Marshland 0x48e0…1845 | No | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0x8454e1… |
| 05-02 02:07:24 | Grown-Lyre 0x48de…0c51 | No | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0xec5828… |
| 05-02 02:07:24 | Infantile-Coleslaw 0x45e7…3577 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0xec5828… |