Minty-Favorite — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$118

Unrealized P&L

-$18

Hit rate

18.7%

Resolved

Trades

763

lifetime

Volume

$13.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

$134

1 position

First seen

2026-04-24

last 06-11 07:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

76% 20% $-92

Crypto

18% 0% $-5

Politics

5% 0% $-5

Sports

0% 0% $-16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 196 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?	No		+1,973	$152	7¢	$134	$-18	06-11 15:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	241	$8.0K	38,793	37,943	+850	open	—	05-14 15:25
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	8	$1.5K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	05-12 01:09
Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?	10	$372	485	94	+391	open	—	05-01 22:58
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	1	$184	302	0	+302	open	—	06-05 18:33
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?	13	$166	2,185	0	+2,185	open	—	06-11 15:33
will the senate pass a reconciliation bill by june 5 388	2	$116	361	180	+180	open	—	06-04 23:22
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?	3	$108	100	100	+0	open	—	05-01 22:55
Will Trump say "Mars" at The Villages on May 1?	3	$67	38	38	+0	open	—	05-01 22:55
will the senate pass a reconciliation bill by june 13 728	5	$51	725	0	+725	open	—	06-05 08:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	10	$50	106	0	+106	open	—	04-25 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	10	$50	336	0	+336	open	—	04-26 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	10	$50	241	0	+241	open	—	04-26 00:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	10	$50	147	0	+147	open	—	04-25 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	10	$50	108	0	+108	open	—	04-25 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	10	$50	197	0	+197	open	—	04-25 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	10	$50	113	0	+113	open	—	04-25 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	10	$50	129	0	+129	open	—	04-25 23:14
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	10	$50	74	0	+74	open	—	04-26 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	10	$50	86	0	+86	open	—	04-26 16:55
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	10	$50	80	0	+80	open	—	04-26 19:43
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	10	$50	80	0	+80	open	—	04-26 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	10	$50	78	0	+78	open	—	04-26 17:44
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	10	$50	69	0	+69	open	—	04-26 18:43
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	10	$50	69	0	+69	open	—	04-26 20:44
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	10	$50	67	0	+67	open	—	04-26 19:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	10	$50	75	0	+75	open	—	04-25 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	10	$49	78	0	+78	open	—	04-26 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	10	$48	71	0	+71	open	—	04-25 23:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	9	$45	60	0	+60	open	—	04-26 19:44
Will Trump say "Soleimani" at The Villages on May 1?	2	$45	25	25	+0	open	—	05-01 22:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 15:33:42	FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?	No	BUY	1,111	8¢	$84	0xe2a104…
06-11 07:24:19	FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?	No	BUY	11	6¢	$1	0x22c8a9…
06-11 03:26:49	FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?	No	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x80f072…
06-11 03:18:15	FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?	No	BUY	54	6¢	$3	0xf1be04…
06-11 03:17:19	FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?	No	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0xb6e953…
06-11 03:16:52	FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?	No	BUY	124	8¢	$10	0x8554c7…
06-11 00:56:48	FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?	No	BUY	221	8¢	$18	0x06e52b…
06-11 00:56:07	FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?	No	BUY	417	8¢	$33	0x371ebc…
06-05 18:33:16	Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	No	BUY	302	61¢	$184	0xa79149…
06-05 18:33:07	graham platner drops out before maine senate dem primary	Yes	SELL	217	2¢	$4	0x42bc1d…
06-05 08:56:19	will the senate pass a reconciliation bill by june 13 728	No	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x3e6b26…
06-05 08:46:46	will the senate pass a reconciliation bill by june 13 728	No	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0xe9a07a…
06-05 08:46:46	will the senate pass a reconciliation bill by june 13 728	No	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x17ab56…
06-05 08:45:42	will the senate pass a reconciliation bill by june 13 728	No	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x2926d4…
06-04 23:22:18	will the senate pass a reconciliation bill by june 5 388	No	SELL	180	32¢	$58	0x25b8a1…
06-04 17:34:30	graham platner drops out before maine senate dem primary	Yes	BUY	63	6¢	$4	0x25de17…
06-04 17:32:52	graham platner drops out before maine senate dem primary	Yes	BUY	154	4¢	$5	0x396446…
06-04 17:08:57	will the senate pass a reconciliation bill by june 13 728	No	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x1e4705…
06-04 17:06:03	will the senate pass a reconciliation bill by june 5 388	No	BUY	361	16¢	$58	0x22e56d…
05-15 09:10:33	Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xda4854…
05-14 15:25:53	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	729	3¢	$21	0x235500…
05-14 15:24:57	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	314	3¢	$9	0x0a4b58…
05-14 15:20:10	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	997	3¢	$32	0x2fc121…
05-14 15:15:28	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0x00b0d1…
05-14 15:14:06	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	235	3¢	$8	0x40aa9f…
05-14 15:14:04	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$7	0x54acc4…
05-14 15:13:56	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$7	0xde825c…
05-14 15:13:36	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$7	0x9e74be…
05-14 15:13:26	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$7	0x0aff86…
05-14 15:13:19	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$7	0x5cd50b…
05-14 15:13:12	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,347	3¢	$46	0x72d3cb…
05-14 15:04:22	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,064	3¢	$36	0x6bc812…
05-14 15:04:22	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$7	0x3afb8c…
05-14 15:04:04	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$7	0xcc8aac…
05-14 15:03:55	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	3¢	$7	0x0ba3ce…
05-14 15:03:47	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	3¢	$2	0x750acc…
05-14 15:03:40	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	175	3¢	$6	0xb1c14a…
05-14 15:03:15	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,412	3¢	$119	0x204ea5…
05-14 15:01:00	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,323	4¢	$89	0x4e66b0…
05-14 14:41:49	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0x9199b2…
05-14 14:36:15	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x7ccd84…
05-14 14:30:16	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	5¢	$3	0x4fa88f…
05-14 12:10:54	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	6¢	$58	0xff2bb3…
05-13 17:28:43	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	595	3¢	$20	0x7cb5b5…
05-13 17:27:58	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	3¢	$2	0x6fafd2…
05-13 17:26:06	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	843	3¢	$29	0x7f5560…
05-13 17:25:03	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	61	3¢	$2	0x003036…
05-13 17:22:18	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	3¢	$2	0x8c8a4c…
05-13 16:40:22	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,669	4¢	$62	0x00f937…
05-13 16:38:24	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	989	4¢	$37	0xf2b98d…
05-13 16:38:24	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	4¢	$2	0xcaa58f…
05-13 15:17:14	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,650	4¢	$69	0x3a25c4…
05-13 15:16:13	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	750	4¢	$31	0xb758e6…
05-13 13:59:25	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,352	7¢	$162	0xb17b10…
05-13 13:54:57	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x7f7fcb…
05-13 13:54:14	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	7¢	$14	0x0ba1d0…
05-13 13:51:57	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x9d1919…
05-13 13:50:33	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	7¢	$3	0xf1068c…
05-13 13:50:33	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0x680474…
05-13 13:50:21	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	107	7¢	$7	0xf10962…
05-13 13:49:06	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	7¢	$2	0x8e35a8…
05-13 13:48:29	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	7¢	$6	0x71f503…
05-13 13:47:40	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	270	7¢	$19	0x050e56…
05-13 13:46:26	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0xa4e914…
05-13 13:44:08	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	7¢	$4	0x644db3…
05-13 13:43:37	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	433	7¢	$30	0xb0477e…
05-13 13:39:23	Will Trump say "Japan" or "Korea" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x45de47…
05-13 13:38:44	Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x52486e…
05-13 13:38:08	Will Trump say "TikTok" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x0538c7…
05-12 14:28:27	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,522	11¢	$166	0xf71ef9…
05-12 14:28:18	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	11¢	$3	0x2a957f…
05-12 14:28:15	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x14b0e4…
05-12 14:28:06	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	178	11¢	$19	0xcd1ede…
05-12 14:27:38	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	11¢	$27	0xa820a5…
05-12 12:42:17	Will Starmer say "Political Stunt" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xe03f3f…
05-12 12:42:08	Will Starmer say "Appalling" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	SELL	15	21¢	$3	0x72689b…
05-12 12:36:08	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	613	16¢	$98	0xed0956…
05-12 12:36:08	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	621	16¢	$99	0xe4a64b…
05-12 12:35:57	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0xd22da2…
05-12 12:35:28	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x7171d0…
05-12 12:35:19	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	16¢	$2	0xdce989…
05-12 04:08:45	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	168	28¢	$46	0xcb614f…
05-12 04:08:17	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,011	28¢	$279	0xac1caa…
05-12 04:02:34	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x0cea13…
05-12 04:00:51	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xc97ea4…
05-12 03:59:09	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	28¢	$110	0xd2122c…
05-12 03:58:27	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	28¢	$11	0x120452…
05-12 03:58:01	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	28¢	$20	0x0ec597…
05-12 03:55:13	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0xe4d590…
05-12 03:52:23	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	112	28¢	$31	0x73aa64…
05-12 03:50:31	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	138	28¢	$38	0x05f070…
05-12 03:48:29	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xba6d8b…
05-12 03:48:25	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xb93a61…
05-12 03:48:25	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x03a10c…
05-12 03:48:23	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xfca194…
05-12 03:48:22	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x58bdc2…
05-12 03:48:20	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xdfcd54…
05-12 03:48:20	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xb418f8…
05-12 03:48:20	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x1f5c6f…
05-12 03:48:18	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0x901f7c…