Stormy-Urgency — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$703

Unrealized P&L

-$185

Hit rate

49.1%

Resolved

673

Trades

2,711

lifetime

Volume

$35.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$43

1 position

First seen

2026-04-21

last 10-27 01:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 124 days

Categories

Other

43% 32% -$2,333

Sports

34% 44% +$2,339

Politics

23% 30% +$720

Crypto

0% 0% -$22

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?	Yes		+1,140	$228	4¢	$43	-$185	09-22 03:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	56	$888	1,397	1,397	-0	open	—	10-10 06:53
Warriors vs. Trail Blazers	2	$714	1,190	0	+1,190	Trail Blazers	+$476	10-08 03:57
Minnesota vs. Washington	5	$546	800	0	+800	Minnesota	-$546	09-27 03:47
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	15	$451	400	400	+0	Yes	+$339	06-22 16:28
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	2	$444	300	300	+0	No	+$126	10-27 01:28
will trump say gulf of america or gulf of trump during cnbc squawk box appearance on april 21	16	$402	1,216	5	+1,211	No	-$399	04-21 12:34
Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" during events with Brazilian president?	5	$400	271	271	+0	No	+$139	05-07 21:57
will baltazar fedalizo advance from the ca 37 primary election	5	$392	709	0	+709	No	-$392	06-07 15:01
Set 1 Winner: Machac vs Comesana	9	$351	273	273	+0	Comesana	+$140	04-22 17:17
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?	13	$340	400	400	+0	No	+$132	06-25 19:27
Korea Open: So-Hyun Park vs Robin Montgomery	6	$302	290	290	+0	So-Hyun Park	+$238	09-22 05:14
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 13.5	8	$298	400	200	+200	No	+$98	05-16 04:02
Jalen Duren: Points O/U 11.5	7	$290	236	200	+36	No	+$104	05-14 04:02
Madrid Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Titouan Droguet	2	$282	200	200	+0	Benjamin Bonzi	+$54	04-22 17:22
Will Keir Starmer say "Europe" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	2	$282	434	0	+434	No	+$153	04-29 05:01
wnba por sea 2026 07 04	1	$270	500	0	+500	PortlandFire	-$270	07-05 01:54
atp tiafoe bublik 2026 07 04	1	$260	500	0	+500	Alexander Bublik	-$260	07-04 01:47
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	16	$249	200	200	+0	No	+$147	05-15 18:55
Madrid Open, Qualification: Yibing Wu vs Titouan Droguet	3	$238	161	161	+0	Titouan Droguet	+$84	04-21 13:11
atp faria brooksb 2026 08 30	2	$238	200	200	+0	Jaime Faria	+$122	08-30 22:33
Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election?	2	$228	1,140	0	+1,140	open	—	09-22 03:31
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Diego County?	8	$216	234	234	+0	No	+$32	06-02 09:15
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5	3	$212	200	200	+0	No	$0	05-20 19:49
Nuggets vs. Thunder	1	$208	400	0	+400	Thunder	+$192	10-23 02:30
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08 points victor wembanyama 27pt5	8	$205	1,700	0	+1,700	Yes	-$205	06-09 03:03
Will Keir Starmer say "Victim" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	4	$200	400	0	+400	No	-$200	04-29 10:25
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in Santa Clara County?	7	$199	300	291	+9	Yes	+$17	06-03 03:11
wta navarro selekhm 2026 07 02	7	$198	1,100	0	+1,100	Emma Navarro	-$198	07-02 05:55
Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" in April?	26	$193	1,045	28	+1,018	Yes	+$844	04-27 03:36
Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 26.5	7	$188	200	192	+8	Yes	+$8	05-13 23:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 01:28:27	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	SELL	300	95¢	$285	0xd52c6a…
10-23 05:09:42	Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?	No	BUY	300	53¢	$159	0x49948d…
10-23 02:30:00	Nuggets vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	400	52¢	$208	0x1190c7…
10-22 01:10:50	Jazz vs. Grizzlies	Jazz	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xd3cd25…
10-22 01:10:50	Jazz vs. Grizzlies	Jazz	BUY	297	27¢	$80	0x7b72cf…
10-22 01:10:32	Jazz vs. Grizzlies	Jazz	BUY	197	27¢	$53	0xce76f5…
10-15 21:03:33	wta chwalin sakkari 2026 10 15	Maria Sakkari	BUY	243	55¢	$134	0xfca6c6…
10-15 21:00:23	wta chwalin sakkari 2026 10 15	Maria Sakkari	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xeab4ac…
10-15 20:59:38	wta chwalin sakkari 2026 10 15	Maria Sakkari	BUY	50	55¢	$27	0xc13689…
10-15 20:57:42	wta chwalin sakkari 2026 10 15	Maria Sakkari	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x19dacd…
10-13 05:10:41	Wuhan Tennis Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Cristina Bucsa	Cristina Bucsa	BUY	75	5¢	$4	0xcc432c…
10-13 05:10:11	Wuhan Tennis Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Cristina Bucsa	Cristina Bucsa	BUY	300	3¢	$10	0xe19e0d…
10-13 05:08:33	Wuhan Tennis Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Cristina Bucsa	Cristina Bucsa	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0x189ce0…
10-13 05:08:05	Wuhan Tennis Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Cristina Bucsa	Cristina Bucsa	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x2ec06f…
10-12 22:35:20	nba min nyk 2026 10 12 spread home 1pt5	Timberwolves	BUY	163	53¢	$86	0xfb244b…
10-12 01:10:48	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime	Pablo Carreno Busta	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0xc656d4…
10-11 04:18:05	Joe Burrow: Anytime Touchdown	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x771c47…
10-10 06:53:03	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0xd5f620…
10-10 06:52:31	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0x28e67e…
10-10 06:52:13	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0x408a5e…
10-10 06:52:06	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x883805…
10-10 06:51:54	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0x30ff83…
10-10 06:51:25	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0xbe2c9e…
10-10 06:51:00	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0xaa403e…
10-10 06:50:40	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0xf62fdc…
10-10 06:50:10	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0x452d13…
10-10 06:48:45	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x8e5684…
10-10 06:48:25	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x16d97e…
10-10 06:47:49	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0xe55bce…
10-10 06:47:16	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xa7f28f…
10-10 06:46:27	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	30	53¢	$16	0x657a86…
10-10 06:45:36	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	100	53¢	$53	0xab2028…
10-10 06:45:00	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x597371…
10-10 06:44:13	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0xf16f33…
10-10 06:43:24	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xed3cc0…
10-10 06:42:48	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	30	53¢	$16	0xa34069…
10-10 06:42:22	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0x59d31d…
10-10 06:42:04	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x90b289…
10-10 06:41:43	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	100	53¢	$53	0x421e4a…
10-10 06:41:19	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xe0b603…
10-10 06:40:51	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0xfa21a1…
10-10 06:40:25	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	30	53¢	$16	0x6a4604…
10-10 06:39:52	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x09bf10…
10-10 06:39:19	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0xaaa2f5…
10-10 06:38:58	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0xc89e68…
10-10 06:38:19	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	100	53¢	$53	0x02bcde…
10-10 06:32:54	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	17	53¢	$9	0xf2fd70…
10-10 06:32:40	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	54	53¢	$28	0xba7d1c…
10-10 06:32:15	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	69	53¢	$37	0xee35af…
10-10 06:32:03	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xf770bb…
10-10 06:32:03	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x93f5d6…
10-10 06:25:46	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x8c899c…
10-10 06:25:46	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x1e5c49…
10-10 06:25:33	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xcd0c67…
10-10 06:25:31	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xd88cbb…
10-10 06:25:31	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x60f49b…
10-10 06:25:31	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x421927…
10-10 06:25:31	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x2579ee…
10-10 06:25:31	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x015fff…
10-10 06:20:30	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xd05ae9…
10-10 06:20:30	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x7f87d0…
10-10 06:20:28	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xf90430…
10-10 06:20:28	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xd35fcc…
10-10 06:20:28	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0xc3e4a0…
10-10 06:20:28	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x93a2a6…
10-10 06:20:28	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x6f1db7…
10-10 06:20:28	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x27c726…
10-10 06:20:28	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x274435…
10-10 06:20:28	Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x137218…
10-09 14:55:19	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger-Aliassime	Camilo Ugo Carabelli	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x340d92…
10-09 14:33:22	atp carabel augeral 2026 10 09	Camilo Ugo Carabelli	BUY	55	5¢	$3	0x127087…
10-09 12:41:48	atp carabel augeral 2026 10 09	Camilo Ugo Carabelli	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x5de1c6…
10-09 04:16:58	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger-Aliassime	Camilo Ugo Carabelli	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xa4b83c…
10-08 21:43:38	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Ben Shelton vs Daniel Altmaier	Daniel Altmaier	BUY	400	13¢	$52	0x95c89e…
10-08 03:57:32	Warriors vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	800	58¢	$464	0xdf5276…
10-08 03:32:47	Warriors vs. Trail Blazers	Trail Blazers	BUY	390	64¢	$250	0xc3df50…
10-08 02:12:43	Magic vs. Grizzlies	Magic	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0x4bb360…
10-08 02:12:43	Magic vs. Grizzlies	Magic	BUY	150	64¢	$96	0x03a0f0…
10-03 17:25:24	Penn vs. Dartmouth	Penn	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xd79d64…
10-03 15:32:41	Penn vs. Dartmouth	Penn	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x6b1830…
10-03 15:32:05	Penn vs. Dartmouth	Penn	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0xdd5000…
10-03 15:31:21	Penn vs. Dartmouth	Penn	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x098e7f…
10-03 14:07:17	Penn vs. Dartmouth	Penn	BUY	216	25¢	$54	0x121182…
10-01 22:22:53	Will Alvin Tedjo win the 2026 Mississauga mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	367	1¢	$4	0x80b623…
09-30 04:31:59	mlb chc sd 2026 09 29	Chicago Cubs	BUY	620	0¢	$1	0xb68a8b…
09-30 04:31:32	mlb chc sd 2026 09 29	Chicago Cubs	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa9e6ac…
09-30 04:31:30	mlb chc sd 2026 09 29	Chicago Cubs	BUY	375	0¢	$0	0xe276ab…
09-27 13:10:08	Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0xce497e…
09-27 13:09:48	Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0x8a8d48…
09-27 07:32:47	atp gaston rublev 2026 09 26	Hugo Gaston	BUY	300	18¢	$54	0xc6be88…
09-27 03:47:47	Minnesota vs. Washington	Washington	BUY	300	52¢	$156	0x498694…
09-26 17:21:23	Minnesota vs. Washington	Washington	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x144f3e…
09-26 17:11:33	Minnesota vs. Washington	Washington	BUY	23	78¢	$18	0xe6cedf…
09-26 16:19:35	Minnesota vs. Washington	Washington	BUY	319	78¢	$249	0xfba0b0…
09-26 15:28:39	Minnesota vs. Washington	Washington	BUY	156	78¢	$122	0xe81e82…
09-26 00:00:00	Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	51	3¢	$1	0x65e42b…
09-24 19:53:47	Spread: Clemson (-1.5)	California	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x499edb…
09-24 17:47:11	Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	118	3¢	$3	0x0d29a5…
09-24 17:47:08	Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x8fcb12…
09-24 17:47:08	Will Coalition Avenir Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x8f2e7e…