Tattered-Columnist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$80.0K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.0%

Resolved

6,777

Trades

29,311

lifetime

Volume

$34.6M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.18K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 10-08 09:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 233 days

Categories

Other

47% 100% +$45,812

Politics

32% 100% +$20,702

Crypto

11% 100% +$6,095

Sports

9% 100% +$7,135

Tech

0% 100% +$163

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$94

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 86 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	171	$1.05M	1,056,154	0	+1,056,154	No	+$2,167	06-04 00:35
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	177	$756.0K	757,580	0	+757,580	No	+$1,622	02-28 07:12
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	84	$508.6K	362,157	148,006	+214,151	Yes	+$954	06-17 23:38
Bahrain leading at halftime?	98	$480.9K	481,266	125,736	+355,530	No	+$607	06-08 17:15
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	129	$432.6K	234,080	199,715	+34,366	Yes	+$804	03-25 12:21
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	68	$397.3K	248,072	155,877	+92,194	No	+$2,289	05-20 15:45
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	74	$394.4K	394,893	0	+394,893	No	+$482	05-04 06:35
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	68	$391.9K	69,908	322,449	-252,541	No	-$183	01-20 17:07
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	191	$385.1K	385,523	0	+385,523	No	+$386	05-01 00:34
highest temperature in atlanta on march 14 2026 66 67f	92	$374.0K	374,400	0	+374,400	No	+$374	03-14 18:03
Raiders Team Total: O/U 13.5	58	$372.1K	375,856	0	+375,856	Over	+$3,759	10-04 22:26
Syria leading at halftime?	129	$331.4K	331,273	442,965	-111,692	No	+$774	06-09 17:23
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	85	$320.1K	81,574	268,248	-186,674	Yes	-$552	02-03 18:13
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	41	$309.2K	106,005	204,430	-98,425	Yes	-$394	04-08 17:40
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	14	$307.0K	103,812	203,812	-100,000	Yes	+$211	04-08 01:56
will trump say waste this week march 1	60	$279.9K	137,786	143,167	-5,380	Yes	+$740	03-05 01:35
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	93	$265.6K	204,082	64,339	+139,743	Yes	+$374	05-01 00:34
epstein blackmail evidence released by march 31	32	$252.4K	253,010	0	+253,010	Yes	+$617	01-31 13:41
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	61	$248.6K	248,832	0	+248,832	No	+$273	04-22 07:45
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C on May 25?	4,344	$218.4K	218,578	0	+218,578	No	+$219	05-26 00:03
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	35	$213.4K	213,601	0	+213,601	No	+$214	05-26 03:18
Will "Tony H.: Man of the People" be the top global Netflix show this week?	19	$212.3K	212,487	0	+212,487	No	+$212	06-16 21:58
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	27	$210.2K	210,369	0	+210,369	Yes	+$210	06-07 19:51
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	47	$205.9K	206,080	0	+206,080	No	+$206	04-11 23:03
bitcoin up or down on july 19 2026	23	$203.3K	203,486	0	+203,486	Up	+$203	07-19 16:13
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	76	$202.8K	203,393	0	+203,393	Yes	+$610	07-22 18:52
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	22	$202.5K	202,695	0	+202,695	Yes	+$203	07-20 00:45
mlb sf ari 2026 06 29	27	$202.5K	202,774	0	+202,774	Arizona Diamondbacks	+$298	06-30 04:26
mlb tb bos 2026 07 18	21	$202.0K	202,172	0	+202,172	Boston Red Sox	+$202	07-19 00:15
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	29	$201.5K	201,661	0	+201,661	Yes	+$202	07-10 00:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 09:51:36	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 2?	No	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0xff9827…
10-08 09:51:36	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 2?	No	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,998	0xfe4661…
10-08 09:51:36	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 2?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xe6a70e…
10-08 09:51:36	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 2?	No	BUY	30,368	100¢	$30,338	0xa7cddd…
10-08 09:51:35	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 2?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xde1ce7…
10-08 09:51:35	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 2?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0xb08c03…
10-08 00:59:02	Itagui Leones FC vs. Barranquilla FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xc8828f…
10-06 16:21:14	Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?	Yes	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x8ba3c0…
10-06 16:09:44	Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?	No	BUY	810	100¢	$810	0x5bf597…
10-06 15:54:23	Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x3e6100…
10-06 04:56:00	Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?	Yes	BUY	706	100¢	$705	0x705a07…
10-05 14:14:41	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x3ad17f…
10-05 14:07:38	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	436	100¢	$435	0x2c792e…
10-05 14:03:35	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe60038…
10-05 13:38:01	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	1,000	100¢	$999	0x535f60…
10-05 13:29:16	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	38,429	100¢	$38,390	0xa849f1…
10-05 08:44:47	Set Handicap: Belinda Bencic (-1.5) vs Ann Li (+1.5)	Ann Li	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x82c12d…
10-05 07:25:17	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x23d7fa…
10-05 07:13:19	Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?	Yes	BUY	345	100¢	$345	0xe4e0ec…
10-05 05:00:32	Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x77a58e…
10-05 04:46:25	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xbca90a…
10-05 03:56:46	Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x393d36…
10-05 03:54:53	Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?	No	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0xc1b4b4…
10-05 03:54:52	Will Movimento Democrático Brasileiro (MDB) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x970c5a…
10-04 22:26:23	Raiders Team Total: O/U 13.5	Over	BUY	430	99¢	$425	0xe7342c…
10-04 22:26:23	Raiders Team Total: O/U 13.5	Over	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0xc41e0f…
10-04 22:26:22	Raiders Team Total: O/U 13.5	Over	BUY	2,500	99¢	$2,475	0xeef3dd…
10-04 22:26:22	Raiders Team Total: O/U 13.5	Over	BUY	2,500	99¢	$2,475	0x46b316…
10-04 22:26:16	Raiders Team Total: O/U 13.5	Over	BUY	10,000	99¢	$9,900	0xcbeef2…
10-04 22:26:16	Raiders Team Total: O/U 13.5	Over	BUY	9,997	99¢	$9,897	0xc2cbdd…
10-04 22:26:16	Raiders Team Total: O/U 13.5	Over	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0xb7c87c…
10-04 22:26:16	Raiders Team Total: O/U 13.5	Over	BUY	9,998	99¢	$9,898	0x49cd4e…
10-04 22:26:16	Raiders Team Total: O/U 13.5	Over	BUY	9,994	99¢	$9,894	0x1b7706…
10-04 22:26:16	Raiders Team Total: O/U 13.5	Over	BUY	9,999	99¢	$9,899	0x115eb4…
10-04 22:26:16	Raiders Team Total: O/U 13.5	Over	BUY	9,821	99¢	$9,723	0x10d0fa…
10-04 22:26:01	Raiders Team Total: O/U 13.5	Over	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x9f618a…
10-04 22:25:58	Raiders Team Total: O/U 13.5	Over	BUY	1,000	99¢	$990	0xa04c2a…
10-04 22:25:58	Raiders Team Total: O/U 13.5	Over	BUY	2,500	99¢	$2,475	0x77c4b7…
10-04 22:25:56	Raiders Team Total: O/U 13.5	Over	BUY	2,076	99¢	$2,055	0xd8b642…
10-02 18:04:06	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 32 and 32.5 million views on day 6?	Yes	BUY	2,115	100¢	$2,113	0xf4728b…
10-02 03:58:05	1st Half Exact Score: Seattle Sounders FC 0 - 1 Sporting Kansas City?	Yes	BUY	26,125	100¢	$26,098	0xd4564e…
10-02 03:54:24	1st Half Exact Score: Seattle Sounders FC 2 - 1 Sporting Kansas City?	No	BUY	3,956	100¢	$3,952	0xc6586a…
10-01 06:03:24	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in September 2026 (ET)?	No	BUY	3,895	100¢	$3,891	0x03cfa2…
10-01 06:02:59	US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc82155…
10-01 06:02:57	US imposes new sanctions on China by September 30?	No	BUY	1,498	99¢	$1,489	0xbd4f7b…
10-01 06:02:32	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	BUY	15,499	100¢	$15,473	0xfd3e27…
10-01 06:02:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by march 31 2027 20260922	No	BUY	7,070	100¢	$7,063	0x8fb356…
10-01 06:02:30	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc6213c…
09-29 07:09:50	wta okamura wu 2026 09 28	Kyoka Okamura	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfd3273…
09-29 07:09:50	wta okamura wu 2026 09 28	Kyoka Okamura	BUY	12,466	100¢	$12,454	0x2846f4…
09-27 06:42:27	Washington Team Total: O/U 33.5	Under	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xb53d84…
09-27 06:42:27	Washington Team Total: O/U 33.5	Under	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x411800…
09-27 01:29:09	Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9acb2a…
09-26 23:24:17	Spread: Georgia (-24.5)	Georgia	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xa71ec5…
09-26 23:23:53	Oklahoma vs. Georgia	Georgia	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x08669c…
09-26 23:18:09	Spread: New Mexico State (-8.5)	New Mexico	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x72fa91…
09-26 23:18:08	Spread: New Mexico State (-8.5)	New Mexico	BUY	10	99¢	$9	0xe7288a…
09-26 23:13:53	Atlético Calatayud CF vs. CD Baztán: Draw at halftime?	No	BUY	126	99¢	$125	0x068d90…
09-26 23:13:51	Atlético Calatayud CF vs. CD Baztán: Draw at halftime?	No	BUY	238	99¢	$236	0x7fa8a3…
09-26 23:11:47	Spread: TCU (-3.5)	UCF	BUY	9,995	100¢	$9,985	0x274bd3…
09-26 23:11:41	TCU vs. UCF: O/U 43.5	Under	BUY	10,135	100¢	$10,125	0xdcfd1b…
09-26 23:10:29	TCU vs. UCF: O/U 53.5	Under	BUY	624	100¢	$623	0xa655e8…
09-26 23:07:26	Spread: Boise State (-24.5)	Boise State	BUY	9,064	100¢	$9,055	0x3f4d1d…
09-26 20:20:36	Colorado vs. Baylor: O/U 41.5	Under	BUY	618	100¢	$617	0x631fb5…
09-26 20:19:00	Spread: Texas (-10.5)	Tennessee	BUY	154	100¢	$154	0xfc60ab…
09-26 20:18:30	Spread: Texas (-14.5)	Tennessee	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x896f54…
09-26 20:18:18	Spread: Tennessee (-0.5)	Texas	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbf9386…
09-26 20:14:42	Wake Forest vs. Louisville: O/U 68.5	Under	BUY	5,576	100¢	$5,570	0x326afc…
09-26 20:14:18	Spread: UTSA (-10.5)	UTSA	BUY	153	100¢	$153	0xf898d9…
09-26 20:14:02	Spread: UTSA (-13.5)	UTSA	BUY	152	100¢	$152	0x693ab8…
09-26 19:54:51	Faroe Islands vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 9.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	183	100¢	$183	0x502a42…
09-26 19:53:27	Spread: Ohio State (-13.5)	Ohio State	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x2e5c85…
09-26 19:42:20	Spread: Virginia Tech (-7.5)	Boston College	BUY	1,420	100¢	$1,419	0xe5bff8…
09-26 02:39:18	Spread: UAB (-6.5)	Navy	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x033b0f…
09-26 02:39:12	Spread: UAB (-5.5)	Navy	BUY	16,278	100¢	$16,262	0x0d0941…
09-26 01:42:06	Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Yes	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x9845b5…
09-26 01:42:06	Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x35927e…
09-26 01:42:05	Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xf259f8…
09-26 01:42:05	Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Yes	BUY	1,000	99¢	$991	0xb2044b…
09-26 01:42:05	Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Yes	BUY	500	99¢	$494	0x9d01d6…
09-26 01:42:05	Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Yes	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x7af992…
09-26 01:42:05	Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Yes	BUY	13,031	100¢	$13,018	0x62fe52…
09-26 01:42:05	Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Yes	BUY	50	99¢	$49	0x372067…
09-26 01:42:05	Game 3: Any Player Quadra Kill?	Yes	BUY	2,000	99¢	$1,978	0x080dc1…
09-25 23:36:26	Army vs. Temple: O/U 36.5	Over	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xc51317…
09-25 17:38:08	Will between 22 and 24 albums be ranked #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe8d295…
09-25 17:38:08	Will between 22 and 24 albums be ranked #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?	No	BUY	385	100¢	$385	0x616ebb…
09-25 17:38:08	Will at least 25 albums be ranked #1 on the Billboard 200 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x453d69…
09-25 03:57:29	Dominican Republic vs. Nicaragua: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x43223a…
09-25 03:52:15	Spread: Liberty (-4.5)	Liberty	BUY	369	100¢	$369	0x6c9b39…
09-25 03:52:05	Spread: Coastal Carolina (-3.5)	Liberty	BUY	4,640	100¢	$4,636	0x66ed5d…
09-25 03:41:17	Kyle Pitts Sr.: Anytime Touchdown	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xd8c4ee…
09-24 12:50:42	wta doubles routsut garlhsi 2026 09 24 set handicap home 1pt5	Garland/Hsieh	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,995	0x868747…
09-24 12:50:38	wta doubles routsut garlhsi 2026 09 24 set handicap home 1pt5	Garland/Hsieh	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xb2d396…
09-24 12:50:38	wta doubles routsut garlhsi 2026 09 24 set handicap home 1pt5	Garland/Hsieh	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x857c82…
09-24 01:16:29	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: 9th inning tied?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0x1e3258…
09-24 01:16:26	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: 9th inning tied?	No	BUY	156	99¢	$154	0xfc1d47…
09-24 01:16:25	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: 9th inning tied?	No	BUY	39	99¢	$39	0x985445…
09-24 01:16:23	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: 9th inning tied?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0xe1b511…
09-24 01:16:23	Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: 9th inning tied?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xc8ed66…