Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$22
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
140
lifetime
Volume
$5.47K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$39
Open exposure
$519
20 positions
First seen
2026-05-10
last 06-10 07:49
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
49%
Tech
27%
Other
25%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +680 $170 30¢ $204 +$34 06-10 07:49
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes -1,000 $-106 10¢ $-95 +$11 05-29 18:45
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? Yes -637 $-50 $-38 +$12 05-28 12:09
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes -214 $-41 16¢ $-35 +$5 06-10 07:44
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -333 $-27 $-28 $-2 06-10 07:44
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes -100 $-29 26¢ $-26 +$2 06-03 22:01
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? No -71 $-21 24¢ $-17 +$4 05-28 12:26
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? Yes -155 $-16 11¢ $-17 $-1 06-10 07:44
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? Yes -1,023 $-10 $-11 $-1 06-10 07:44
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes -33 $-8 26¢ $-8 $-0 06-10 07:44
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes -45 $-9 18¢ $-8 +$0 06-10 07:44
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30? Yes -143 $-4 $-7 $-3 06-03 22:02
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes -29 $-17 17¢ $-5 +$12 05-29 15:27
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? Yes -526 $-4 $-4 $-0 06-10 07:44
Russian strike on Poland by June 30? Yes -192 $-3 $-4 $-1 06-10 07:45
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? Yes -182 $-3 $-3 $-0 06-10 07:45
Kash Patel out by June 30? Yes -32 $-3 $-3 $-0 06-10 07:45
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Yes -159 $-2 $-2 +$0 06-10 07:45
Ukraine coup attempt by June 30? Yes -93 $-0 $-2 $-1 06-10 07:45
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No +64 $50 $0 $-50 06-03 22:30