Virtual-Abbey — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.76K

Unrealized P&L

-$3.03K

Hit rate

56.4%

Resolved

Trades

302

lifetime

Volume

$41.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$137

Open exposure

$5.89K

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 10-28 23:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Politics

60% 50% +$1,495

Other

40% 75% -$8,259

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+19,701	$8,458	29¢	$5.6K	-$2,844	10-04 22:29
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	-273	-$98	39¢	$-106	-$8	05-20 16:23
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	-485	-$115	21¢	$-100	+$15	05-20 16:22
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	-300	$123	24¢	$-70	-$194	05-08 16:15

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	21	$8.8K	20,000	0	+20,000	No	-$8,760	05-18 17:45
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	107	$8.5K	19,701	0	+19,701	open	—	10-04 22:29
Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	32	$7.0K	26,801	25,001	+1,801	No	+$1,239	06-24 14:53
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?	20	$5.6K	0	6,076	-6,076	open	—	10-28 23:08
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	71	$3.7K	5,000	5,300	-300	open	—	05-08 16:15
will trump say marco or rubio during the state of the union address 331	5	$2.0K	2,500	0	+2,500	Yes	+$529	02-24 22:10
will consensys ipo by march 31 2026	5	$1.1K	1,103	0	+1,103	No	+$27	03-14 08:27
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	5	$926	1,100	1,100	+0	No	+$676	05-20 16:16
will trump say dell during the state of the union address	3	$747	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$253	02-24 20:15
will john fetterman applaud during trumps state of the union	1	$651	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$349	02-24 20:00
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$483	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	06-24 02:18
will thomas massie applaud during trumps state of the union	1	$375	500	0	+500	Yes	+$125	02-24 20:01
will trump say somalia during the state of the union address	1	$320	1,000	0	+1,000	No	-$320	02-24 20:20
Will Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?	4	$314	3,444	1,503	+1,941	No	-$311	05-20 16:19
Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?	9	$236	1,544	0	+1,544	Yes	-$236	05-10 17:49
Will Ashley Hinson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?	6	$203	106	106	+0	Yes	+$1	04-24 17:33
will trump say minnesota during the state of the union address	1	$179	500	0	+500	Yes	-$179	02-24 20:21
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	1	$123	0	161	-161	Yes	-$38	05-20 16:21
Will Derek Dooley be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?	4	$121	1,866	0	+1,866	No	-$121	05-04 18:48
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	1	$115	0	485	-485	open	—	05-20 16:22
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	1	$98	0	273	-273	open	—	05-20 16:23
Will Matt Mahan advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	1	$3	0	1,100	-1,100	No	+$3	05-20 16:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 23:08:20	Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?	No	SELL	976	95¢	$927	0xd7bbd1…
10-15 06:26:32	Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?	No	SELL	396	95¢	$376	0x355627…
10-04 22:29:56	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,500	34¢	$510	0xfe26e1…
10-04 22:29:56	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0xddf239…
10-04 22:29:55	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	600	34¢	$204	0xe6dc5e…
10-04 22:29:55	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	203	34¢	$69	0xd95ccd…
10-04 22:29:55	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	75	34¢	$26	0xaa5591…
10-04 22:29:55	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	40	34¢	$14	0xa67e99…
10-04 22:29:55	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	400	34¢	$136	0x7c2e30…
10-04 22:29:55	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,000	34¢	$340	0x0f6fa8…
10-04 21:55:22	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xd8b757…
10-04 17:02:07	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xa310e2…
10-04 15:30:19	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xc0327d…
10-04 14:23:11	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xa18d05…
10-04 12:27:13	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xfe94fc…
10-04 09:19:59	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x958cfb…
10-04 09:18:46	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x75a270…
10-04 08:57:10	Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?	No	SELL	77	95¢	$73	0x546546…
10-03 19:30:03	Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xa4a460…
09-30 07:26:17	Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0x67f5ae…
09-25 04:28:32	Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?	No	SELL	446	95¢	$424	0x3d4c37…
09-24 07:31:05	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x3cb4d7…
09-24 03:23:33	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0xb526d7…
09-23 22:53:14	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x240393…
09-23 21:22:08	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0xbaf050…
09-23 21:21:55	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x0ef94a…
09-23 21:03:46	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xfbb285…
09-23 21:01:35	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	909	34¢	$309	0xd91d6c…
09-23 20:41:29	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	32	34¢	$11	0x2505fb…
09-23 14:48:28	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa7a0c6…
09-23 13:11:47	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	420	34¢	$143	0xffaf49…
09-23 11:06:32	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xf9fadd…
09-23 10:10:05	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	550	34¢	$187	0x52b962…
09-23 09:21:07	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	38	34¢	$13	0x80d3b4…
09-23 08:58:28	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x9b4ff2…
09-23 08:20:11	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa3284f…
09-23 08:10:14	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	38	34¢	$13	0x7f7468…
09-23 07:55:16	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0x39b1ca…
09-23 07:36:19	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xfea38a…
09-23 07:29:32	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x2ba2ac…
09-23 07:26:19	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x1f9cb6…
09-23 06:45:52	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xa64168…
09-23 06:16:10	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x2996b0…
09-23 06:13:55	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xdc0efb…
09-23 00:32:28	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1,805	34¢	$614	0x4e4888…
09-22 22:59:17	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	7	34¢	$2	0x1e8829…
09-22 20:48:06	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	483	34¢	$164	0x3d10df…
09-22 03:22:06	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0x11231e…
09-22 03:21:59	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	660	34¢	$224	0xfe25f3…
09-22 03:21:57	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	600	34¢	$204	0x10b3c6…
09-22 03:21:57	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	161	34¢	$55	0x09a4d3…
08-06 13:35:51	Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?	No	SELL	12	91¢	$11	0x584290…
08-06 13:35:47	Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?	No	SELL	28	91¢	$26	0xe24e7f…
07-31 05:09:05	Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?	No	SELL	40	91¢	$36	0xa8bfbb…
07-31 04:06:12	Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?	No	SELL	40	91¢	$36	0x7b7ef9…
07-31 03:58:18	Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?	No	SELL	40	91¢	$36	0x7f4396…
07-31 03:50:32	Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?	No	SELL	40	91¢	$36	0x0b65d9…
07-26 04:22:13	Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?	No	SELL	1,000	90¢	$900	0x675de2…
07-07 09:54:29	Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?	No	SELL	25	89¢	$23	0xc06cb4…
06-24 14:53:05	Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	SELL	2,500	12¢	$301	0x667119…
06-24 14:52:05	Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	SELL	2,500	11¢	$287	0xce07f3…
06-24 14:50:53	Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	SELL	2,522	13¢	$330	0xe40c71…
06-24 02:56:41	Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	SELL	17	20¢	$3	0x8b41fc…
06-24 02:18:44	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	SELL	10,000	1¢	$110	0xc3c99f…
06-24 02:11:47	Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	SELL	10,001	17¢	$1,724	0xbc27a4…
06-24 01:37:58	Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	SELL	139	20¢	$28	0xcada15…
06-24 01:37:56	Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	SELL	500	20¢	$100	0x9c3a63…
06-24 01:15:19	Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	SELL	26	20¢	$5	0xf5db88…
06-24 01:15:19	Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	SELL	110	20¢	$22	0x949f1d…
06-24 01:15:19	Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	SELL	136	20¢	$27	0x0310cb…
06-23 20:53:52	Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	SELL	68	20¢	$14	0xc5104f…
06-23 20:43:04	Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0x5202cb…
06-23 20:42:29	Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	SELL	2,500	20¢	$500	0x94b2c3…
06-23 20:42:02	Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0xbb324b…
06-23 20:42:02	Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0x6a6e92…
06-23 20:42:02	Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	SELL	208	20¢	$42	0x3741db…
06-23 20:41:58	Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	SELL	1,500	20¢	$300	0xd86fb3…
06-23 20:41:49	Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	SELL	300	20¢	$60	0xf089bd…
06-23 20:41:38	Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	SELL	300	20¢	$60	0xa22baf…
06-23 20:35:37	Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	SELL	300	20¢	$60	0x7699d1…
06-23 20:34:31	Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	SELL	300	20¢	$60	0x757ec2…
06-23 20:09:52	Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	SELL	500	20¢	$100	0x3e42c9…
06-23 20:04:25	Will John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?	Yes	SELL	449	20¢	$90	0x65b0de…
06-22 12:52:25	Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?	No	SELL	1,018	90¢	$916	0x3148ca…
06-13 14:06:49	Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?	No	SELL	843	90¢	$759	0x3a1ee5…
05-24 18:45:42	Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0xc3da39…
05-22 17:34:42	Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?	No	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0x02ec02…
05-21 00:09:02	Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?	No	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0xf2a051…
05-20 16:24:31	Will Matt Mahan advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	1,100	0¢	$3	0x606eee…
05-20 16:23:20	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	273	36¢	$98	0x3dbf4a…
05-20 16:22:39	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	485	24¢	$115	0x4744e5…
05-20 16:21:43	Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	161	77¢	$123	0xa3890a…
05-20 16:19:44	Will Earl Carter be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?	Yes	SELL	1,503	0¢	$2	0x08e20a…
05-20 16:17:23	Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	10,000	4¢	$373	0x3a316e…
05-20 16:16:23	Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	No	SELL	150	95¢	$142	0x02722b…
05-18 17:45:36	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	4,200	39¢	$1,638	0x66b553…
05-18 17:39:43	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0x1ca711…
05-18 17:38:57	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xc544ba…
05-18 16:58:49	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x0ff03f…
05-18 16:56:54	Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?	Yes	BUY	60	39¢	$23	0x9a55e0…