Naive-Cholesterol — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.5%

Resolved

Trades

105

lifetime

Volume

$406

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-22

last 07-01 18:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 36% $-19

Other

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1774213500	3	$75	50,322	0	+50,322	open	—	03-22 21:11
btc updown 5m 1774213800	2	$35	1,104	0	+1,104	open	—	03-22 21:15
btc updown 5m 1774214100	1	$25	106	0	+106	open	—	03-22 21:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	4	$20	124	21	+103	Up	+$4	05-05 17:04
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	1	$20	0	38	-38	open	—	05-31 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	4	$13	24	24	+0	Down	+$3	05-08 12:33
btc updown 5m 1774217400	2	$11	59	59	+0	open	—	03-22 22:13
btc updown 5m 1776522900	2	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	04-18 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	3	$9	23	7	+16	Up	$-5	05-14 05:38
will tsla reach 450 in june 2026	1	$9	29	0	+29	open	—	06-15 18:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	4	$9	9	9	+0	Down	+$3	05-05 14:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	3	$8	18	4	+13	Up	$-0	05-05 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	3	$8	14	7	+8	open	—	05-31 19:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	3	$6	13	7	+6	open	—	05-31 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-25 16:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	4	$6	7	7	+0	Up	$-0	05-05 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	4	$6	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 14:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$5	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-14 05:04
btc updown 5m 1780899900	1	$5	62	0	+62	open	—	06-08 06:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	$-5	05-12 17:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	Down	$-5	05-05 17:06
btc updown 5m 1776523500	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	04-18 14:46
btc updown 5m 1781785800	1	$5	23	0	+23	open	—	06-18 12:31
btc updown 5m 1780898700	1	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	06-08 06:05
btc updown 5m 1781467200	1	$5	41	0	+41	open	—	06-14 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$5	14	14	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$5	26	0	+26	Down	$-5	05-07 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	3	$5	11	3	+9	open	—	05-14 19:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 16:04
btc updown 5m 1780944600	1	$4	24	0	+24	open	—	06-08 18:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 18:56:37	btc updown 5m 1782932100	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x0b1004…
06-29 18:19:14	btc updown 5m 1782756900	Up	BUY	260	1¢	$2	0xe3a6f8…
06-22 18:53:41	btc updown 5m 1782154200	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xd02ab5…
06-18 12:31:29	btc updown 5m 1781785800	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x8cf132…
06-15 18:11:39	will tsla reach 450 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	29	31¢	$9	0x360276…
06-14 20:02:55	btc updown 5m 1781467200	Down	BUY	41	12¢	$5	0x32d3d3…
06-08 18:53:45	btc updown 5m 1780944600	Down	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x39798e…
06-08 06:28:19	btc updown 5m 1780899900	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0xc8f586…
06-08 06:05:34	btc updown 5m 1780898700	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x606c58…
05-31 19:32:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x409714…
05-31 19:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	7	54¢	$4	0x8c18c4…
05-31 19:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x1d92cd…
05-31 19:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x02936d…
05-31 19:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0x95ce0d…
05-31 19:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x3ba629…
05-31 19:24:25	Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?	No	SELL	38	51¢	$20	0xc9e1b5…
05-14 19:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xf3e766…
05-14 19:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0xfe09c7…
05-14 19:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf3d98b…
05-14 19:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xf3d31c…
05-14 05:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x65c567…
05-14 05:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	7	34¢	$2	0xf98642…
05-14 05:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x9311aa…
05-14 05:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0x185c43…
05-14 05:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x7751e1…
05-12 17:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xe29a84…
05-12 17:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd392dc…
05-08 12:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xb926fa…
05-08 12:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xf81d00…
05-08 12:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0x62254c…
05-08 12:37:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x669828…
05-08 12:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x828f9a…
05-08 12:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x205b4b…
05-08 12:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0x253cf6…
05-08 12:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x49e5ed…
05-08 12:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x95fb52…
05-08 12:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x55a45b…
05-07 16:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x106df8…
05-07 16:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb5be55…
05-07 16:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	92¢	$3	0x4bc99f…
05-07 16:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe998c4…
05-07 15:57:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x6ffa93…
05-07 15:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xae46bd…
05-07 14:27:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	18¢	$5	0x36fa9b…
05-06 14:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xc14f59…
05-06 14:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb218b6…
05-05 17:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x1925c5…
05-05 17:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x95442a…
05-05 17:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x8dddcc…
05-05 17:03:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	21	59¢	$12	0xf02782…
05-05 17:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x23b2c6…
05-05 17:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x9acbc8…
05-05 17:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x41d6a9…
05-05 16:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9e762e…
05-05 14:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x406470…
05-05 14:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xc4ee71…
05-05 14:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	4	85¢	$4	0x57e2fd…
05-05 14:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xc06df0…
05-05 14:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	14	20¢	$3	0x539330…
05-05 14:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xda67db…
05-05 14:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0x63520b…
05-05 14:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0x5928af…
05-05 14:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf84748…
05-05 14:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd62e07…
05-05 14:36:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xfb32f8…
05-05 14:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0x11228f…
05-05 14:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x7c3c7e…
05-05 14:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0xa24c4f…
05-05 14:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x18d5fc…
05-05 14:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xdf09eb…
05-05 14:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x3cbc0b…
05-05 14:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xbf1103…
05-05 14:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x3b0519…
05-01 21:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc55531…
05-01 20:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xcf8d3c…
05-01 20:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x712845…
04-27 18:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x483521…
04-27 18:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xcc04e5…
04-27 18:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0xa2fd8c…
04-27 18:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x02757b…
04-27 18:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa955da…
04-26 19:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x591a62…
04-26 19:37:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0xf62bcd…
04-26 19:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xceeee6…
04-26 19:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe1633f…
04-25 22:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xbc5ffd…
04-25 16:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x3891f5…
04-25 16:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x6165c3…
04-25 16:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x3abd70…
04-25 15:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x020ef6…
04-24 19:04:06	btc updown 5m 1777057200	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x15c3ea…
04-24 19:01:00	btc updown 5m 1777056900	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf617a0…
04-24 18:58:58	btc updown 5m 1777056900	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xba5fa8…
04-18 18:16:16	btc updown 5m 1776536100	Up	BUY	18	19¢	$3	0xf627bc…
04-18 14:46:18	btc updown 5m 1776523500	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xa89397…
04-18 14:37:28	btc updown 5m 1776522900	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x53c8c2…
04-18 14:35:24	btc updown 5m 1776522900	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xabe08e…
03-22 22:13:05	btc updown 5m 1774217400	Up	SELL	59	1¢	$1	0x35ea8a…
03-22 22:11:27	btc updown 5m 1774217400	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x3b6024…
03-22 21:17:01	btc updown 5m 1774214100	Up	BUY	106	24¢	$25	0xad9c68…