Hateful-Amusement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

43.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.15K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

$11

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-03

last 06-08 02:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

46% — —

Crypto

36% 100% +$0

Politics

11% — —

Sports

5% 0% $-0

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes		+13	$7	50¢	$7	$-1	06-01 04:03
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No		+5	$4	94¢	$4	+$0	06-08 02:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	8	$96	49	48	+1	open	—	03-17 02:53
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	4	$92	58	53	+5	open	—	03-29 12:05
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	4	$84	45	45	+0	open	—	02-15 10:00
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	2	$74	38	38	+0	open	—	05-15 02:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	5	$65	49	29	+20	open	—	05-22 01:35
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	4	$64	37	32	+5	open	—	06-08 02:26
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	5	$46	25	25	+0	open	—	02-23 11:34
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	3	$43	31	14	+16	open	—	03-01 05:39
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 10 16	1	$41	204	0	+204	open	—	02-15 12:49
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	4	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	02-23 11:33
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$38	19	19	+0	open	—	04-15 02:29
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	4	$31	45	0	+45	open	—	03-25 12:53
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	02-23 11:34
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	3	$28	20	10	+10	open	—	04-26 03:34
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$28	15	15	+0	open	—	05-08 08:51
will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	4	$25	21	8	+13	open	—	04-06 05:42
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$25	13	13	+0	No	$-0	03-24 01:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	2	$23	13	12	+1	open	—	04-10 01:15
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	2	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	04-15 02:30
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	04-06 05:35
Katana FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-19 09:10
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$14	16	0	+16	open	—	05-08 08:51
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	04-27 02:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	2	$13	7	7	+0	open	—	05-08 08:50
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-20 03:24
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	1	$12	15	0	+15	open	—	05-22 01:36
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	2	$12	7	6	+0	open	—	06-01 04:03
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	04-20 03:23
another us government shutdown by february 14	2	$10	15	15	+0	open	—	02-13 04:31
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 90 114	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-07 02:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 02:26:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xd687a3…
06-08 02:26:06	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	27	94¢	$25	0xf18038…
06-08 02:24:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0xf0ca6e…
06-01 04:05:20	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	21	93¢	$19	0x633cbf…
06-01 04:03:47	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	57¢	$7	0x2364ff…
06-01 04:03:09	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x59a150…
05-22 01:36:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?	No	BUY	15	81¢	$12	0x05c9e9…
05-22 01:35:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	17	88¢	$15	0xc66694…
05-15 02:19:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x6617b6…
05-15 02:18:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	16	82¢	$13	0x5e0be6…
05-15 02:16:32	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	38	98¢	$37	0x6562f6…
05-15 02:15:47	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0xc22bc6…
05-15 02:15:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	12	81¢	$10	0x3f4b51…
05-08 08:52:47	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x13a4c8…
05-08 08:51:58	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	16	90¢	$14	0x1a3948…
05-08 08:51:44	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0x003f91…
05-08 08:51:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	14	79¢	$11	0x095ea5…
05-08 08:50:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$6	0xefdab6…
05-04 08:25:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xbc7d9b…
05-03 12:39:12	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x52706a…
04-27 02:29:54	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xc355f6…
04-26 03:34:02	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xbf34b2…
04-20 03:35:10	Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0xde5e2c…
04-20 03:24:24	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x0ccb25…
04-20 03:23:52	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	92¢	$11	0xbed50e…
04-15 02:34:00	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x57ef08…
04-15 02:32:48	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0x1be931…
04-15 02:30:06	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x58bfe5…
04-15 02:29:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x89ccf7…
04-10 06:28:29	USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x2394ba…
04-10 01:19:19	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x6f1c18…
04-10 01:17:47	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x325ffc…
04-10 01:15:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	SELL	12	96¢	$11	0xf098f5…
04-06 14:02:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0xb971a4…
04-06 05:42:35	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xbca0eb…
04-06 05:35:37	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0xb2b101…
04-06 05:29:05	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0x2f0eed…
04-02 06:52:27	will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x6acfa9…
04-02 06:39:37	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xfabd79…
04-02 04:32:09	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x6732ed…
03-29 12:05:12	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	16	90¢	$14	0xc0d391…
03-25 12:53:23	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	19	69¢	$13	0xd16b8c…
03-25 12:52:35	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x451dd7…
03-25 12:52:19	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0xa8e399…
03-25 12:52:11	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0xb53e3e…
03-25 12:51:57	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	37	84¢	$31	0x928b25…
03-24 09:21:05	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	21	79¢	$16	0x16ccae…
03-24 01:32:13	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0x9b0fdf…
03-20 15:17:03	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0x710098…
03-20 15:17:01	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0xe2d934…
03-20 15:15:21	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	8	97¢	$7	0xfd2c46…
03-19 09:10:11	Katana FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x139a38…
03-17 02:59:01	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 300 319	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x25d083…
03-17 02:56:15	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x134e67…
03-17 02:55:11	Katana FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xeddb1c…
03-17 02:54:23	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 240 259	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x94dcf6…
03-17 02:53:11	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x3be6e2…
03-12 01:18:49	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xcff7db…
03-12 01:18:41	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x527518…
03-12 01:18:23	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x5584e0…
03-07 12:32:15	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x764ff8…
03-07 12:31:13	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x2ea621…
03-07 12:31:03	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd96f19…
03-07 12:30:55	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7af72d…
03-01 05:39:11	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	14	95¢	$14	0x6751fa…
02-23 11:35:04	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0xaf24dd…
02-23 11:34:48	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x610426…
02-23 11:34:36	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x7e3f74…
02-23 11:34:10	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	15	97¢	$14	0x8f579f…
02-23 11:34:02	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xaa6945…
02-23 11:33:34	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x4b45e7…
02-23 11:18:52	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x5e0358…
02-23 11:18:36	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0aa36f…
02-23 11:18:24	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0xabb76d…
02-15 12:49:17	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 10 16	Yes	BUY	204	20¢	$41	0x02382d…
02-15 10:00:29	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	40	94¢	$37	0x8323d0…
02-15 06:20:39	btc updown 5m 1771136400	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xc8c802…
02-15 06:20:07	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$37	0x912a2c…
02-15 06:19:27	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xbf3cae…
02-13 04:31:05	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0xd5d78e…
02-11 13:31:11	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x3035cd…
02-11 10:17:03	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xf6e11e…
02-11 03:34:17	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x7a22f7…
02-07 03:17:07	xrp above 1pt6 on february 7	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd93a9c…
02-07 02:39:33	elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 90 114	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xefcfd0…
02-07 02:38:19	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xd50305…
02-07 02:37:23	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x7106a2…
02-07 02:36:43	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Seahawks	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x79c16d…
02-03 11:52:52	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase february 3 9	Yes	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xc1a0b4…
02-03 11:43:22	will hyperliquid reach 40 in february	Yes	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xe6dc31…
02-03 11:01:04	Rainbow FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc048bf…
02-03 10:54:42	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase february 3 9	Yes	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xa9c467…
02-03 09:57:52	Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xa3536b…
02-03 09:47:44	Tria FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x7d4c61…
02-03 09:45:18	Tria FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xea2108…
02-03 09:38:56	Rainbow FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf2e5c2…
02-03 09:37:16	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xaad320…
02-03 09:37:00	Zama FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xbeae0e…
02-03 09:34:08	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 380 399	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x647861…