Flickering-Spree — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$115

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-18 18:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 50% $-8

Politics

25% — —

Other

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	2	$14	33	33	+0	No	$-4	05-11 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$13	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 14:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	2	$13	23	23	+0	open	—	05-14 16:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	2	$12	71	70	+1	No	$-5	05-12 01:46
Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$12	75	74	+1	open	—	05-13 20:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	2	$10	46	45	+0	open	—	05-12 10:36
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$9	12	12	+0	open	—	05-18 18:56
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	2	$7	16	15	+0	open	—	05-10 04:55
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 11-17?	2	$6	37	37	+0	open	—	05-13 15:12
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	2	$6	23	23	+0	open	—	05-12 18:21
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 May 11-17?	2	$5	8	8	+0	open	—	05-13 13:45
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	2	$5	24	23	+0	open	—	05-09 14:03
Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$3	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 18:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 15:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 18:56:37	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	12	54¢	$7	0x79fe88…
05-14 18:32:05	Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xe35949…
05-14 16:06:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	No	SELL	23	20¢	$5	0x1e99e6…
05-13 20:00:37	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	74	6¢	$4	0x9e7ccd…
05-13 15:12:01	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 11-17?	Yes	SELL	37	5¢	$2	0x1dbb51…
05-13 13:45:20	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 May 11-17?	Yes	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0xa3b5bb…
05-13 04:31:31	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	37	11¢	$4	0x107ea2…
05-12 18:21:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	9¢	$2	0xe19356…
05-12 10:36:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	45	7¢	$3	0x30ba32…
05-12 10:31:34	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x852192…
05-12 02:31:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	23	34¢	$8	0x76b991…
05-12 01:46:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	70	5¢	$3	0xe26adb…
05-11 16:30:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	71	12¢	$8	0xe3d658…
05-11 14:36:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	33	16¢	$5	0x4eacc4…
05-11 06:45:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	46	14¢	$6	0x4c75a7…
05-11 06:12:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	33	27¢	$9	0x233975…
05-11 04:44:31	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	16¢	$4	0x5ef5fd…
05-10 22:40:22	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	75	10¢	$7	0xb25450…
05-10 04:55:23	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	SELL	15	16¢	$2	0x09d64c…
05-09 14:03:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	23	7¢	$2	0x949753…
05-09 09:27:00	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x8dcdc8…
05-09 09:26:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	24	13¢	$3	0xab12f2…
05-09 09:25:51	Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$3	0x899be1…
05-07 22:35:05	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	BUY	16	28¢	$4	0xa824ff…
05-07 15:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2c8dac…
05-07 15:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe31fe5…
05-07 14:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x80b5c9…
05-07 13:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x625b96…