Flickering-Spree — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$442

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 07-26 12:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

48% 50% $-8

Other

28% — —

Sports

12% — —

Politics

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1782989100	3	$35	49	36	+13	open	—	07-02 10:47
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	4	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	07-10 10:04
btc updown 5m 1782988800	2	$18	21	21	+0	open	—	07-02 10:43
btc updown 5m 1782989400	1	$15	30	0	+30	open	—	07-02 10:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	2	$14	33	33	+0	No	$-4	05-11 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$13	7	7	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 14:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	2	$13	23	23	+0	open	—	05-14 16:06
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	2	$12	71	70	+1	No	$-5	05-12 01:46
Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	2	$12	75	74	+1	open	—	05-13 20:00
will neymar jr score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	07-05 21:59
will marc cucurella score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	07-19 22:05
will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	07-13 12:07
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	07-11 23:30
will att t q2 total revenue be above 32pt2b 20260703212929590	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	07-22 10:38
total internet blackout in iran by july 31 2026 20260720155238427	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	07-26 11:34
world cup messi to score 2 penalties 20260605004829032	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	07-19 21:34
will rodri score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	07-19 21:29
will xagusd reach 68 in july 2026	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	07-16 20:06
will xauusd reach 4300 in july 2026	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	07-26 12:09
israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	07-13 01:46
will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	07-20 11:38
will bitcoin dip to 60k july 6 12 2026	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	07-10 02:51
btc updown 5m 1782990000	2	$10	22	0	+22	open	—	07-02 11:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	2	$10	46	45	+0	open	—	05-12 10:36
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$9	12	12	+0	open	—	05-18 18:56
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	2	$7	16	15	+0	open	—	05-10 04:55
btc updown 5m 1782989700	3	$6	16	11	+5	open	—	07-02 10:59
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 11-17?	2	$6	37	37	+0	open	—	05-13 15:12
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	2	$6	23	23	+0	open	—	05-12 18:21
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	07-20 12:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-26 12:09:58	will xauusd reach 4300 in july 2026	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xae48f7…
07-26 11:34:37	total internet blackout in iran by july 31 2026 20260720155238427	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x2fa5e3…
07-22 21:22:04	total internet blackout in iran by july 31 2026 20260720155238427	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xaefa02…
07-22 14:49:52	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by july 31 20260707171829812	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x6ff47b…
07-22 10:38:52	will att t q2 total revenue be above 32pt2b 20260703212929590	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x456840…
07-22 08:19:51	will xauusd reach 4300 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x1e1b45…
07-20 12:03:00	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x39e2c9…
07-20 11:38:28	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xb2e339…
07-19 22:05:03	will marc cucurella score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3d709e…
07-19 21:34:45	world cup messi to score 2 penalties 20260605004829032	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x65b3ab…
07-19 21:29:40	will rodri score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x96cb7b…
07-16 20:06:43	will xagusd reach 68 in july 2026	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xc325bb…
07-14 07:16:29	will stripes valuation hit high 180 by july 31 20260629184728769	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xb594cb…
07-13 18:19:31	will spy dip to 720 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x9c2670…
07-13 16:12:02	will maria corina machado enter venezuela by july 31 20260626160132235	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x413260…
07-13 14:32:31	iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x72bc3f…
07-13 12:37:01	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xf3f16e…
07-13 12:29:10	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x3cdbbd…
07-13 12:07:44	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xefc640…
07-13 01:46:46	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x10b88e…
07-12 00:14:46	will xagusd dip to 52 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x939981…
07-11 23:30:34	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x18e409…
07-11 14:24:04	will xagusd reach 68 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x157d5d…
07-11 12:45:37	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0x99cfc1…
07-11 12:42:34	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	No	BUY	4	83¢	$4	0x137737…
07-11 10:04:38	will msft dip to 345 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xe4fe66…
07-11 07:13:31	will spy dip to 710 in july 2026	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x1dce65…
07-10 21:53:52	iran successfully targets shipping by july 15 20260707223722047 799	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x9a9980…
07-10 19:33:37	will rodri score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x50b4fd…
07-10 10:04:16	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xe227f5…
07-10 07:49:16	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin july 7 13	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x10b608…
07-10 05:30:49	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x3f005e…
07-10 02:51:13	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 6 12 2026	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x81ec3e…
07-09 19:19:56	will att t q2 total revenue be above 32pt2b 20260703212929590	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x638acb…
07-09 10:05:49	world cup messi to score 2 penalties 20260605004829032	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x45e34b…
07-09 07:42:52	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x5ad899…
07-06 21:17:47	will bitcoin dip to 60k july 6 12 2026	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xe6f781…
07-06 14:50:53	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x92bba2…
07-06 07:18:26	will marc cucurella score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xc05787…
07-06 02:06:11	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x75783b…
07-05 21:59:41	will neymar jr score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x50f490…
07-04 21:00:50	israeli parliament dissolved by july 15	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x53638c…
07-04 18:59:26	will neymar jr score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x02cef5…
07-02 11:06:52	btc updown 5m 1782990300	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x40b381…
07-02 11:02:20	btc updown 5m 1782990000	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xe43465…
07-02 11:00:22	btc updown 5m 1782990000	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x52fde2…
07-02 10:59:10	btc updown 5m 1782989700	Up	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0xe69966…
07-02 10:56:13	btc updown 5m 1782989700	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xa16e70…
07-02 10:56:05	btc updown 5m 1782989700	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x1694d3…
07-02 10:50:32	btc updown 5m 1782989400	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x6b7a9f…
07-02 10:47:20	btc updown 5m 1782989100	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xf5ccf3…
07-02 10:46:41	btc updown 5m 1782989100	Up	SELL	36	61¢	$22	0x225fee…
07-02 10:45:40	btc updown 5m 1782989100	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xf4996d…
07-02 10:43:35	btc updown 5m 1782988800	Down	SELL	21	68¢	$14	0x413f0d…
07-02 10:42:31	btc updown 5m 1782988800	Down	BUY	21	19¢	$4	0x79e412…
07-02 10:36:16	btc updown 5m 1782988500	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xb15fb4…
07-02 10:20:47	btc updown 5m 1782987600	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xc253da…
07-02 10:16:58	btc updown 5m 1782987300	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xe0fb17…
05-18 18:56:37	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	12	54¢	$7	0x79fe88…
05-14 18:32:05	Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xe35949…
05-14 16:06:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	No	SELL	23	20¢	$5	0x1e99e6…
05-13 20:00:37	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	74	6¢	$4	0x9e7ccd…
05-13 15:12:01	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 11-17?	Yes	SELL	37	5¢	$2	0x1dbb51…
05-13 13:45:20	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 May 11-17?	Yes	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0xa3b5bb…
05-13 04:31:31	Will Ethereum reach $2,500 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	37	11¢	$4	0x107ea2…
05-12 18:21:05	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	9¢	$2	0xe19356…
05-12 10:36:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	45	7¢	$3	0x30ba32…
05-12 10:31:34	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 May 11-17?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x852192…
05-12 02:31:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	23	34¢	$8	0x76b991…
05-12 01:46:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	70	5¢	$3	0xe26adb…
05-11 16:30:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	71	12¢	$8	0xe3d658…
05-11 14:36:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	Yes	SELL	33	16¢	$5	0x4eacc4…
05-11 06:45:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	46	14¢	$6	0x4c75a7…
05-11 06:12:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?	Yes	BUY	33	27¢	$9	0x233975…
05-11 04:44:31	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	16¢	$4	0x5ef5fd…
05-10 22:40:22	Will Azerbaijan advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	75	10¢	$7	0xb25450…
05-10 04:55:23	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	SELL	15	16¢	$2	0x09d64c…
05-09 14:03:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	23	7¢	$2	0x949753…
05-09 09:27:00	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x8dcdc8…
05-09 09:26:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	24	13¢	$3	0xab12f2…
05-09 09:25:51	Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$3	0x899be1…
05-07 22:35:05	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	BUY	16	28¢	$4	0xa824ff…
05-07 15:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x2c8dac…
05-07 15:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe31fe5…
05-07 14:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x80b5c9…
05-07 13:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0x625b96…