Junior-Fate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.47K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$105

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-17

last 06-17 05:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Sports

65% 67% +$2

Politics

28% 0% -$1

Crypto

4% 93% -$5

Other

2% 67% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-17).

Open positions Resolved markets (21) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	5	$1.4K	715	715	+0	No	+$0	03-17 08:57
Will Jim Risch be the Republican nominee for Senate in Idaho?	3	$978	1,954	0	+1,954	Yes	-$1	03-19 01:07
nba 2025 26 bpg leader dereck lively	2	$679	1,364	0	+1,364	No	+$3	03-17 06:43
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	2	$178	356	0	+356	No	$0	04-15 07:41
will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$62	762	762	+0	No	-$5	03-17 07:24
ethereum up or down april 17 2026 4am et	1	$40	40	0	+40	Up	+$0	04-17 08:49
solana up or down april 16 2026 9pm et	1	$19	19	0	+19	Down	+$0	04-17 01:51
ethereum up or down april 15 2026 4am et	1	$14	14	0	+14	Up	+$0	04-15 08:54
bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 3am et	1	$9	9	0	+9	Down	+$0	04-15 07:58
will ethereum dip to 2150 on april 18	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	04-19 00:06
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 59°F or below on May 13?	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	05-12 03:10
bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 3am et	1	$9	9	0	+9	Up	+$0	03-17 07:57
bitcoin above 73600 on april 17 2026 6am et	1	$8	8	0	+8	Yes	+$0	04-17 09:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET	1	$8	8	0	+8	Down	+$0	05-19 01:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$8	8	0	+8	Down	+$0	05-08 03:52
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$8	4	4	+0	No	+$0	06-17 05:15
bitcoin up or down april 16 2026 8pm et	1	$7	7	0	+7	Down	+$0	04-17 00:53
will xrp reach 1pt55 on april 16	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	04-17 00:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 4?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-04 09:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	-$5	05-27 02:59
ethereum up or down june 5 2026 4am et	1	$3	3	0	+3	Down	+$0	06-05 08:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 05:15:13	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x04a642…
06-15 07:59:39	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x95fa72…
06-05 08:57:49	ethereum up or down june 5 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa1c2d8…
05-27 02:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3bb70e…
05-19 01:57:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9cd5c3…
05-12 03:10:09	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 59°F or below on May 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf76633…
05-08 03:52:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcf4e47…
05-04 09:18:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4e177d…
04-19 00:06:34	will ethereum dip to 2150 on april 18	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x087f3a…
04-17 09:20:48	bitcoin above 73600 on april 17 2026 6am et	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfedd52…
04-17 08:49:42	ethereum up or down april 17 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x224452…
04-17 01:51:10	solana up or down april 16 2026 9pm et	Down	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xe01abb…
04-17 00:53:18	bitcoin up or down april 16 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xe86c71…
04-17 00:44:26	will xrp reach 1pt55 on april 16	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x16958e…
04-15 08:54:08	ethereum up or down april 15 2026 4am et	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x9317e6…
04-15 07:58:26	bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 3am et	Down	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x8e86b9…
04-15 07:41:36	Will the Charlotte Hornets win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	178	98¢	$174	0x4ad1b8…
04-15 07:41:24	Will the Charlotte Hornets win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	Yes	BUY	178	2¢	$4	0xbced9d…
03-19 01:07:17	Will Jim Risch be the Republican nominee for Senate in Idaho?	No	BUY	977	4¢	$43	0xec9955…
03-19 01:04:37	Will Jim Risch be the Republican nominee for Senate in Idaho?	Yes	BUY	483	96¢	$462	0x7bd7f3…
03-19 01:02:03	Will Jim Risch be the Republican nominee for Senate in Idaho?	Yes	BUY	494	96¢	$473	0x87a4f3…
03-17 08:57:31	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	379	98¢	$371	0xb29d39…
03-17 08:55:59	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0x7f2f59…
03-17 08:17:39	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	155	98¢	$152	0xa2a7ad…
03-17 08:14:33	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	121	98¢	$118	0xb7bdd2…
03-17 08:07:19	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	715	98¢	$700	0x7fd6dc…
03-17 07:57:21	bitcoin up or down march 17 2026 3am et	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8013e2…
03-17 07:24:09	will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	39	4¢	$1	0xe5d5cd…
03-17 07:22:19	will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	708	4¢	$27	0x721df1…
03-17 07:22:11	will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0xcfba9d…
03-17 06:57:57	will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	762	4¢	$34	0x480724…
03-17 06:43:05	nba 2025 26 bpg leader dereck lively	Yes	BUY	682	1¢	$5	0x3bb0c6…
03-17 06:28:25	nba 2025 26 bpg leader dereck lively	No	BUY	682	99¢	$674	0x7ecff9…