Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.6%

Resolved

Trades

907

lifetime

Volume

$5.74K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 06-04 11:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

58% 33% +$2

Politics

37% — —

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cs2 fa r2 2026 03 02	43	$673	790	1,005	-215	open	—	03-02 13:12
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	14	$276	520	620	-100	open	—	03-01 10:43
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	10	$206	254	254	+0	open	—	03-01 09:02
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	5	$155	205	205	+0	open	—	03-01 09:25
will another country strike iran by march 31 833	6	$144	160	160	+0	open	—	03-01 12:21
will global temperature increase by between 1pt20c and 1pt24c in february 2026	23	$140	263	306	-43	open	—	03-11 08:42
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	4	$117	105	105	+0	open	—	03-02 09:07
Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	14	$116	134	159	-25	open	—	03-06 10:14
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	5	$115	200	200	+0	open	—	03-01 08:06
us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	9	$110	132	155	-23	open	—	03-01 10:59
will scream 7 opening weekend box office be greater than 65m	21	$99	327	327	+0	open	—	03-02 09:19
Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	14	$97	340	390	-50	No	+$4	03-06 13:39
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	11	$95	300	300	+0	open	—	03-01 11:14
SAVE America Act becomes law by March 31, 2026?	7	$93	64	64	+0	open	—	03-10 07:55
will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	9	$91	300	350	-50	open	—	03-06 07:57
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	17	$89	550	550	+0	open	—	03-01 08:23
will global temperature increase by more than 1pt24c in february 2026	21	$89	210	210	+0	open	—	03-11 08:09
Nothing Ever Happens: March	12	$87	249	313	-64	open	—	03-06 10:41
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	9	$87	274	295	-21	open	—	03-10 09:08
will ethereum dip to 1600 in march 2026	8	$82	126	126	+0	open	—	03-02 12:04
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	4	$72	150	150	+0	open	—	03-01 11:12
will elon musks net worth be less than 640b on march 31	8	$69	97	122	-25	open	—	03-06 11:07
will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	8	$68	95	195	-100	open	—	03-02 13:22
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	7	$68	100	100	+0	open	—	03-05 13:12
gpt 5pt4 released by march 5	6	$66	220	220	+0	open	—	03-05 11:23
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 1 334	8	$66	315	415	-100	open	—	03-01 09:08
will iran strike dimona by march 31	10	$62	104	105	-1	open	—	03-01 13:13
will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	13	$60	260	410	-150	open	—	03-06 07:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$57	50	150	-100	open	—	03-10 05:18
open above 5 on march 13 2026	4	$53	70	70	+0	open	—	03-10 08:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 11:49:45	sol updown 15m 1780573500	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x000081…
06-04 11:47:54	eth updown 15m 1780573500	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xd67554…
06-04 11:45:36	btc updown 15m 1780573500	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xbc5804…
03-12 17:47:41	Will Trey Hendrickson play for Baltimore Ravens in 2026-27?	No	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3ec4e1…
03-12 12:00:37	will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	SELL	60	14¢	$8	0x378d18…
03-12 12:00:01	will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	BUY	60	14¢	$8	0x108c31…
03-12 11:54:19	will pearl be said during the valorant masters grand finals	No	SELL	60	4¢	$2	0x70b5e3…
03-12 11:52:39	will pearl be said during the valorant masters grand finals	No	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x6edda3…
03-12 11:49:45	will there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	SELL	18	3¢	$1	0xfd6c29…
03-12 11:49:25	will undertone opening weekend box office be less than 7m	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xf707ba…
03-12 11:48:15	will undertone opening weekend box office be less than 7m	Yes	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0x2269ea…
03-12 11:47:39	will there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0xc47b79…
03-12 11:47:23	will undertone opening weekend box office be less than 7m	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x4c7b02…
03-12 11:46:05	will there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xa7aca0…
03-12 11:45:21	will undertone opening weekend box office be less than 7m	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0xc0bb95…
03-12 11:44:53	will there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xbaca60…
03-12 11:37:15	will undertone opening weekend box office be less than 7m	Yes	SELL	40	9¢	$4	0xd3170c…
03-12 11:35:37	will undertone opening weekend box office be less than 7m	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x394849…
03-12 11:35:29	will tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in q1 2026	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xbded85…
03-12 11:34:45	will tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in q1 2026	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0xd923cc…
03-12 11:34:33	will tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in q1 2026	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x8da6e5…
03-12 11:30:13	will tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in q1 2026	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x63b255…
03-12 09:30:03	will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0xdcb235…
03-12 09:27:47	will there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0xfaea2a…
03-12 09:26:23	will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xebaf02…
03-12 09:26:21	will there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xcf01b6…
03-12 09:26:17	will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 696 531 583 497	Yes	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0x0c833d…
03-12 09:23:43	will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 696 531 583 497	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xe25883…
03-12 09:17:07	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x87dc2e…
03-12 09:16:53	will annual inflation increase by 3pt3 in march	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x094ecb…
03-12 09:13:43	will annual inflation increase by 3pt4 in march	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x40fb6d…
03-12 09:13:01	will annual inflation increase by 3pt3 in march	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x6cc0e7…
03-12 08:39:03	will tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in q1 2026	Yes	SELL	35	13¢	$5	0x339067…
03-12 08:37:19	will tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in q1 2026	Yes	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0x63947b…
03-12 08:28:07	another us bank failure by march 31	Yes	SELL	30	18¢	$5	0x91f87b…
03-12 08:26:57	another us bank failure by march 31	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x8b1d42…
03-12 08:18:07	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0xd7edd4…
03-12 08:17:39	will 45 or more ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xe1ca10…
03-12 08:14:41	will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	SELL	55	9¢	$5	0x89b9a4…
03-12 08:12:55	will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	BUY	55	10¢	$6	0xde5502…
03-12 07:51:29	will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	No	SELL	30	24¢	$7	0x08485b…
03-12 07:50:39	will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	No	BUY	30	24¢	$7	0xb2a292…
03-12 07:38:07	will fewer than 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0xd0afd6…
03-12 07:37:43	will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	No	SELL	10	24¢	$2	0x612455…
03-12 07:36:41	will tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in q1 2026	No	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0x920b5b…
03-12 07:19:47	will fewer than 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	Yes	BUY	25	7¢	$2	0x72442d…
03-12 07:11:43	Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?	No	SELL	40	9¢	$3	0xb41fc6…
03-12 07:07:57	Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?	No	SELL	13	9¢	$1	0x3568a6…
03-12 07:07:27	Anthropic $500B+ valuation in 2026?	No	BUY	52	10¢	$5	0x39f4d1…
03-12 07:05:17	will any country expel a us ambassador by march 31	Yes	SELL	150	3¢	$4	0x1fac60…
03-12 07:03:35	will any country expel a us ambassador by march 31	Yes	BUY	150	3¢	$4	0x667cd4…
03-12 06:54:19	will project hail mary opening weekend box office be greater than 90m	Yes	SELL	30	20¢	$6	0x66d9df…
03-12 06:53:45	will project hail mary opening weekend box office be greater than 90m	Yes	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0x946664…
03-12 06:41:25	will american girls harry styles be the 1 song on us spotify this week	No	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x857add…
03-12 06:39:11	will american girls harry styles be the 1 song on us spotify this week	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xf8e160…
03-12 06:32:27	will american girls harry styles be the 1 song on us spotify this week	No	SELL	24	4¢	$1	0xe6898b…
03-12 06:30:19	will american girls harry styles be the 1 song on us spotify this week	No	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xe0535c…
03-12 06:23:29	will fewer than 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	Yes	SELL	35	6¢	$2	0x2b3ff0…
03-12 06:23:07	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 15	No	SELL	55	28¢	$15	0xe018d2…
03-12 06:22:19	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 15	No	BUY	55	28¢	$15	0xac0d15…
03-12 06:22:15	will fewer than 10 ships transit the strait of hormuz between march 10 16	Yes	BUY	35	7¢	$2	0x5df159…
03-12 04:43:19	Will Trey Hendrickson play for Tampa Bay Buccaneers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x68ea21…
03-11 14:03:53	x banned in uk by march 31	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xfc17f4…
03-11 13:57:33	Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?	No	SELL	12	23¢	$3	0x21f323…
03-11 13:57:09	Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?	No	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xe0b9c0…
03-11 13:37:03	x banned in uk by march 31	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x9f3fba…
03-11 13:36:59	x banned in uk by march 31	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x9cfa47…
03-11 13:12:45	will russia enter orikhiv by march 31	Yes	SELL	40	7¢	$3	0xebf6b7…
03-11 13:12:25	will russia enter orikhiv by march 31	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x85a377…
03-11 13:10:33	x banned in uk by march 31	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x0d2ab6…
03-11 13:10:29	x banned in uk by march 31	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x313721…
03-11 13:10:09	will dynasty the murdochs be the top global netflix show this week	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x7cd85c…
03-11 13:09:49	x banned in uk by march 31	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xc3ff83…
03-11 13:09:45	x banned in uk by march 31	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x2a5c76…
03-11 13:09:25	rbrk quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 12 2026 neg0pt11	No	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0xe28aad…
03-11 13:09:11	x banned in uk by march 31	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xcbd8ed…
03-11 13:09:07	x banned in uk by march 31	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x678091…
03-11 13:08:57	will dynasty the murdochs be the top global netflix show this week	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x31fdae…
03-11 13:08:45	will congress pass any tariffs by march 31	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x33cc42…
03-11 13:08:27	Will Trey Hendrickson play for Buffalo Bills in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0x4ca72e…
03-11 13:05:33	Will Trey Hendrickson play for Kansas City Chiefs in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	103	0¢	$0	0x08de72…
03-11 13:04:35	Will Trey Hendrickson play for Kansas City Chiefs in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x7a4362…
03-11 13:04:31	Will Trey Hendrickson play for Kansas City Chiefs in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xf6d848…
03-11 13:04:31	Will Trey Hendrickson play for Kansas City Chiefs in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x84a9d6…
03-11 13:04:27	Will Trey Hendrickson play for Kansas City Chiefs in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	9	0¢	$0	0x92380e…
03-11 13:04:17	Will Trey Hendrickson play for Kansas City Chiefs in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	326	0¢	$1	0x639e40…
03-11 13:03:37	Will Trey Hendrickson play for Kansas City Chiefs in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	65	0¢	$0	0x78559a…
03-11 13:03:35	Will Trey Hendrickson play for Kansas City Chiefs in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	19	0¢	$0	0x4b1d2e…
03-11 13:03:35	Will Trey Hendrickson play for Kansas City Chiefs in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x1440b2…
03-11 13:03:33	Will Trey Hendrickson play for Kansas City Chiefs in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xd7d8da…
03-11 13:03:31	Will Trey Hendrickson play for Kansas City Chiefs in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	34	0¢	$0	0x29f43a…
03-11 13:03:23	Will Trey Hendrickson play for Kansas City Chiefs in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xdb3b2e…
03-11 13:03:21	Will Trey Hendrickson play for Kansas City Chiefs in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	61	0¢	$0	0x5d15e9…
03-11 13:03:15	Will Trey Hendrickson play for Kansas City Chiefs in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe281a1…
03-11 13:03:15	Will Trey Hendrickson play for Kansas City Chiefs in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xa85525…
03-11 13:03:15	Will Trey Hendrickson play for Kansas City Chiefs in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x2fd07a…
03-11 13:03:13	Will Trey Hendrickson play for Kansas City Chiefs in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	20	0¢	$0	0x199464…
03-11 13:02:17	Will Trey Hendrickson play for Kansas City Chiefs in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	56	0¢	$0	0x5247b9…
03-11 13:02:15	Will Trey Hendrickson play for Kansas City Chiefs in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x7d9072…
03-11 13:02:07	Will Trey Hendrickson play for Kansas City Chiefs in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x6a13c0…