Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

26.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$719

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-07

last 08-12 17:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

75% 0% $-21

Politics

25% 100% +$25

Sports

0% 0% $-2

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	5	$212	110	110	+0	open	—	08-12 17:49
italy nordio reform referendum passes	18	$159	258	58	+200	open	—	03-15 16:49
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$38	50	0	+50	open	—	07-27 18:36
will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	2	$38	100	100	+0	open	—	02-08 07:40
iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 937 179 655	2	$36	104	0	+104	open	—	08-09 13:48
will spd win the second most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	4	$29	26	26	+0	open	—	03-12 20:29
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	2	$27	50	50	+0	open	—	08-09 13:41
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1m barrels per day in 2026?	4	$21	78	0	+78	Yes	$-21	03-03 22:57
will spd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	3	$20	26	26	+0	open	—	03-12 20:29
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	2	$13	136	0	+136	open	—	03-01 23:11
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$12	67	0	+67	open	—	02-08 22:16
will iran strike syria in march	1	$11	50	0	+50	open	—	03-03 23:10
will israel strike lebanon on february 14 2026	3	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	02-09 20:37
will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 2025	6	$10	60	0	+60	open	—	02-08 13:11
will israel strike lebanon on february 12 2026	3	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	02-09 20:28
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$9	100	0	+100	open	—	02-11 21:04
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	2	$8	33	0	+33	Yes	+$25	02-21 03:38
any of the stolen kitkats recovered by april 5	1	$8	50	0	+50	open	—	03-31 21:58
will iran strike lebanon in march	1	$7	50	0	+50	open	—	03-03 23:12
will the sbc initiative be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	3	$5	20	0	+20	open	—	02-24 05:41
will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	1	$4	50	0	+50	open	—	02-19 17:55
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	3	$4	17	17	+0	open	—	05-12 20:10
Will Cal Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	2	$4	20	20	+0	open	—	05-16 13:01
will germany strike iran by march 31	1	$4	37	0	+37	open	—	03-02 01:25
will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 1520	1	$3	100	0	+100	open	—	02-08 00:20
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$3	36	0	+36	open	—	02-07 23:25
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5	1	$2	59	0	+59	Under 5.5	$-2	05-11 21:36
Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	2	$2	30	30	+0	open	—	03-10 06:19
will andr ventura win the second round by 05 218	1	$2	200	0	+200	open	—	02-08 00:18
Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$1	50	0	+50	open	—	02-07 23:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 17:49:04	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0x55d01b…
08-12 17:12:00	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xf9e80b…
08-09 13:48:01	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 937 179 655	Yes	BUY	54	31¢	$17	0xbb0c55…
08-09 13:41:58	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	SELL	50	33¢	$16	0x8b4f4d…
07-28 22:18:34	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	38	94¢	$36	0xfd984f…
07-28 19:43:44	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0xdf0530…
07-28 17:52:59	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674	Yes	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0xbbf152…
07-28 17:48:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by december 31	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0xfd8b49…
07-27 18:36:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0x8201ff…
07-27 17:11:37	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xcd29b6…
05-16 13:01:22	Will Cal Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x70d926…
05-15 13:47:35	Will BNB reach $1,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x3d1f8d…
05-14 13:35:59	Will BNB reach $1,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	0¢	$0	0x06f482…
05-14 00:28:03	Will BNB reach $1,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x5254cb…
05-13 21:21:47	Will XRP dip to $0.60 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xa0b675…
05-12 20:10:31	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	17	14¢	$2	0xac0713…
05-12 02:49:56	Will XRP dip to $0.60 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x10858d…
05-11 23:34:28	Will Cal Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x1d2369…
05-11 22:13:39	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x7a6a6a…
05-11 22:13:26	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x25eb03…
05-11 21:36:22	NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Lakers Total Games O/U 5.5	Over 5.5	BUY	59	3¢	$2	0xc076e2…
03-31 21:58:27	any of the stolen kitkats recovered by april 5	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x1b9c18…
03-15 16:49:33	italy nordio reform referendum passes	Yes	SELL	51	44¢	$22	0xbc6871…
03-13 22:09:01	italy nordio reform referendum passes	Yes	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0xcedd96…
03-12 20:29:55	will spd win the second most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	11	51¢	$6	0x661261…
03-12 20:29:27	will spd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	26	47¢	$12	0x84b84d…
03-12 20:29:15	will spd win the second most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	15	52¢	$8	0xf0df12…
03-11 23:42:31	italy nordio reform referendum passes	Yes	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0xdf8eac…
03-10 06:19:03	Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0x27d119…
03-09 21:45:13	italy nordio reform referendum passes	Yes	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0xc2c7e4…
03-08 21:24:13	italy nordio reform referendum passes	Yes	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x7ed022…
03-08 21:00:19	italy nordio reform referendum passes	Yes	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0xecafa2…
03-05 19:25:07	italy nordio reform referendum passes	Yes	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0xca2270…
03-03 23:12:35	will iran strike lebanon in march	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x9961d7…
03-03 23:10:33	will iran strike syria in march	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x077f7e…
03-03 22:57:41	Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1m barrels per day in 2026?	No	BUY	19	23¢	$4	0x04b8b2…
03-02 01:25:41	will germany strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	37	10¢	$4	0xb06bd9…
03-01 23:11:59	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	106	9¢	$10	0xb20eac…
03-01 23:06:39	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0xbcaf05…
02-28 10:31:55	Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0x3024e1…
02-27 14:32:01	italy nordio reform referendum passes	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xfd5b2d…
02-27 10:22:39	italy nordio reform referendum passes	Yes	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x6a73e3…
02-27 10:15:13	italy nordio reform referendum passes	Yes	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0xcaf07e…
02-27 09:19:33	italy nordio reform referendum passes	Yes	BUY	16	48¢	$8	0xf38be2…
02-26 22:14:06	Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x98f9d9…
02-24 05:41:22	will the sbc initiative be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	Yes	BUY	16	26¢	$4	0x926c65…
02-24 01:04:12	will the sbc initiative be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	Yes	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xb76eac…
02-23 23:05:18	will the sbc initiative be approved in switzerlands 8 march 2026 popular vote	Yes	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0xc03d25…
02-22 08:44:34	will spd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	21	29¢	$6	0x62b4f0…
02-22 08:44:22	will spd win the second most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	21	61¢	$13	0x7b7e22…
02-21 23:27:24	Will JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0xf82ef5…
02-21 23:27:24	Will Bank of America or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xb2e7c6…
02-21 20:31:02	will spd win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xf667c8…
02-21 20:30:48	will spd win the second most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x657c91…
02-21 03:38:58	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x47a181…
02-20 17:09:44	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0xa6a1a1…
02-19 17:55:28	will khamenei leave iran by march 31 224 161 138 998	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xbcee0d…
02-19 17:53:08	will khamenei leave iran by february 28 2026 713 559	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xadfc7c…
02-15 23:06:37	italy nordio reform referendum passes	Yes	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0xdff749…
02-15 21:44:59	italy nordio reform referendum passes	Yes	BUY	16	58¢	$9	0x7999c1…
02-15 21:31:33	Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1m barrels per day in 2026?	No	SELL	0	30¢	$0	0x21e323…
02-15 19:27:05	italy nordio reform referendum passes	Yes	BUY	12	61¢	$7	0x61731b…
02-15 19:23:29	italy nordio reform referendum passes	Yes	BUY	18	61¢	$11	0x19c4ea…
02-11 21:04:59	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x911d2b…
02-09 20:37:51	will israel strike lebanon on february 14 2026	No	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x1a1e34…
02-09 20:36:47	will israel strike lebanon on february 14 2026	No	SELL	6	55¢	$3	0x5af944…
02-09 20:28:27	will israel strike lebanon on february 12 2026	No	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0xfb4556…
02-09 20:25:21	will israel strike lebanon on february 12 2026	No	SELL	7	53¢	$4	0x6fba77…
02-08 22:16:01	Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	17	25¢	$4	0x2100ed…
02-08 13:51:51	Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1m barrels per day in 2026?	No	BUY	53	28¢	$15	0x2d1534…
02-08 13:11:03	will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 2025	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x723820…
02-08 13:09:39	will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 2025	Yes	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0xc1ec6d…
02-08 13:09:33	will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 2025	Yes	BUY	0	14¢	$0	0xde7b5e…
02-08 13:09:33	will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 2025	Yes	BUY	9	14¢	$1	0x9b022c…
02-08 13:04:01	Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1m barrels per day in 2026?	No	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xd23844…
02-08 11:10:43	will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 2025	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x1e1f54…
02-08 07:40:31	will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	100	20¢	$20	0x087780…
02-08 06:05:53	italy nordio reform referendum passes	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xedd779…
02-08 00:22:05	will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 2025	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xd96668…
02-08 00:20:33	will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 1520	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x747ba6…
02-08 00:19:47	will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 1015	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x43400d…
02-08 00:18:49	will andr ventura win the second round by 05 218	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xf4235c…
02-07 23:47:05	will israel strike lebanon on february 14 2026	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x66296e…
02-07 23:25:41	Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7ac483…
02-07 23:25:19	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	36	8¢	$3	0xc61bc1…
02-07 23:24:43	Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x758b6c…
02-07 23:22:01	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x0865cd…
02-07 23:21:15	Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xf8af06…
02-07 23:16:25	Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x95b15a…
02-07 22:45:35	will israel strike lebanon on february 12 2026	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xefe1e5…
02-07 22:21:33	will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x93ea7e…
02-07 20:51:21	italy nordio reform referendum passes	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x9b3f36…
02-07 20:43:25	italy nordio reform referendum passes	Yes	BUY	19	66¢	$13	0x974b3c…