Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

59.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$230

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$14

2 positions

First seen

2026-09-20

last 11-01 09:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 15 days

Categories

Other

93% 55% +$18

Tech

4% — —

Sports

2% — —

Crypto

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	Yes		+125	$10	8¢	$11	+$1	09-20 19:19
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes		+29	$4	12¢	$4	$0	09-23 21:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	4	$27	40	26	+14	open	—	10-23 08:21
Will Switzerland win 2026-27 Nations League Group B1?	2	$25	15	15	+0	open	—	10-07 06:35
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	2	$24	20	20	+0	open	—	10-12 21:14
Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	2	$10	33	0	+33	open	—	10-17 18:53
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	1	$10	125	0	+125	open	—	09-20 19:19
Will FC Lugano win on 2026-10-25?	1	$9	16	0	+16	Yes	+$7	10-25 11:05
Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by November 30?	1	$5	26	0	+26	open	—	10-31 08:49
Switzerland vs. Slovenia: Both Teams to Score	1	$5	13	0	+13	Yes	+$8	10-03 08:09
Switzerland vs. North Macedonia: North Macedonia O/U 0.5	1	$5	7	0	+7	Under	+$2	10-06 10:58
Germany vs. Greece: Germany O/U 1.5	1	$5	11	0	+11	Under	-$5	09-27 19:58
Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	1	$5	11	0	+11	No	-$5	10-01 07:39
Switzerland vs. Slovenia: Switzerland O/U 2.5	1	$5	9	0	+9	Under	-$5	10-03 20:06
Will FC Thun be relegated from the 2026-27 Swiss Super League?	1	$5	16	0	+16	open	—	09-20 19:11
Will FC Lugano win on 2026-10-10?	1	$5	9	0	+9	Yes	+$4	10-10 10:06
Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by December 31, 2026?	1	$5	26	0	+26	open	—	10-31 09:13
Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2026-10-25?	1	$5	11	0	+11	No	+$6	10-25 11:07
Will FC Sion win on 2026-10-31?	1	$5	12	0	+12	No	-$5	10-31 08:44
NL: Ambri-Piotta vs. Lugano	1	$5	9	0	+9	Ambri-Piotta	+$4	10-31 13:49
Switzerland vs. North Macedonia: Switzerland O/U 3.5	1	$5	8	0	+8	Under	+$3	10-06 11:08
Grasshopper Club Zurich vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 2.5	1	$5	16	0	+16	Over	-$5	10-31 08:46
Scotland vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5	1	$5	11	0	+11	Over	+$6	09-27 08:03
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$1	10-13 18:34
Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	1	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	10-13 07:35
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	1	$4	29	0	+29	open	—	09-23 21:19
NL: Fribourg-Gotteron vs. Ajoie	1	$4	15	0	+15	Fribourg-Gotteron	-$4	10-08 09:33
Will Lausanne-Sport win on 2026-11-01?	1	$4	11	0	+11	open	—	11-01 08:59
Will FC Zurich win on 2026-10-10?	1	$4	11	0	+11	Yes	+$7	10-10 10:06
North Macedonia vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5	1	$4	11	0	+11	Over	+$7	09-26 08:03
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	1	$3	6	0	+6	Yes	+$3	10-13 18:36
Young Boys Bern vs. FC Zurich: O/U 3.5	1	$3	8	0	+8	open	—	11-01 09:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 09:01:03	Young Boys Bern vs. FC Zurich: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x662b44…
11-01 08:59:57	Will Lausanne-Sport win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x9a3ff5…
11-01 08:58:33	Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2026-11-01?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x814b33…
10-31 13:49:15	NL: Ambri-Piotta vs. Lugano	Ambri-Piotta	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x8d7114…
10-31 09:13:54	Exponential Time Hypothesis disproof confirmed by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xb6bd08…
10-31 08:49:58	Will a 7.0+ earthquake occur worldwide by November 30?	No	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x231ca2…
10-31 08:46:30	Grasshopper Club Zurich vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x41dc3f…
10-31 08:44:06	Will FC Sion win on 2026-10-31?	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x662ca3…
10-26 21:20:45	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xe1dc3c…
10-25 11:07:23	Will FC Basel 1893 win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x933a02…
10-25 11:05:08	Will FC Lugano win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	16	55¢	$9	0x74b67c…
10-23 08:21:23	Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x9cef21…
10-23 05:42:27	Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	SELL	26	32¢	$8	0x0adf03…
10-17 18:53:11	Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x6c5adf…
10-14 17:33:37	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x067042…
10-14 17:33:18	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x9654f8…
10-14 15:55:31	Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xf5ef6d…
10-13 18:36:07	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xc1b3fc…
10-13 18:35:40	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x529c8a…
10-13 18:34:48	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-13?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x4ecd25…
10-13 07:35:17	Will the Amendment of 19 December 2025 to the Federal Act on War Material (LFMG) be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xc647a3…
10-12 21:14:57	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x09ca11…
10-12 20:38:23	Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xdf4195…
10-12 20:37:53	Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xa86f8e…
10-10 10:06:39	Will FC Zurich win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x091dae…
10-10 10:06:16	Will FC Lugano win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x3b0dc0…
10-08 09:33:54	NL: Fribourg-Gotteron vs. Ajoie	Ajoie	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x44ef9a…
10-07 06:35:36	Will Switzerland win 2026-27 Nations League Group B1?	Yes	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x45ceb1…
10-06 11:08:39	Switzerland vs. North Macedonia: Switzerland O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x796995…
10-06 10:58:07	Switzerland vs. North Macedonia: North Macedonia O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xc62c8e…
10-04 08:18:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xd05b4b…
10-03 20:06:37	Switzerland vs. Slovenia: Switzerland O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xa9da7c…
10-03 08:09:05	Switzerland vs. Slovenia: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xa455f9…
10-01 07:39:08	Will Austria win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x4cdd5a…
09-27 19:58:24	Germany vs. Greece: Germany O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x3425ed…
09-27 08:03:35	Scotland vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x71d924…
09-26 08:03:06	North Macedonia vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x743b7d…
09-23 21:19:46	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0xc95f05…
09-21 06:36:20	Will Switzerland win 2026-27 Nations League Group B1?	Yes	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xa3dda2…
09-20 19:19:35	Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xf3e124…
09-20 19:11:46	Will FC Thun be relegated from the 2026-27 Swiss Super League?	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x63dbd8…
09-20 19:02:50	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x59c624…