Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$373

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-08 08:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 71% +$1

Other

5% 0% -$10

Politics

1% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	3	$47	32	32	+0	Down	+$17	10-07 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	3	$38	24	24	+0	Down	+$10	10-07 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	3	$24	14	14	+0	Down	+$4	10-07 21:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	10-07 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Down	+$2	10-07 22:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	2	$20	28	0	+28	Up	-$20	10-07 23:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	2	$20	32	0	+32	Down	-$8	10-07 22:52
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	2	$20	33	33	+0	No	-$10	10-07 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$19	84	0	+84	Up	-$19	10-07 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	3	$16	15	7	+8	Up	-$2	10-08 00:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	3	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	10-07 21:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$15	21	0	+21	Down	+$6	10-07 23:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Down	+$3	10-07 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	10-07 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	5	$12	17	14	+4	Up	-$4	10-08 08:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	10-07 21:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	10-07 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$8	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	10-07 21:30
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$5	15	15	+0	No	-$5	01-31 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	10-07 23:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	10-07 23:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	10-07 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	3	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	10-08 08:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Up	+$1	10-07 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$3	6	0	+6	Up	-$3	10-08 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	-$1	10-07 22:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 08:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xbf7a74…
10-08 08:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0xe08e39…
10-08 08:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xcacd9f…
10-08 08:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xcf4877…
10-08 08:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x093434…
10-08 08:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x42345e…
10-08 08:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xfc3b48…
10-08 08:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x5a87f4…
10-08 08:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xc7514f…
10-08 00:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xdf56d2…
10-07 23:56:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x6c0310…
10-07 23:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xba5aa8…
10-07 23:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x316e2d…
10-07 23:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x33871e…
10-07 23:48:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xb94354…
10-07 23:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0xed8e0d…
10-07 23:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf23549…
10-07 23:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xa7f07c…
10-07 23:15:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x7d6818…
10-07 23:11:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x40b0fb…
10-07 23:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0xea6030…
10-07 23:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xf13260…
10-07 23:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x9e02aa…
10-07 22:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xa6fd28…
10-07 22:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x26be14…
10-07 22:30:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xa43a8b…
10-07 22:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x737e75…
10-07 22:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xeae414…
10-07 22:20:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x0e173e…
10-07 22:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xf327d6…
10-07 22:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x1755bb…
10-07 22:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xeeeb21…
10-07 22:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xce373c…
10-07 21:58:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xec9d63…
10-07 21:55:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	35¢	$9	0xc3300a…
10-07 21:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x53a2c9…
10-07 21:51:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x50843d…
10-07 21:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xf7e96b…
10-07 21:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xe1730b…
10-07 21:46:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x5b4e71…
10-07 21:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x0e75aa…
10-07 21:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x82ef0a…
10-07 21:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xb847ca…
10-07 21:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xd5cc88…
10-07 21:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe140df…
10-07 21:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3760ff…
10-07 21:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x596a3b…
10-07 21:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcc248f…
10-07 21:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xdf04c5…
10-07 21:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x1d9388…
10-07 21:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x7df406…
10-07 21:24:30	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 10, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	15¢	$5	0xc10fa6…
10-03 22:12:43	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 10 2026	Yes	BUY	33	45¢	$15	0xa680be…
01-31 19:19:38	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0x5e5146…
01-08 00:31:59	israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xce1479…