Apt-Presume — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

126

lifetime

Volume

$18.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$150

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 05-24 05:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

71% — —

Other

18% — —

Crypto

11% 100% +$0

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 30 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	41	$8.3K	17,410	13,594	+3,815	open	—	04-07 05:16
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	14	$3.8K	2,020	2,020	+0	open	—	04-02 01:34
lol wb al 2026 04 04 game1	1	$2.2K	2,200	0	+2,200	open	—	04-04 12:25
Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?	1	$260	260	0	+260	open	—	04-14 06:51
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner	1	$260	260	0	+260	open	—	05-23 14:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$249	250	0	+250	open	—	05-15 15:27
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	6	$249	250	0	+250	open	—	04-24 09:17
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$239	122	122	+0	open	—	02-05 12:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$220	222	0	+222	open	—	04-29 13:52
Seeker FDV above $1B one day after launch?	5	$209	109	109	+0	open	—	01-21 08:06
will ethereum dip to 1600 in february 2026	3	$204	103	103	+0	open	—	02-27 13:29
USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	04-22 07:37
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$151	152	0	+152	open	—	03-16 12:46
bitcoin above 80k on february 5	1	$130	130	0	+130	open	—	02-05 12:38
us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	1	$128	128	0	+128	open	—	02-12 02:48
ethereum above 1500 on february 23	1	$122	122	0	+122	open	—	02-23 08:25
Over $3M committed to the Fabric public sale?	1	$122	122	0	+122	open	—	01-29 11:46
ethereum above 2900 on february 7	1	$122	122	0	+122	open	—	02-07 07:14
Espresso FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$120	120	0	+120	No	+$0	02-13 08:45
bitcoin above 56k on february 19	1	$116	116	0	+116	open	—	02-19 05:44
lol gen g2 2026 03 21	1	$116	120	0	+120	open	—	03-21 08:17
ethereum above 3200 on january 26	1	$115	115	0	+115	open	—	01-26 12:11
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$110	124	0	+124	open	—	03-06 11:42
Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?	1	$110	120	0	+120	open	—	01-22 11:52
Elsa FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$110	110	0	+110	open	—	01-21 08:07
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7?	2	$109	109	0	+109	Yes	+$0	05-07 15:32
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	1	$102	105	0	+105	open	—	05-24 05:32
lol al ig1 2026 03 03	1	$100	110	0	+110	open	—	03-03 09:08
bac quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 14 2026 0pt97	1	$100	110	0	+110	open	—	01-14 05:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	05-08 05:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 05:32:03	LoL: DN SOOPers vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	BUY	105	97¢	$102	0x8863fc…
05-23 14:53:45	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	260	100¢	$260	0x87082f…
05-15 15:27:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	250	100¢	$249	0x092c2c…
05-11 04:18:44	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	63	98¢	$62	0x0be3a5…
05-08 05:44:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x880a36…
05-07 15:32:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x46ccc8…
05-07 15:32:01	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0xa7af99…
05-07 14:18:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xadec83…
04-29 13:52:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	222	99¢	$220	0x3160ca…
04-29 13:51:34	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x17c2af…
04-24 09:17:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	191	100¢	$190	0x22d2db…
04-24 08:43:44	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa950d9…
04-24 08:38:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x265dfa…
04-24 08:14:20	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x944435…
04-24 08:12:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaf8565…
04-24 08:11:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x1cfa20…
04-22 07:37:54	USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xd0cbd6…
04-14 06:51:15	Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	260	100¢	$260	0xc2f126…
04-07 05:16:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	1,897	27¢	$512	0x91530e…
04-07 05:14:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xd53b72…
04-07 05:13:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	296	27¢	$80	0x37955e…
04-07 05:13:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	37	27¢	$10	0x94c2ce…
04-07 05:11:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xe8d668…
04-07 05:11:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x20e42f…
04-07 05:05:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xacb6eb…
04-07 05:05:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x2c9610…
04-07 05:03:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	74	27¢	$20	0x357379…
04-07 05:02:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x53ca2b…
04-07 05:01:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xf57130…
04-07 04:59:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0x31550f…
04-07 04:59:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x030a4f…
04-07 04:56:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	185	27¢	$50	0x43fdce…
04-07 04:56:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x72b488…
04-07 04:53:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xad9ab9…
04-07 04:52:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	8	27¢	$2	0x5bdc19…
04-07 04:50:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x37eea7…
04-07 04:50:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x879cbb…
04-07 04:47:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	50	27¢	$13	0x0f499a…
04-07 04:45:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	217	27¢	$59	0x804b6f…
04-07 04:37:49	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x27152d…
04-07 04:33:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0x2b8e22…
04-07 04:16:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	2,000	27¢	$540	0xab8d76…
04-07 04:10:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	15	27¢	$4	0xd7e858…
04-07 04:02:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0xe260c1…
04-07 04:01:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0xf6a1da…
04-07 04:01:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xf39962…
04-07 03:59:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	131	27¢	$35	0xafd689…
04-07 03:42:57	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	5,000	26¢	$1,300	0x666169…
04-06 16:21:49	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	4,500	28¢	$1,260	0xb699eb…
04-06 15:10:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	4,500	27¢	$1,215	0x8a679c…
04-06 11:35:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	4,000	27¢	$1,080	0x31ef85…
04-06 11:13:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	4,000	26¢	$1,040	0xcb9c40…
04-06 10:26:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	95	28¢	$26	0x747c25…
04-06 09:59:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	95	27¢	$26	0x21bc78…
04-06 09:58:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	536	27¢	$145	0x66c01e…
04-06 09:58:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0x437d2d…
04-06 09:58:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0x0ec616…
04-06 09:57:47	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x74d093…
04-06 09:57:45	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	2,979	27¢	$804	0x9297a9…
04-04 12:25:03	lol wb al 2026 04 04 game1	Anyone's Legend	BUY	2,200	100¢	$2,198	0xe71c5a…
04-02 01:34:31	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	484	95¢	$460	0xe52fa4…
04-02 01:34:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x2b9c58…
04-02 01:34:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	105	95¢	$100	0x292d3b…
04-02 01:33:49	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	1,167	95¢	$1,108	0xfbfbd3…
04-02 01:33:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	214	95¢	$203	0xb463e4…
03-31 09:18:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1,183	91¢	$1,077	0x26fbd2…
03-31 09:13:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0xf44b06…
03-31 09:12:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x5081f9…
03-31 09:06:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0x1f37eb…
03-31 08:46:17	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x8263d4…
03-31 08:36:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x8cab59…
03-31 08:36:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x021006…
03-31 08:36:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0xad3fd0…
03-31 08:28:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	631	91¢	$574	0x6c8b21…
03-30 13:31:13	lol blg we 2026 03 31	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	59	94¢	$55	0x4dd07b…
03-22 10:57:41	lol g2 blg 2026 03 22	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	56	72¢	$40	0x88c00a…
03-21 08:17:21	lol gen g2 2026 03 21	Gen.G	BUY	120	96¢	$116	0xc541ab…
03-16 12:46:19	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	152	100¢	$151	0x0fcc99…
03-11 11:06:27	will sean penn win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x74c247…
03-11 11:06:11	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x849413…
03-06 11:42:49	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	124	89¢	$110	0x5b80f9…
03-03 09:08:47	lol al ig1 2026 03 03	Anyone's Legend	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0xcfeffd…
02-27 13:29:53	will ethereum dip to 1600 in february 2026	No	SELL	94	99¢	$93	0xccaa6d…
02-27 13:28:39	will ethereum dip to 1600 in february 2026	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x291f17…
02-26 08:07:06	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf1d646…
02-26 08:06:56	will zachxbt release his investigation on february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb9732b…
02-26 08:06:12	will ethereum dip to 1600 in february 2026	No	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0x289ac4…
02-23 08:25:16	ethereum above 1500 on february 23	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0xd130ab…
02-19 05:45:44	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x1f8b3c…
02-19 05:45:02	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbf5e45…
02-19 05:44:20	bitcoin above 56k on february 19	Yes	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x0a273e…
02-13 08:45:39	Espresso FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0c13ca…
02-13 08:45:21	Espresso FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x369f46…
02-12 02:49:33	will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xf7b93d…
02-12 02:48:53	us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	No	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x9acb6f…
02-07 07:15:15	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa17884…
02-07 07:14:21	ethereum above 2900 on february 7	No	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x5e7b67…
02-07 07:13:59	Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	Yes	SELL	1	47¢	$1	0x749b4e…
02-05 12:38:03	bitcoin above 80k on february 5	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x23502e…
02-05 12:37:41	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	122	97¢	$118	0xb159c1…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	43	$5.36K	1,059	05-11 20:30
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	40	$401.4K	6,201	05-15 21:30
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	38	$17.7K	6,252	04-22 12:44
Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81	34	$1.39K	432	03-24 18:55
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	33	$3.88K	1,911	05-13 05:22
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	31	$42.7K	4,064	03-28 06:07
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	30	$30.9K	4,973	04-08 03:29
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	29	$10.8M	11,652	05-15 15:27