Fake-Oxygen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$62

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.1%

Resolved

Trades

168

lifetime

Volume

$517

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-18 10:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

36% 100% +$57

Crypto

35% 67% +$5

Other

29% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$67	62	62	+0	Yes	+$57	05-09 05:17
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	8	$44	32,245	0	+32,245	open	—	05-14 23:53
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	2	$37	83	83	+0	open	—	05-06 11:45
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	5	$28	31	31	+0	open	—	05-13 18:50
Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	10	$26	217	217	+0	open	—	05-16 23:02
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	3	$21	54	54	+0	open	—	05-07 21:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	4	$19	22	12	+10	Down	+$2	05-07 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	4	$18	15	15	+0	Up	$-2	05-06 17:34
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	7	$16	276	276	+0	open	—	05-18 10:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$12	16	16	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 17:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	5	$12	18	17	+1	Up	$-1	05-07 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 15:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	4	$12	8	8	+0	Down	$-0	05-07 15:58
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	3	$11	22	22	+0	open	—	05-16 14:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	05-15 16:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$11	131	131	+0	open	—	05-16 15:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	05-07 09:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	6	$10	41	20	+20	open	—	05-15 17:04
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	7	$10	171	171	+0	open	—	05-18 10:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	7	$10	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	3	$7	120	0	+120	Down	$-7	05-07 15:24
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	5	$7	136	136	+0	open	—	05-18 10:42
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	3	$6	6,000	0	+6,000	open	—	05-17 15:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	5	$5	5	4	+1	Down	+$0	05-07 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-15 14:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	+$3	05-09 10:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	3	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-15 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 14:52
Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$4	7	7	+0	open	—	05-16 22:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 10:42:38	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x989127…
05-18 10:42:36	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x58977c…
05-18 10:42:34	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0xe9b2fe…
05-18 10:42:34	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0x71905d…
05-18 10:42:31	Will Trump post "Big" or "Bigger" or "Biggest" on Truth Social this week?	No	SELL	16	7¢	$1	0x5da16a…
05-18 10:42:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	59	1¢	$1	0x93f650…
05-18 10:42:17	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	SELL	67	1¢	$1	0x029311…
05-18 10:42:15	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	112	2¢	$2	0x0ee925…
05-18 10:42:13	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	136	1¢	$2	0x7dbe75…
05-18 10:42:13	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	160	1¢	$2	0x78f672…
05-18 00:31:16	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	125	2¢	$2	0x2565a5…
05-17 15:33:45	Will Trump post "Big" or "Bigger" or "Biggest" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	16	18¢	$3	0xeb6282…
05-17 15:31:30	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x961a12…
05-17 15:28:35	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x97ded1…
05-17 15:27:57	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?	No	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x5cd8b6…
05-17 14:14:08	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Team Falcons	SELL	87	2¢	$2	0xa1f47c…
05-17 14:08:07	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x651be0…
05-17 13:55:03	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0xe227dd…
05-17 13:46:34	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	48	4¢	$2	0xbbd185…
05-17 13:37:23	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0x2a09ba…
05-17 13:36:56	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	116	5¢	$6	0x67a94f…
05-16 23:02:05	Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	203	1¢	$2	0xfe34fb…
05-16 22:54:07	Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xab9ebc…
05-16 22:53:32	Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	78	4¢	$3	0x080929…
05-16 22:52:45	Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x922719…
05-16 22:47:49	Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x7c451f…
05-16 22:46:08	Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x8459e5…
05-16 22:38:28	Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xffdd07…
05-16 22:32:22	Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x51f9e5…
05-16 22:31:29	Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	35¢	$2	0x7c27c0…
05-16 22:18:32	Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x261ad0…
05-16 21:56:57	Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xa14b11…
05-16 21:56:43	Will Moldova be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xf2ddf8…
05-16 20:49:17	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	36	3¢	$1	0xbeb5d7…
05-16 19:58:36	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	57	4¢	$2	0xaa0b73…
05-16 19:58:31	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	61	3¢	$2	0xd694b6…
05-16 19:58:25	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x7cba8b…
05-16 19:00:07	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	59	4¢	$2	0xee24a7…
05-16 15:13:40	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xbb003c…
05-16 15:10:21	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x312a1b…
05-16 15:10:10	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x9b1c1e…
05-16 15:10:07	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x99f499…
05-16 15:05:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	131	3¢	$5	0xa25a95…
05-16 15:01:58	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0xa96b68…
05-16 15:01:53	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x895934…
05-16 14:58:28	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0x8815d7…
05-16 14:40:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	108	5¢	$5	0x0aa55d…
05-16 14:39:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x5973ab…
05-16 14:10:47	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	22¢	$5	0xff552a…
05-16 08:10:33	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x606159…
05-15 17:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x95ec5f…
05-15 17:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8b6c9d…
05-15 17:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x8b13cd…
05-15 17:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x4a2108…
05-15 17:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x3f415f…
05-15 17:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3509c1…
05-15 17:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	18¢	$0	0x0c2b4e…
05-15 17:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x32ee3d…
05-15 17:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	18	14¢	$2	0x6c77ed…
05-15 17:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x73184d…
05-15 16:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x167b1c…
05-15 16:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa32b4c…
05-15 16:51:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x7f0b16…
05-15 14:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x312d34…
05-15 14:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa81526…
05-15 14:42:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x836db4…
05-15 14:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x1c0630…
05-15 14:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xfd727f…
05-15 14:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x30cbdc…
05-15 14:37:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x67cadb…
05-15 14:33:01	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xfbefcf…
05-15 14:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xf9a4ac…
05-15 14:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x09ffe3…
05-15 14:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xe4e505…
05-15 14:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x22c89b…
05-15 14:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xfda189…
05-15 14:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x96f5ad…
05-15 14:12:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x4a5440…
05-15 14:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9fc434…
05-15 11:42:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa17cfb…
05-14 23:53:00	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x64a1a0…
05-14 16:53:27	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x3df607…
05-14 15:24:57	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xcc9e60…
05-13 18:50:04	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0xd94331…
05-13 01:38:04	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	15,000	0¢	$15	0x2374e1…
05-12 20:05:48	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	3,010	0¢	$3	0x8b84ea…
05-12 09:01:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x73a469…
05-11 22:32:41	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	BUY	12	88¢	$11	0xfd4f05…
05-11 21:09:57	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,333	0¢	$4	0xb2ea5d…
05-11 20:18:44	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,667	0¢	$5	0x3a2c39…
05-11 13:07:42	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xc85af9…
05-11 06:43:12	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x6b2fa7…
05-10 14:43:37	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	18	18¢	$3	0xe1b736…
05-09 15:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	8	98¢	$7	0xd87eae…
05-09 15:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xcedb63…
05-09 14:42:45	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	92	5¢	$5	0xde207b…
05-09 11:44:27	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x5ad800…
05-09 10:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xf15beb…
05-09 10:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x1b7626…
05-09 10:28:16	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xcc6d33…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	44	$73.4K	2,085	06-01 02:31
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	35	$15.8K	341	06-01 05:53
(anonymous) 0x76d4…c512	31	$34.8K	3,367	05-23 05:06
Thrifty-Reamer 0xad64…9e67	30	$601	250	05-15 17:09
(anonymous) 0xf8e3…fd17	29	$61.7K	6,097	05-15 17:13
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	29	$23.7K	2,013	05-15 17:13
Colorless-Camp 0x0748…92a1	29	$13.4K	1,780	05-15 17:14
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	29	$12.6K	734	05-15 17:13