Worse-Egg — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.35K

Unrealized P&L

-$906

Hit rate

91.6%

Resolved

Trades

325

lifetime

Volume

$36.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$113

Open exposure

$1.79K

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-28 13:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 60 days

Categories

Politics

87% 83% +$3,067

Other

12% 54% +$107

Sports

1% 100% +$172

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	+850	$790	100¢	$850	+$60	10-28 13:30
us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	Yes	+344	$200	96¢	$330	+$131	10-01 08:18
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	+600	$326	52¢	$315	-$11	10-27 22:30
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	+251	$184	73¢	$183	-$1	10-27 22:31
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	+333	$100	29¢	$95	-$5	10-27 13:24
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	+1,704	$1,096	1¢	$17	-$1,079	10-27 19:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 20 20260716224448965	9	$2.5K	1,780	980	+800	Yes	+$267	07-22 20:04
Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	26	$1.9K	2,127	0	+2,127	Yes	+$218	10-19 07:10
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	22	$1.9K	1,737	1,737	+0	open	—	10-21 20:21
Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	23	$1.6K	1,876	0	+1,876	open	—	10-27 21:32
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	13	$1.6K	883	883	+0	Yes	+$170	10-25 10:55
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	9	$1.4K	1,496	0	+1,496	No	+$135	05-20 16:31
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	6	$1.1K	1,704	0	+1,704	open	—	10-27 19:58
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	11	$1.0K	942	709	+234	No	-$177	05-23 09:00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	1	$990	1,100	0	+1,100	Yes	+$110	09-27 13:27
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	2	$899	967	0	+967	No	+$68	02-12 15:30
us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	1	$896	900	0	+900	No	+$4	02-11 12:28
us strikes iran by february 10 2026	1	$890	895	0	+895	No	+$5	02-10 15:25
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	1	$868	890	0	+890	No	+$22	02-09 09:10
us strikes iran by february 4 2026	1	$864	867	0	+867	No	+$3	02-04 13:36
us strikes iran by february 3 2026	1	$860	864	0	+864	No	+$4	02-03 11:33
us strikes iran by february 2 2026	1	$852	860	0	+860	No	+$8	02-02 09:08
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	1	$841	852	0	+852	No	+$11	02-01 15:25
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	8	$805	901	240	+661	No	+$73	05-23 08:55
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	6	$790	850	0	+850	open	—	10-28 13:30
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	3	$723	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	+$277	07-23 09:08
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	3	$711	841	0	+841	No	+$130	01-05 09:01
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?	1	$674	717	0	+717	No	-$674	05-25 21:05
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	3	$650	724	0	+724	Yes	+$74	10-02 18:21
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	14	$536	687	0	+687	No	+$151	04-19 21:34
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?	2	$500	516	0	+516	No	+$16	04-18 18:55
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	3	$486	500	0	+500	No	+$15	05-08 08:44
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	2	$474	458	300	+158	No	+$26	02-25 15:17
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	1	$441	448	0	+448	No	+$7	02-22 10:31
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	6	$436	500	0	+500	Yes	+$63	05-23 09:03
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	7	$432	800	0	+800	Yes	+$368	03-19 21:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 13:30:10	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	300	99¢	$296	0xbf82a4…
10-27 22:31:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	210	74¢	$155	0x8d255f…
10-27 22:30:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	124	52¢	$64	0x07958b…
10-27 21:32:14	Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	35	94¢	$33	0xbc7bfc…
10-27 21:32:05	Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	56	94¢	$52	0x92760c…
10-27 19:58:06	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	BUY	561	71¢	$398	0xac9c62…
10-27 19:57:57	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	BUY	360	69¢	$248	0x6907fa…
10-27 19:57:53	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	BUY	351	68¢	$239	0x4cede4…
10-27 16:47:08	Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	72	87¢	$63	0x754fce…
10-27 15:59:00	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x28f4a7…
10-27 15:55:33	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	37	25¢	$9	0x9e26d6…
10-27 15:55:24	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	37	25¢	$9	0x60ab61…
10-27 15:55:03	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	67	25¢	$17	0xf66395…
10-27 15:54:57	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	73	24¢	$18	0x9af29f…
10-27 13:24:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	Yes	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x8f62c5…
10-27 13:22:51	Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	48	90¢	$43	0x8fa8bd…
10-27 13:21:53	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	4	36¢	$2	0x845c00…
10-27 10:15:26	Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x010182…
10-27 10:15:11	Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	385	88¢	$339	0xeca253…
10-27 10:15:11	Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x11aeb6…
10-27 09:54:27	Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x0f86ca…
10-27 09:38:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x8bbec0…
10-27 09:38:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xc417f2…
10-27 09:38:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8?	Yes	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x3cfe55…
10-27 09:37:56	US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?	Yes	BUY	476	55¢	$262	0x21769d…
10-26 18:13:30	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0x8119ac…
10-26 16:03:27	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	BUY	210	48¢	$101	0xd0e970…
10-26 15:36:45	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	BUY	112	48¢	$54	0xa9093d…
10-26 15:32:41	Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x3eade9…
10-26 15:23:59	Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	41	33¢	$14	0xa95271…
10-26 14:19:41	Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xcc4f42…
10-26 14:19:41	Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	58	86¢	$49	0x69e11c…
10-26 11:58:47	Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?	Opp.	BUY	110	51¢	$56	0xcb6cda…
10-25 21:45:11	Will RZP-Zehut win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	62	92¢	$57	0x92b192…
10-25 20:18:53	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0xf48630…
10-25 20:12:27	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x6e071c…
10-25 13:05:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	144	89¢	$128	0x7a7953…
10-25 11:05:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	245	90¢	$220	0x37d554…
10-25 10:55:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	400	100¢	$398	0x13a145…
10-25 10:54:35	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x1ed1e3…
10-25 10:38:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	51	90¢	$46	0x97bf57…
10-25 10:37:15	Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	94	87¢	$81	0x071032…
10-25 10:25:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x7d5e02…
10-25 10:24:33	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x24cf64…
10-25 10:23:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	227	100¢	$226	0xa878b3…
10-23 18:52:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x961aa7…
10-23 18:21:02	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	161	90¢	$145	0x468958…
10-23 18:20:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	SELL	156	98¢	$152	0xe06746…
10-21 20:22:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	216	81¢	$175	0x24b013…
10-21 20:21:50	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	300	58¢	$174	0xc5761a…
10-21 20:20:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	142	81¢	$115	0xe08b60…
10-21 20:19:41	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	200	58¢	$116	0xb3e6e1…
10-21 20:14:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	150	77¢	$116	0xb17345…
10-21 20:13:32	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	200	58¢	$116	0x9a1da1…
10-21 20:09:27	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x7d1fe0…
10-21 20:09:26	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$15	0x28d5c9…
10-21 20:06:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	188	79¢	$149	0x206cf2…
10-21 20:06:06	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	62	79¢	$50	0x9d31a3…
10-21 20:05:30	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	299	58¢	$173	0x340a0e…
10-21 19:28:33	Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	31	89¢	$28	0x907b5f…
10-21 19:27:41	Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0xcb3a6d…
10-21 18:37:20	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	128	59¢	$75	0x427c95…
10-21 18:09:29	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	16	59¢	$9	0xec0d8b…
10-21 17:24:03	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	17	59¢	$10	0x5aa681…
10-21 17:22:30	Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	27	87¢	$23	0xdea893…
10-21 13:58:44	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	17	59¢	$10	0x1ce0a4…
10-21 13:43:41	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	22	59¢	$13	0x943bc9…
10-21 10:53:59	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0xd57e85…
10-21 09:04:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	130	91¢	$118	0xfc3d81…
10-21 09:03:59	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	200	59¢	$118	0x55e1ca…
10-20 11:12:20	Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	238	85¢	$202	0x7b768c…
10-20 11:11:44	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	338	59¢	$199	0xa2017f…
10-19 18:11:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0xf51f7b…
10-19 18:11:23	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	Yes	BUY	89	83¢	$74	0x3c9a01…
10-19 07:10:42	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	36	90¢	$32	0x759ded…
10-18 10:13:44	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	194	90¢	$174	0x425aaf…
10-18 09:30:41	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0xdeb8d9…
10-18 09:30:03	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0x1a1e2e…
10-18 09:28:17	Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x2462e0…
10-18 09:26:17	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x06230b…
10-17 15:09:05	Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x747b13…
10-16 12:46:51	Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	57	82¢	$47	0x8beff1…
10-14 23:05:34	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 17	Yes	BUY	239	93¢	$223	0x8a0307…
10-13 10:46:08	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	166	90¢	$149	0x3ab1d2…
10-09 10:17:04	Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	437	80¢	$349	0xb6bd36…
10-04 08:23:17	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	178	36¢	$64	0x7a3cd8…
10-02 18:21:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	Yes	BUY	224	89¢	$199	0x3327e6…
10-02 09:18:30	Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	No	BUY	55	81¢	$45	0x2e6ecf…
10-01 19:20:48	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?	Yes	BUY	232	89¢	$206	0x99dff2…
10-01 10:07:48	Will Dems win 14 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x38fcba…
10-01 10:06:57	Will Dems win 14 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x50b100…
10-01 10:06:54	Will Dems win 14 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?	Yes	BUY	81	5¢	$4	0xd796cd…
10-01 08:18:00	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 31 20260917	Yes	BUY	344	58¢	$200	0x52912a…
10-01 08:17:23	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 15	Yes	BUY	257	79¢	$203	0x3d91b8…
10-01 08:17:08	us x iran ceasefire continues through october 7	Yes	BUY	268	91¢	$244	0xaff317…
09-30 14:18:00	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	116	86¢	$99	0xe9fb45…
09-29 22:16:24	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	183	87¢	$160	0x3b8509…
09-29 22:09:33	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x27b9b5…
09-29 19:27:20	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	39	87¢	$34	0xaa2e11…
09-29 18:39:35	Will Israel election happen as scheduled?	Yes	BUY	60	88¢	$53	0xf81d5d…