Drafty-Storey — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$9.69K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$105

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-20

last 05-18 13:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

51% 0% $-0

Politics

49% 0% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 24 2026	3	$1.4K	16,179	16,179	+0	open	—	02-24 03:30
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	3	$1.3K	742	742	+0	open	—	04-24 03:01
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	2	$1.1K	554	554	+0	open	—	04-10 03:33
will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	4	$734	406	406	+0	open	—	02-25 08:11
deepseek v4 released by april 24	1	$614	628	0	+628	open	—	04-24 03:01
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	6	$603	622	622	+0	open	—	03-17 05:03
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$500	595	0	+595	open	—	03-25 17:57
will nancy pelosi applaud during trumps state of the union	1	$387	998	0	+998	open	—	02-25 09:15
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$264	164	164	+0	open	—	03-08 23:38
will trump say ai or artificial intelligence 2 times during the 2026 state of the union address 624 823	2	$225	125	125	+0	open	—	02-25 04:38
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$220	117	117	+0	Yes	$-0	04-10 10:07
will trump visit china by march 31	3	$213	1,905	1,905	+0	open	—	03-17 05:03
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$212	424	424	+0	open	—	03-20 14:35
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$200	103	103	+0	open	—	02-23 08:57
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	2	$200	102	102	+0	open	—	02-23 08:57
will trump say china during the state of the union address	2	$199	103	103	+0	open	—	02-23 08:59
will trump say iran during the state of the union address	2	$199	105	105	+0	open	—	02-23 08:59
will trump deport 250000 500000 people	2	$198	105	105	+0	open	—	02-23 08:59
will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	3	$144	2,915	2,915	+0	open	—	02-24 17:20
will the us next strike iran on february 23 2026 et	3	$111	5,352	5,352	+0	open	—	02-24 02:11
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$101	53	53	+0	open	—	02-23 08:59
us strike on somalia by february 28 399	2	$99	54	54	+0	open	—	02-23 08:59
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	2	$97	58	58	+0	Yes	$-3	02-23 08:59
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$77	100	0	+100	open	—	03-14 17:02
will elon musk attend the 2026 state of the union address	1	$50	161	0	+161	open	—	02-24 14:04
will kevin warsh attend the 2026 state of the union address	1	$50	381	0	+381	open	—	02-24 14:09
will trump say maga or make america great again during the 2026 state of the union address 742	1	$50	56	0	+56	open	—	02-24 13:58
us forces enter iran by march 7	2	$19	65	65	+0	open	—	03-05 10:42
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	2	$18	201	201	+0	open	—	03-08 06:08
will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$18	88	0	+88	open	—	03-14 17:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-18 13:32:38	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	77	3¢	$2	0x4da520…
05-18 13:32:33	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	69	3¢	$2	0xafc05c…
05-18 13:32:21	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	107	3¢	$3	0x00422e…
04-24 03:01:16	deepseek v4 released by april 24	Yes	BUY	628	98¢	$614	0x0df1db…
04-24 03:01:00	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	742	83¢	$614	0x913a94…
04-24 02:57:36	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	BUY	112	98¢	$110	0xf9f499…
04-10 10:07:21	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	117	94¢	$110	0xb27f60…
04-10 03:34:51	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	BUY	629	88¢	$552	0xc77e4c…
04-10 03:33:37	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	Yes	SELL	554	100¢	$552	0xa50a07…
03-30 02:19:36	Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?	Yes	BUY	554	92¢	$508	0x72e233…
03-25 17:57:45	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	595	84¢	$500	0xdbe7c1…
03-20 14:35:15	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	424	24¢	$102	0x9ed2e0…
03-20 14:34:05	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0xa650eb…
03-17 05:03:49	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	516	30¢	$154	0xf9d935…
03-17 05:03:29	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	SELL	1,905	5¢	$87	0x37994c…
03-17 05:02:21	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0x1e319c…
03-17 05:02:11	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	BUY	1,806	6¢	$100	0xc5bc19…
03-16 18:09:03	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xfd61c4…
03-16 18:07:57	will trump visit china by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x7b3eb9…
03-14 17:03:15	will sinners win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	88	20¢	$18	0x5334d8…
03-14 17:02:29	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	100	77¢	$77	0x29dee2…
03-14 17:01:01	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	112	2¢	$2	0x80fd22…
03-14 17:00:55	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x96c12b…
03-11 03:21:35	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	117	94¢	$110	0xbe0e58…
03-11 03:11:17	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x4ebed9…
03-08 23:38:55	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	164	100¢	$164	0xbf6bfd…
03-08 18:38:43	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	Yes	SELL	29	6¢	$2	0xdb5bce…
03-08 15:13:43	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 9 2026	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x8feb6b…
03-08 12:03:13	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x64c0d2…
03-08 12:03:03	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0xf64d92…
03-08 06:17:25	will iran announce a new supreme leader on march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xd63f38…
03-08 06:08:33	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	201	4¢	$8	0x5d2dfb…
03-08 06:07:57	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	SELL	233	3¢	$7	0xadf67a…
03-05 10:54:29	Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	201	5¢	$10	0x04ea4c…
03-05 10:54:13	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	233	4¢	$10	0x536736…
03-05 10:53:47	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xcf9bc3…
03-05 10:53:41	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	107	11¢	$12	0x45310d…
03-05 10:42:55	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	SELL	65	14¢	$9	0x71f941…
03-05 10:39:07	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	65	15¢	$10	0x8b33a0…
02-25 09:15:46	will nancy pelosi applaud during trumps state of the union	No	BUY	998	39¢	$387	0xfdc586…
02-25 09:10:06	will jd vance clap between 9099 times during the state of the union	Yes	BUY	38	10¢	$4	0x5996fd…
02-25 08:27:00	will jd vance clap between 7079 times during the state of the union	Yes	BUY	111	5¢	$5	0x2615a5…
02-25 08:11:40	will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	SELL	406	97¢	$396	0x3837d5…
02-25 04:47:16	will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	178	70¢	$125	0x57be67…
02-25 04:38:36	will jensen huang attend the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	SELL	125	0¢	$0	0x5f0288…
02-25 04:38:34	will mark zuckerberg attend the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	SELL	62	0¢	$0	0x1cee32…
02-25 04:38:14	will trump say ai or artificial intelligence 2 times during the 2026 state of the union address 624 823	Yes	SELL	125	100¢	$125	0xd7762a…
02-25 04:34:28	will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	75	83¢	$62	0xab229b…
02-25 04:34:08	will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	153	98¢	$150	0xd5dbca…
02-24 17:21:08	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	Yes	SELL	143	3¢	$4	0xf77d99…
02-24 17:21:04	will the us next strike iran on february 25 2026 et	Yes	SELL	184	2¢	$3	0xf97ee6…
02-24 17:20:50	will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	Yes	SELL	2,915	1¢	$39	0x2dae3a…
02-24 14:17:18	will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	Yes	BUY	195	5¢	$10	0x3ed43c…
02-24 14:09:00	will kevin warsh attend the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	381	13¢	$50	0xa7c82d…
02-24 14:07:00	will jeff bezos attend the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	252	2¢	$5	0x796733…
02-24 14:06:54	will mark zuckerberg attend the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x4ae8ee…
02-24 14:06:44	will jensen huang attend the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x608af4…
02-24 14:04:44	will elon musk attend the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0xaaaa51…
02-24 13:58:50	will trump say maga or make america great again during the 2026 state of the union address 742	Yes	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x8ab4d4…
02-24 13:58:26	will trump say ai or artificial intelligence 2 times during the 2026 state of the union address 624 823	Yes	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x6f3e5f…
02-24 13:57:40	will trump say america or american 50 times during the 2026 state of the union address 966	No	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x7ca991…
02-24 05:02:02	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	400	2¢	$10	0xe12a4b…
02-24 03:30:16	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	Yes	SELL	16,179	3¢	$453	0xad15fa…
02-24 02:11:36	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	Yes	SELL	667	0¢	$2	0x85ab6c…
02-24 02:11:34	will the us next strike iran on february 23 2026 et	Yes	SELL	5,352	0¢	$6	0xf0ce66…
02-23 18:02:38	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	Yes	BUY	15,868	6¢	$929	0x67b141…
02-23 17:42:26	will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	Yes	BUY	2,688	4¢	$100	0xdf11fd…
02-23 15:53:28	will the us next strike iran on february 23 2026 et	Yes	BUY	5,019	2¢	$100	0xd6f74e…
02-23 09:43:34	will the us next strike iran on february 25 2026 et	Yes	BUY	184	3¢	$5	0x26f0d4…
02-23 09:43:28	will the us next strike iran on february 24 2026 et	Yes	BUY	227	2¢	$5	0x6bda9b…
02-23 09:43:18	will the us next strike iran on february 23 2026 et	Yes	BUY	333	2¢	$5	0x482b5c…
02-23 08:59:30	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	SELL	58	81¢	$47	0x4ee4ff…
02-23 08:59:26	us strike on somalia by february 28 399	Yes	SELL	54	91¢	$49	0x84c77c…
02-23 08:59:12	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	53	96¢	$51	0x86aa37…
02-23 08:59:08	will trump deport 250000 500000 people	Yes	SELL	105	93¢	$98	0x257512…
02-23 08:59:02	will trump say iran during the state of the union address	Yes	SELL	105	94¢	$99	0x02e0ba…
02-23 08:59:00	will trump say china during the state of the union address	Yes	SELL	103	96¢	$99	0xd2e9e1…
02-23 08:57:14	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	103	98¢	$100	0x5bb897…
02-23 08:57:10	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	SELL	106	93¢	$99	0x2542d2…
02-23 08:57:06	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0x59abfd…
02-23 08:53:22	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xaebf78…
02-23 08:52:02	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	Yes	BUY	311	3¢	$10	0x652557…
02-23 08:51:52	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	Yes	BUY	667	1¢	$10	0x2a5f8a…
02-22 12:48:16	us strike on somalia by february 28 399	Yes	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x9a5d77…
02-22 12:34:00	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xd1b603…
02-22 12:28:52	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x7cb336…
02-22 12:26:02	will trump say iran during the state of the union address	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x437bf6…
02-22 12:26:00	will trump say china during the state of the union address	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xd46bca…
02-22 09:04:32	will trump deport 250000 500000 people	Yes	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0x88b468…
02-21 08:19:12	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	No	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0xfcb7d0…
02-20 16:21:52	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	Yes	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xb4d063…
02-20 10:14:20	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0xd3b7eb…