Reasonable-Tour — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$424

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 07-26 13:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

58% — —

Sports

29% 0% $-3

Other

13% 0% $-15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$95	3,066	3,066	+0	open	—	04-05 20:52
Iran leadership change by March 13?	2	$81	86	0	+86	open	—	03-12 18:56
will the slovenian democratic party sds win 30 seats in the slovenian national assembly in this election	2	$34	19	19	+0	open	—	04-05 21:00
will iran strike israel on march 8	1	$20	29	0	+29	open	—	03-02 20:20
will iran strike israel on march 6	1	$20	26	0	+26	open	—	03-02 20:19
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	1	$20	26	0	+26	open	—	03-02 20:24
will iran strike israel on march 3	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	03-02 20:18
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$15	2,246	0	+2,246	open	—	04-23 19:30
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	3	$15	55	0	+55	No	$-15	04-15 13:48
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	2	$11	34	0	+34	open	—	07-26 13:11
will iran strike israel on march 5	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	03-02 20:19
will iran strike israel on march 4	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	03-02 20:19
ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 bay1	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	04-07 20:29
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	2	$7	45	0	+45	open	—	05-05 18:24
will another country strike iran by march 7 528	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	03-03 11:41
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	04-09 05:57
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$4	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-07 06:38
JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	1	$4	24	0	+24	open	—	04-09 05:58
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$3	107	0	+107	No	$-3	03-18 19:57
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	1	$3	8	0	+8	open	—	04-17 13:12
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	1	$3	11	0	+11	open	—	05-05 18:26
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	04-07 11:44
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	3	$3	84	0	+84	open	—	07-20 20:10
will the freedom movement gs win 25 29 seats in the slovenian national assembly in this election	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	03-22 17:34
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	1	$2	34	0	+34	open	—	04-20 07:00
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$2	37	0	+37	open	—	03-18 19:58
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	07-26 13:12
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	1	$2	200	0	+200	open	—	04-05 20:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	1	$2	12	0	+12	open	—	04-17 13:14
Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$2	11	0	+11	open	—	06-11 15:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-26 13:12:09	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x24ffb2…
07-26 13:11:51	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb367c4…
07-20 20:10:45	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x823bdc…
07-20 20:09:43	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xb0e007…
07-20 20:08:25	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x6f3db0…
07-20 15:31:49	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xab87ff…
07-20 15:31:00	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by december 31 983 117	Yes	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x898664…
07-20 15:30:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x124823…
07-10 09:44:40	will the us announce a blockade on iran by july 31 20260622191116912	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa5be75…
06-11 15:10:21	Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x507073…
06-09 11:46:49	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 total 216pt5	Under	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe5138c…
06-09 11:46:24	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	BUY	3	54¢	$1	0x32d98b…
05-05 18:26:54	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x8ccd2e…
05-05 18:24:48	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xc45db6…
04-23 19:30:50	Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	1,833	1¢	$11	0x79a61e…
04-20 07:00:52	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	34	7¢	$2	0x8f8aa1…
04-17 13:14:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x92627a…
04-17 13:13:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xcb1297…
04-17 13:12:28	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x511633…
04-15 13:49:58	Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xe263c4…
04-15 13:48:38	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x79f419…
04-15 13:48:38	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x59fe8a…
04-09 06:01:13	Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x73374e…
04-09 05:58:53	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x96979b…
04-09 05:57:25	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xaaa10b…
04-07 20:29:39	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 bay1	Yes	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x54d38d…
04-07 14:17:17	Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	182	1¢	$2	0x8c8760…
04-07 11:44:45	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x444677…
04-07 11:43:49	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	15	27¢	$4	0x4ec82c…
04-07 06:38:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$4	0x17a02d…
04-05 21:00:35	will the slovenian democratic party sds win 30 seats in the slovenian national assembly in this election	Yes	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xdd5647…
04-05 20:58:29	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x239d8d…
04-05 20:52:25	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	SELL	3,066	1¢	$18	0x1d3079…
03-22 17:34:13	will the freedom movement gs win 25 29 seats in the slovenian national assembly in this election	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x526fe7…
03-22 17:31:47	will the slovenian democratic party sds win 30 seats in the slovenian national assembly in this election	Yes	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0xb3dfae…
03-18 19:59:29	Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	159	1¢	$1	0xd128de…
03-18 19:58:19	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xfd9ce2…
03-18 19:58:09	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	37	5¢	$2	0xdcc1aa…
03-18 19:57:33	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	107	3¢	$3	0x7bc5b1…
03-18 19:55:29	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	3,066	3¢	$77	0x5d913d…
03-18 19:39:23	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xac1f55…
03-12 18:56:19	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xb9f038…
03-11 09:54:01	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	BUY	84	95¢	$80	0xa8ec94…
03-03 11:41:21	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x665410…
03-02 20:24:47	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x3c2b05…
03-02 20:20:49	will iran strike israel on march 8	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0xfe028d…
03-02 20:19:45	will iran strike israel on march 6	Yes	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x777a08…
03-02 20:19:21	will iran strike israel on march 5	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xb87c51…
03-02 20:19:03	will iran strike israel on march 4	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x7a334a…
03-02 20:18:45	will iran strike israel on march 3	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xa7e740…