Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$468

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 08-21 13:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

67% 75% $-3

Other

19% 50% +$4

Tech

15% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$118	120	+120	No	+$2	04-05 10:22
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	1	$108	120	+120	No	+$12	02-23 11:01
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	1	$62	70	+70	No	+$8	01-10 13:35
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	1	$44	50	+50	Yes	+$6	03-04 14:02
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	1	$39	40	+40	Yes	+$1	01-20 13:40
gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	1	$29	30	+30	Yes	+$1	07-05 08:02
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$23	330	+330	Yes	$-23	05-03 14:06
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	1	$20	20	+20	open	—	08-09 08:37
iran leadership change by august 31	1	$19	20	+20	open	—	07-26 06:41
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	1	$4	100	+100	No	$-4	07-25 09:03
will russia capture havrylivka by september 30 2026	1	$2	60	+60	open	—	08-21 13:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 13:13:36	will russia capture havrylivka by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	60	4¢	$2	0x2f2f88…
08-09 08:37:16	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x20b31c…
07-26 06:41:13	iran leadership change by august 31	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x0b3c8c…
07-25 09:03:18	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xf3a4f3…
07-05 08:02:52	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x7b2069…
05-03 14:06:24	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	330	7¢	$23	0x841ebd…
04-05 10:22:29	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	120	98¢	$118	0x57658a…
03-04 14:02:51	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x1d44e1…
02-23 11:01:54	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	No	BUY	120	90¢	$108	0x6ea518…
01-20 13:40:50	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x784888…
01-10 13:35:18	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	No	BUY	70	89¢	$62	0xf0fda2…