Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

131

lifetime

Volume

$2.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 05-03 18:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

75% 100% +$31

Other

22% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	5	$839	612	612	+0	Yes	+$29	05-03 18:43
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	13	$498	691	671	+20	open	—	03-30 22:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$212	125	125	+0	Yes	+$1	03-25 09:32
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$194	208	208	+0	open	—	03-20 22:13
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 540 559	5	$152	180	180	+0	open	—	01-13 15:23
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$146	103	103	+0	open	—	04-21 22:54
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	9	$146	2,454	0	+2,454	open	—	02-28 22:22
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	3	$127	298	298	+0	open	—	02-27 20:15
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 560 579	6	$120	310	90	+220	open	—	01-13 15:27
will axiom be accused of insider trading	3	$118	88	88	+0	open	—	02-26 13:46
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 520 539	9	$59	21,500	10,500	+11,000	open	—	01-13 08:55
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	4	$47	133	12	+121	open	—	04-26 20:24
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 560 579	4	$39	80	80	+0	open	—	01-09 08:55
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	4	$31	102	102	+0	open	—	03-23 12:28
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 420 439	7	$29	286	286	+0	open	—	01-23 09:38
will company b be accused of insider trading	2	$22	17	17	+0	open	—	02-26 08:10
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$17	28	28	+0	open	—	03-23 20:12
cs2 nip nrg 2026 03 03 total games 2pt5	2	$15	277	0	+277	open	—	03-03 22:14
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	2	$14	71	71	+0	open	—	01-12 10:39
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 580plus	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	01-13 11:02
si hit 70 low jan 2026 929 537 842	2	$11	14	14	+0	open	—	01-12 10:39
highest temperature in london on january 13 11c	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	01-13 19:04
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 540 559	1	$7	100	0	+100	open	—	01-23 09:43
highest temperature in london on january 8 6c	1	$7	47	0	+47	open	—	01-08 21:03
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 560 579	13	$7	150	0	+150	open	—	01-23 11:42
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	2	$6	21	21	+0	open	—	03-12 08:26
ukraine strikes another tanker in black sea by january 15 2026	2	$6	16	16	+0	open	—	01-08 22:00
nuclear weapon detonation by march 31	4	$6	50	50	+0	open	—	01-09 08:59
ucl tot1 bvb 2026 01 20 tot1	1	$5	15	0	+15	open	—	01-20 11:37
btc updown 5m 1774619400	1	$5	100	0	+100	open	—	03-27 13:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-03 18:43:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	373	71¢	$265	0x104b12…
04-26 20:25:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	153	70¢	$107	0x31758a…
04-26 20:24:50	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	35	25¢	$9	0xda973d…
04-26 20:24:02	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	75¢	$9	0x364dba…
04-26 20:22:02	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0x3a2264…
04-24 23:01:42	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	85	23¢	$20	0xab08e2…
04-21 22:54:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	103	79¢	$81	0xd258d3…
04-20 19:42:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	103	63¢	$65	0x65069d…
04-13 12:05:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	86	73¢	$62	0x80a0af…
04-07 23:08:57	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x13456a…
04-03 23:05:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xfe4232…
04-03 23:05:09	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x6834c1…
03-30 22:26:33	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0xede317…
03-30 11:05:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	150	70¢	$105	0xdbcaf0…
03-27 13:52:59	btc updown 5m 1774619400	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x2f27da…
03-27 13:50:35	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	172	84¢	$144	0xc74d82…
03-25 17:56:51	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	23	80¢	$19	0xe06bb4…
03-25 09:52:11	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	22	85¢	$19	0xff010c…
03-25 09:50:51	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	71	85¢	$60	0xefd1f6…
03-25 09:32:33	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	300	14¢	$42	0x9ae71f…
03-25 09:32:21	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	300	15¢	$45	0x03be8a…
03-25 09:32:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	125	85¢	$107	0x23e790…
03-24 09:04:37	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	15	78¢	$11	0x349d2b…
03-23 20:12:45	Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	28	19¢	$5	0xa2a08e…
03-23 12:43:49	Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	28	43¢	$12	0x8acb9f…
03-23 12:28:55	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	102	12¢	$12	0x0b3e6f…
03-23 12:24:07	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x9d0859…
03-23 12:20:45	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	67	19¢	$13	0xaa3efa…
03-23 12:19:55	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	19	19¢	$4	0x0eafbb…
03-23 12:19:25	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	23	83¢	$19	0x8b5968…
03-22 23:39:11	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	93	79¢	$74	0xbdecf6…
03-22 23:28:37	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	162	21¢	$34	0x4f8cfc…
03-20 23:53:51	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	106	19¢	$20	0x4793a0…
03-20 22:21:09	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xdcd32d…
03-20 22:13:59	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	208	45¢	$94	0x335f46…
03-19 08:44:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	125	84¢	$105	0x63c27c…
03-19 08:34:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	462	65¢	$300	0x3f30a4…
03-19 08:32:39	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0xe3aba5…
03-19 08:30:41	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	6	19¢	$1	0x32b971…
03-12 08:28:49	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xb9b2df…
03-12 08:26:01	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	SELL	21	5¢	$1	0x9af25d…
03-09 10:39:31	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	21	25¢	$5	0xae7b60…
03-03 22:14:39	cs2 nip nrg 2026 03 03 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	256	1¢	$2	0x399504…
03-03 20:57:19	cs2 nip nrg 2026 03 03 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	21	61¢	$13	0xe026eb…
02-28 22:22:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	41	3¢	$1	0x0c19ba…
02-28 21:46:39	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1,145	2¢	$29	0xf28a8c…
02-28 21:46:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	4	2¢	$0	0xcbaeb3…
02-28 21:46:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	121	2¢	$3	0xac509d…
02-28 21:28:15	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	24	10¢	$2	0xbffb40…
02-28 21:28:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	110	10¢	$11	0x2ad8ef…
02-28 21:28:09	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	166	10¢	$17	0x21591c…
02-28 21:17:19	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	334	10¢	$33	0xc0b32e…
02-28 21:16:13	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	508	10¢	$50	0x24ce94…
02-27 20:15:39	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	298	24¢	$72	0x5d4996…
02-27 15:45:11	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	122	21¢	$26	0x587075…
02-27 11:27:11	US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	176	17¢	$30	0xa13553…
02-26 13:46:04	will axiom be accused of insider trading	Yes	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x412a08…
02-26 10:39:34	will axiom be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0xb16c1e…
02-26 10:14:18	will axiom be accused of insider trading	Yes	BUY	46	32¢	$15	0x0f7396…
02-26 08:10:08	will company b be accused of insider trading	No	SELL	17	73¢	$12	0x686a41…
02-25 21:32:34	Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	1¢	$2	0xa0d39c…
02-25 15:43:44	will company b be accused of insider trading	No	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x77ae20…
02-25 11:19:54	Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x402270…
01-23 11:42:20	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 560 579	Yes	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xce8bcf…
01-23 11:42:16	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 560 579	Yes	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0x924143…
01-23 11:41:52	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 560 579	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xa1ebd9…
01-23 11:41:50	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 560 579	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xffd60b…
01-23 11:41:50	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 560 579	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xf513cd…
01-23 11:41:48	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 560 579	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xab4bba…
01-23 11:41:38	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 560 579	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x6202b3…
01-23 11:41:34	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 560 579	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x4459d3…
01-23 09:59:58	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 560 579	Yes	BUY	27	5¢	$1	0x643464…
01-23 09:55:12	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 560 579	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$1	0xd330dc…
01-23 09:43:44	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 540 559	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x955ac3…
01-23 09:41:14	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 560 579	Yes	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0xd09f76…
01-23 09:41:14	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 560 579	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa9a847…
01-23 09:39:34	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 560 579	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x4c6da8…
01-23 09:38:18	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 420 439	Yes	SELL	286	5¢	$14	0xe29275…
01-21 11:54:18	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 420 439	Yes	BUY	44	5¢	$2	0xee6616…
01-21 11:54:04	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 420 439	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$1	0x2a2b70…
01-21 11:53:24	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 420 439	Yes	BUY	52	5¢	$3	0xb700c3…
01-21 11:53:24	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 420 439	Yes	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x0840a6…
01-21 11:53:20	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 420 439	Yes	BUY	45	5¢	$2	0x747c79…
01-21 11:52:52	elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 420 439	Yes	BUY	111	5¢	$6	0x6cf94e…
01-20 11:37:12	ucl tot1 bvb 2026 01 20 tot1	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x92e88c…
01-13 21:52:46	solana up or down january 13 4pm et	Up	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x22a624…
01-13 21:52:16	solana up or down january 13 4pm et	Up	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x622de4…
01-13 19:04:54	highest temperature in london on january 13 11c	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x22f547…
01-13 15:27:59	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 560 579	Yes	BUY	120	26¢	$31	0x81e5b6…
01-13 15:25:33	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 560 579	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0xa1457a…
01-13 15:23:35	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 560 579	Yes	SELL	27	25¢	$7	0xb6bbc2…
01-13 15:23:33	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 540 559	No	SELL	180	28¢	$50	0xa483b9…
01-13 13:44:07	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 560 579	Yes	BUY	27	54¢	$14	0x9733ac…
01-13 13:08:43	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 540 559	No	BUY	15	48¢	$7	0x87f8f3…
01-13 13:07:47	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 540 559	No	BUY	85	48¢	$41	0x4a5c7e…
01-13 11:55:21	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 540 559	No	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x837b23…
01-13 11:55:19	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 540 559	No	BUY	70	67¢	$47	0x9df272…
01-13 11:23:41	highest temperature in london on january 13 11c	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$4	0x82af25…
01-13 11:02:03	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 580plus	No	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0xec7863…
01-13 08:55:43	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 520 539	Yes	BUY	9,495	0¢	$9	0xe35a2c…