Hard-Semicircle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.55K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-06 03:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

67% 100% +$0

Other

26% — —

Politics

5% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 28?	2	$57	57	0	+57	open	—	05-26 19:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	2	$48	49	0	+49	open	—	05-29 04:30
will we continue the change democratic bulgaria ppdb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	2	$47	47	0	+47	open	—	04-17 03:44
highest temperature in seoul on april 14 2026 23c	1	$37	37	0	+37	open	—	04-14 07:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 4-10?	2	$37	37	0	+37	No	+$0	05-08 22:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?	2	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	05-22 08:58
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	2	$33	34	0	+34	open	—	05-11 18:26
bitcoin above 68k on april 23	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	04-22 00:33
will sentimental value win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	02-05 07:19
highest temperature in seoul on april 14 2026 16c	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	04-13 19:18
bitcoin above 68k on april 16	1	$29	29	0	+29	open	—	04-15 03:01
bitcoin above 58k on july 7 2026	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	07-06 03:40
will bitcoin reach 62k on july 1	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	07-02 00:53
bitcoin above 64k on april 13	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	04-12 17:55
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 19?	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	05-17 21:38
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	05-20 11:24
elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 215 239	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-13 02:26
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	04-26 17:18
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30?	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	06-29 16:57
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	04-24 12:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 18-24?	2	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	05-23 12:38
ethereum above 1600 on july 4 2026	1	$24	25	0	+25	open	—	07-03 16:14
bitcoin above 78k on april 20	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	04-20 14:19
bitcoin above 62k on april 3	2	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	04-03 17:16
bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	06-21 18:09
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	05-20 06:48
bitcoin above 54k on july 4 2026	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	07-02 19:01
will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be between 400m and 440m by january 31	1	$24	24	0	+24	open	—	01-28 17:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	05-26 08:16
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 25?	1	$23	23	0	+23	open	—	05-25 06:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 03:40:11	bitcoin above 58k on july 7 2026	Yes	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xf6ff3c…
07-05 16:08:55	bitcoin above 68k on july 6 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x78ed9e…
07-04 03:25:44	will bitcoin reach 68k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x156245…
07-03 16:14:53	ethereum above 1600 on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0x63a227…
07-02 19:01:35	bitcoin above 54k on july 4 2026	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd42ebb…
07-02 17:38:59	bitcoin above 58k on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xe9bd79…
07-02 00:53:41	will bitcoin reach 62k on july 1	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xfe8078…
07-01 15:54:55	bitcoin above 54k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb0a8aa…
06-29 16:57:10	Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x708eb6…
06-25 06:35:13	ethereum above 1500 on june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb9bfda…
06-22 18:15:22	bitcoin above 60k on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa62efe…
06-22 10:07:34	bitcoin above 58k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$14	0x4d9de8…
06-21 18:09:22	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by june 22 183	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x8a0edd…
06-03 11:41:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xf61036…
06-02 09:25:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 3?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xf90600…
05-31 13:03:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x17f3fa…
05-29 21:06:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xfb23f3…
05-29 04:30:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$36	0x489619…
05-29 02:44:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x519997…
05-27 05:12:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x78dc0a…
05-26 19:35:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x3eaf3e…
05-26 14:06:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xc38336…
05-26 08:16:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x5126d4…
05-25 06:53:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xbb0477…
05-24 03:47:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 24?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xc76bbf…
05-23 12:38:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9402de…
05-23 00:46:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 18-24?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x03eef5…
05-22 08:58:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xfc494c…
05-21 23:59:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xbb6612…
05-20 11:24:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xbf94a1…
05-20 06:48:11	Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x1912c8…
05-19 12:51:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x670fc3…
05-18 21:50:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 19?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xca97a1…
05-18 07:02:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x28dfc7…
05-17 21:38:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x2c00f8…
05-11 18:26:02	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xf10ff9…
05-11 14:08:10	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xd42d61…
05-10 16:05:27	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xed1882…
05-08 22:33:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0xde0841…
05-08 20:51:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 4-10?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7e9aba…
05-07 23:45:59	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xf150a3…
05-07 16:03:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 9?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4cdc22…
05-06 17:39:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x27b1d8…
05-05 21:04:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0xaccf32…
05-05 02:06:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x6741fd…
05-02 00:22:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 3?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x6a5d66…
05-01 17:03:50	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x26f144…
04-29 17:37:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x05d7e4…
04-28 21:58:46	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb6569f…
04-27 06:08:38	Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by April 30?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x07428a…
04-26 17:18:46	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x2a3235…
04-25 13:55:52	Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 April 20-26?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xbc21c2…
04-24 17:11:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x15926f…
04-24 12:15:16	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xfbc473…
04-24 01:51:18	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0a0918…
04-23 10:31:54	bitcoin above 84k on april 24	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x0c812c…
04-22 23:07:48	bitcoin above 68k on april 24	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x29543f…
04-22 09:35:22	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on april 22	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xdd4970…
04-22 00:33:08	bitcoin above 68k on april 23	Yes	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x30e0e2…
04-21 18:51:24	ethereum above 2600 on april 22	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x4da665…
04-20 14:19:10	bitcoin above 78k on april 20	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xe5367b…
04-20 07:14:00	highest temperature in seoul on april 20 2026 15c	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x03f891…
04-18 22:18:32	will gerb sds gerbsds win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x57dfef…
04-17 21:06:08	will ethereum dip to 1900 april 13 19	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe3ece2…
04-17 09:02:34	Will Nikolai Denkov be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x02941f…
04-17 03:44:30	will we continue the change democratic bulgaria ppdb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x5415b1…
04-16 09:50:32	bitcoin above 78k on april 16	No	BUY	17	99¢	$16	0x952022…
04-16 06:54:32	will we continue the change democratic bulgaria ppdb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x475572…
04-15 03:01:04	bitcoin above 68k on april 16	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xb53841…
04-14 07:24:13	highest temperature in seoul on april 14 2026 23c	Yes	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xc0d631…
04-13 19:18:35	highest temperature in seoul on april 14 2026 16c	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x9ca5c8…
04-13 07:45:11	bitcoin above 76k on april 14	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4a4b3a…
04-13 02:26:51	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 215 239	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x26450b…
04-12 17:55:57	bitcoin above 64k on april 13	Yes	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x6747a9…
04-12 02:17:39	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 180 199	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb59737…
04-03 17:16:31	bitcoin above 62k on april 3	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x16f062…
04-02 19:15:53	bitcoin above 62k on april 3	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xa503e1…
02-05 07:19:13	will sentimental value win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x1bd4ed…
01-28 17:40:54	will the total domestic gross for avatar fire and ash be between 400m and 440m by january 31	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x731937…
01-25 06:03:54	will openai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4cc4d0…
01-09 03:29:10	will tommy paul win the 2026 australian open	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb42724…
01-05 05:12:09	will bugonia win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x0d7984…