Married-Manifestation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

22.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$73

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 05-09 17:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 25% $-17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	1	$10	326	+326	Down	$-10	05-08 12:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$8	38	+38	Up	$-8	05-08 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$5	9	+9	Down	$-5	05-08 12:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	1	$5	11	+11	Up	$-5	05-08 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	1	$5	29	+29	Up	$-5	05-08 19:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$5	15	+15	Up	+$10	05-08 12:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$5	18	+18	Up	+$13	05-08 12:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	4	$4	2,150	+2,150	open	—	04-27 05:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	3	$3	228	+228	open	—	04-27 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	3	$3	19	+19	open	—	04-27 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$1	100	+100	open	—	04-27 06:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$1	25	+25	open	—	04-27 05:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$1	100	+100	open	—	04-27 05:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$1	100	+100	open	—	04-27 06:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$1	50	+50	Down	$-1	05-08 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$1	3	+3	open	—	04-27 05:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	04-27 05:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	04-27 06:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$1	8	+8	Down	$-1	05-08 16:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$1	1	+1	Down	+$0	05-08 12:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	$-1	05-08 19:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$1	3	+3	Up	$-1	05-09 09:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	1	$1	1	+1	Down	$-1	05-09 09:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	1	$1	1	+1	open	—	04-27 05:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$1	3	+3	Down	$-1	05-09 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	$-1	05-08 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	04-27 05:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$1	2	+2	open	—	04-27 06:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	1	$1	1	+1	Up	+$0	05-08 13:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 17:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x29948e…
05-09 09:35:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x9aba26…
05-09 09:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd796f1…
05-08 19:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x1c29b5…
05-08 19:24:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xa59d65…
05-08 19:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xd4cdfd…
05-08 16:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x6a5763…
05-08 13:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc4cf63…
05-08 12:56:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd3c310…
05-08 12:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	326	3¢	$10	0x15699b…
05-08 12:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	38	22¢	$8	0xf5a31e…
05-08 12:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x3129d6…
05-08 12:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x05d499…
05-08 12:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xbf9028…
05-08 12:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x86e263…
05-08 12:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x5fff3f…
04-27 06:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4a25a0…
04-27 06:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x220f66…
04-27 06:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x2f70bf…
04-27 06:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdf015b…
04-27 06:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc79d93…
04-27 06:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x29827b…
04-27 06:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x6fcc37…
04-27 06:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x5a2798…
04-27 06:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x2c0ee3…
04-27 06:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x01b0eb…
04-27 05:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5260e3…
04-27 05:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x3625ff…
04-27 05:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x9512eb…
04-27 05:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x7ff453…
04-27 05:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xeb867e…
04-27 05:18:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x12d9c7…
04-27 05:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x2a8e07…
04-27 05:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xdae9ec…
04-27 05:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xebc8ae…
04-27 05:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf8f37f…