Bruised-Elimination — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.85K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

292

lifetime

Volume

$347.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.19K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 05-08 18:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

75% 0% $-4,854

Other

25% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	62	$101.6K	90,066	35,713	+54,354	open	—	04-07 13:15
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	14	$87.0K	55,178	37,605	+17,573	open	—	04-07 12:04
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	8	$36.1K	18,534	18,534	+0	open	—	03-25 04:37
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	48	$29.2K	19,434	19,434	+0	open	—	04-03 15:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	46	$22.7K	14,072	14,899	-827	open	—	04-23 08:49
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	4	$15.4K	17,416	0	+17,416	open	—	03-18 13:30
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$12.9K	11,361	11,361	+0	Yes	$-514	01-23 17:07
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by march 31	4	$11.2K	6,976	6,976	+0	open	—	03-18 13:05
russia x ukraine ceasefire by february 28 2026	1	$6.2K	6,732	0	+6,732	open	—	01-28 03:16
Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	28	$5.3K	6,540	0	+6,540	open	—	04-24 20:32
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	8	$4.3K	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	$-4,340	05-08 18:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	4	$3.7K	3,544	2,433	+1,111	open	—	04-23 13:52
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$3.0K	3,614	0	+3,614	open	—	03-25 04:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	24	$2.5K	2,600	2,600	+0	open	—	04-20 12:57
Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	17	$2.1K	2,357	0	+2,357	open	—	04-21 10:57
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	1	$1.1K	1,209	0	+1,209	open	—	04-24 09:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	10	$1.0K	520	520	+0	open	—	04-14 14:40
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	6	$900	4,135	0	+4,135	open	—	04-11 13:31
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$500	568	0	+568	open	—	04-21 13:31
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$182	288	288	+0	open	—	04-24 12:56
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	1	$14	23	0	+23	open	—	03-30 14:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 18:00:55	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	84¢	$840	0x82102e…
05-04 19:20:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	999	86¢	$859	0x5ed1cf…
05-01 00:41:32	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x2f01c5…
04-30 21:13:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	553	87¢	$481	0xa187ce…
04-30 21:01:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x7e323f…
04-30 20:27:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	437	87¢	$380	0x7f46f1…
04-30 16:39:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	88¢	$880	0x5a8784…
04-30 14:27:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	89¢	$890	0x33aad1…
04-24 20:32:06	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	500	87¢	$435	0x52d6a0…
04-24 18:21:26	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	63	88¢	$55	0x9b8847…
04-24 18:21:24	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	30	88¢	$26	0x8cd210…
04-24 18:18:06	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x5a73f6…
04-24 17:48:38	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	399	88¢	$351	0x051e6f…
04-24 17:27:06	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	63	88¢	$55	0xe6ca84…
04-24 17:12:20	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	140	89¢	$124	0xe6ee21…
04-24 16:35:56	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xd48c15…
04-24 16:34:46	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe04393…
04-24 16:26:00	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x5abdd1…
04-24 16:22:46	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x87bdbc…
04-24 16:19:54	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	45	89¢	$40	0xfcf897…
04-24 16:18:28	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xdf67df…
04-24 16:18:20	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	27	89¢	$24	0xb55fbf…
04-24 16:01:16	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	40	89¢	$35	0x440fe7…
04-24 15:38:50	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	109	89¢	$97	0xf131a5…
04-24 15:34:38	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	222	88¢	$195	0x03771f…
04-24 15:16:46	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x03f6d0…
04-24 15:16:44	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x124258…
04-24 15:16:40	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xd8e4cd…
04-24 15:06:52	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x0c84eb…
04-24 15:04:22	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	500	88¢	$440	0x559a90…
04-24 14:57:12	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	203	90¢	$183	0xf154a6…
04-24 14:54:42	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,418	91¢	$2,200	0xc8a920…
04-24 12:56:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	288	28¢	$82	0x435903…
04-24 09:41:08	Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,209	92¢	$1,112	0x91e0b6…
04-24 09:35:30	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	18	51¢	$9	0x0653e1…
04-24 09:29:50	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	498	51¢	$254	0x528f47…
04-24 08:56:56	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	82	51¢	$42	0xe3a350…
04-24 07:16:12	Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30?	Yes	BUY	962	52¢	$500	0xacf11c…
04-23 13:55:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	288	35¢	$100	0x16450e…
04-23 13:52:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,111	9¢	$100	0x1291b6…
04-23 08:49:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	6,332	96¢	$6,108	0xcc1bac…
04-23 08:13:14	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,433	86¢	$2,092	0x4a0bca…
04-21 13:31:56	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	568	88¢	$500	0x2c7726…
04-21 13:31:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	794	63¢	$500	0x2465aa…
04-21 12:50:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,639	61¢	$1,000	0xbcde6f…
04-21 10:57:38	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x930e20…
04-21 10:54:06	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	190	90¢	$171	0x0c4dd1…
04-21 10:47:50	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xd960e9…
04-21 10:40:30	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x425838…
04-21 10:23:24	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	90¢	$153	0xb12fa7…
04-21 10:22:12	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xea05ea…
04-21 10:07:00	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xc6ff98…
04-21 09:50:40	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xc74915…
04-21 09:43:54	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	360	90¢	$324	0xcb6302…
04-21 09:35:54	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0xe280f7…
04-21 09:31:44	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x3c6246…
04-21 09:15:52	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x2293be…
04-21 08:59:08	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	90¢	$34	0x44a2a9…
04-21 08:03:42	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	46	92¢	$42	0xc75c98…
04-21 07:37:28	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x3f0e4d…
04-21 06:29:32	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	904	92¢	$832	0x72911a…
04-21 02:30:28	Will Russia enter Verkhnia Tersa by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	357	92¢	$329	0x07544a…
04-20 14:39:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1,832	71¢	$1,299	0x7cd913…
04-20 14:23:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1,000	69¢	$690	0x736d87…
04-20 14:06:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	491	69¢	$339	0x7a8239…
04-20 14:05:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xd03caa…
04-20 14:04:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xe54ab7…
04-20 14:04:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x0ec180…
04-20 14:04:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	22	69¢	$15	0xfd6345…
04-20 14:04:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xcb725a…
04-20 14:03:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xa0f979…
04-20 14:02:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	55	69¢	$38	0x200021…
04-20 14:01:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	389	69¢	$269	0x453ce2…
04-20 14:01:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	81	69¢	$56	0x608154…
04-20 14:01:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xfc0c30…
04-20 14:00:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	92	69¢	$63	0x0f2d07…
04-20 13:58:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	85	68¢	$58	0x6cfca3…
04-20 13:57:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	21	68¢	$14	0x403d49…
04-20 13:57:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x307537…
04-20 13:57:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	83	68¢	$56	0xbc400e…
04-20 13:56:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0x9c74d6…
04-20 13:53:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	293	68¢	$199	0xdb74fa…
04-20 13:30:46	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	500	69¢	$345	0xf565c4…
04-20 13:29:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	500	70¢	$350	0x345703…
04-20 12:57:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,600	38¢	$988	0x5d15e4…
04-20 11:28:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	4,846	70¢	$3,412	0x437122…
04-14 14:53:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	630	79¢	$497	0x238018…
04-14 14:53:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xd2ab50…
04-14 14:52:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x46fea0…
04-14 14:50:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	3	79¢	$3	0x4ae5dc…
04-14 14:49:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0x79aeb2…
04-14 14:40:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	520	98¢	$510	0x35967e…
04-12 00:48:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	232	67¢	$156	0x6238dc…
04-11 15:09:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	422	58¢	$245	0x75018c…
04-11 14:54:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	107	74¢	$79	0x3b0cf7…
04-11 14:45:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	800	74¢	$592	0x24cd33…
04-11 14:39:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	51	74¢	$38	0xba739a…
04-11 14:31:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	31	74¢	$23	0xa423f1…
04-11 14:31:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	31	74¢	$23	0x880ddd…
04-11 14:31:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	31	74¢	$23	0x73d055…