Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$101

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

10.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$19.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$658

Open exposure

$49

1 position

First seen

2026-04-28

last 06-14 21:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

78% 0% $-219

Other

22% 100% +$118

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No		-50	$-47	98¢	$-49	$-2	06-14 21:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	2	$5.5K	2,828	2,828	+0	open	—	06-07 23:34
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	2	$2.9K	4,884	0	+4,884	open	—	06-14 21:42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$2.2K	2,658	0	+2,658	open	—	05-23 00:37
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	3	$1.8K	4,104	4,104	+0	No	$-219	05-05 14:46
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$1.6K	900	900	+0	open	—	05-04 21:39
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	7	$1.6K	2,528	2,528	+0	open	—	05-23 00:33
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	2	$1.4K	700	700	+0	open	—	05-01 06:28
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$790	400	400	+0	open	—	05-01 06:29
Major US official out by May 31?	2	$775	1,300	0	+1,300	open	—	05-02 15:01
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$391	528	528	+0	open	—	05-05 21:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	1	$201	320	0	+320	Yes	+$118	05-05 21:17
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	1	$47	0	50	-50	open	—	06-14 21:42
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	1	$2	40	0	+40	open	—	04-29 17:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 21:42:45	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	616	8¢	$49	0xf96eb4…
06-14 21:42:01	Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x2ba62f…
06-08 01:06:22	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4,268	66¢	$2,825	0x937d9d…
06-07 23:34:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	SELL	2,828	100¢	$2,825	0x862a0c…
06-01 12:38:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	2,828	94¢	$2,658	0xe9218b…
05-23 00:37:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,060	87¢	$1,792	0x2f4eb2…
05-23 00:33:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	SELL	2,528	20¢	$506	0xf3f63d…
05-06 19:55:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	214	65¢	$139	0xe0180e…
05-06 19:55:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x41bb59…
05-06 19:53:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0xeaeb06…
05-06 19:49:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	17	65¢	$11	0x45ae86…
05-06 19:34:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	235	66¢	$155	0xe3832d…
05-05 21:17:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?	Yes	BUY	320	63¢	$201	0x2e58bb…
05-05 21:15:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	528	38¢	$201	0xa833b1…
05-05 18:01:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	Yes	BUY	2,046	37¢	$757	0x8d4ec8…
05-05 14:46:30	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	4,104	19¢	$780	0x946409…
05-04 21:53:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	3,104	28¢	$869	0x94a686…
05-04 21:39:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	SELL	900	97¢	$869	0xb2e878…
05-03 19:32:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	528	36¢	$190	0x5d5dc9…
05-03 19:31:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	1,000	13¢	$130	0x21ef8c…
05-02 15:01:00	Major US official out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0xe2f32f…
05-02 15:00:38	Major US official out by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,200	60¢	$715	0x65877c…
05-01 06:29:34	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	400	100¢	$400	0x806a99…
05-01 06:28:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	700	100¢	$699	0x35a7b1…
04-29 17:27:22	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x8cd2f1…
04-28 19:43:34	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	400	98¢	$391	0xca0025…
04-28 19:28:26	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	599	71¢	$425	0x5db895…
04-28 19:22:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	900	81¢	$729	0xc25712…
04-28 19:13:04	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	700	94¢	$658	0x632ea6…