Pale-Semantics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$83

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 18:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 25% $-23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	5	$24	33	5	+28	Yes	+$12	05-05 10:18
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	1	$20	62	0	+62	No	$-20	05-05 18:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$3	9	0	+9	Down	$-3	05-04 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Up	+$2	05-04 21:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 07:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	3	$3	4	2	+1	Down	$-0	05-05 09:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	05-05 06:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$2	05-04 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	$-2	05-05 06:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-05 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-04 21:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Down	+$2	05-04 20:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Down	$-1	05-04 22:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	1	$1	10	0	+10	Down	$-1	05-05 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	$-1	05-04 20:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	1	$1	25	0	+25	Down	$-1	05-05 09:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	1	$1	10	0	+10	Down	$-1	05-05 09:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	1	$1	17	0	+17	Up	$-1	05-05 10:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Up	$-1	05-05 07:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Up	$-1	05-04 20:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6AM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Up	$-1	05-05 10:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	$-1	05-05 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$1	17	0	+17	Up	$-1	05-04 22:01
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$1	6	0	+6	Up	$-1	05-05 07:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$1	7	0	+7	Up	$-1	05-04 20:13
Bitcoin above 80,400 on May 5, 4AM ET?	1	$1	24	0	+24	Yes	$-1	05-05 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-05 08:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$0	1	0	+1	Down	$-0	05-05 07:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 18:56:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0xa11cde…
05-05 10:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xa065e0…
05-05 10:18:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x073ef5…
05-05 10:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xed8869…
05-05 10:07:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x07e82d…
05-05 10:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xe96e92…
05-05 09:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5dd59b…
05-05 09:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	25¢	$1	0xc6aa7c…
05-05 09:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb74534…
05-05 09:55:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x235c6a…
05-05 09:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x8f1a54…
05-05 09:37:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xa32035…
05-05 09:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x6d6ce8…
05-05 09:07:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x065df8…
05-05 08:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x7d6885…
05-05 07:39:20	Bitcoin above 80,400 on May 5, 4AM ET?	No	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x5ab3f6…
05-05 07:22:20	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x2e3c89…
05-05 07:10:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc9c33d…
05-05 07:09:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x20351e…
05-05 07:07:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x49db11…
05-05 07:03:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x3b2346…
05-05 06:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x36713f…
05-05 06:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xa48ba6…
05-05 06:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x3919e2…
05-04 22:16:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xb7558c…
05-04 22:06:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x329d92…
05-04 22:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x0b5cda…
05-04 21:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x0496a8…
05-04 21:48:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x383dda…
05-04 21:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x9d1f58…
05-04 21:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x9e742c…
05-04 20:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xeaac46…
05-04 20:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xacb593…
05-04 20:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x2aaf4e…
05-04 20:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x6b4d20…