Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Up won
Total volume
$1,007
$43,878 in 24h
Trades
33
Unique wallets
33
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
83¢
Latest NO mid
17¢
End date
2026-05-04
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-04 20:14
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+11.5¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $100
vs crowd: 88% YES on $122)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 33 | $108 | $14 | +$93 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | $100 | $0 | +$100 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $4 | $1 | +$3 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 2 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 8 | $3 | $1 | +$2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | — | $11 | $11 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Full-Steel 0x4910…b2b8 | Down | +300 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-04 20:14 |
| Demanding-Premeditation 0x3355…3119 | Up | +196 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-04 20:09 |
| Pushy-Igloo 0x5c3c…6b9b | Down | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 20:14 |
| Super-Amber 0xed3b…0982 | Down | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 20:14 |
| Flamboyant-Determination 0xdd3c…c43b | Down | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 20:14 |
| Deafening-Execution 0x9fd5…928d | Down | +12 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-04 20:09 |
| Hard-Counter 0x32e4…beed | Down | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-04 20:14 |
| Sniveling-Access 0x8566…1905 | Up | +8 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-04 20:04 |
| Winged-Dud 0xf0a8…e346 | Up | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-04 20:00 |
| Wooden-Aperitif 0xd91e…fa48 | Down | +4 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-04 20:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xeaff…c4a5 | Up | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-04 20:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-04 20:14:42 | Dear-Marker 0x3878…b416 | Up | SELL | 221 | 99¢ | $219 | 0x5f3064… |
| 05-04 20:14:42 | Watery-Income 0x807c…d0ea | Up | SELL | 34 | 99¢ | $34 | 0x1ba0af… |
| 05-04 20:14:42 | (anonymous) 0x9870…625b | Up | SELL | 13 | 99¢ | $13 | 0x93bfe8… |
| 05-04 20:14:40 | Tricky-Ostrich 0xb2b7…f5cb | Up | SELL | 123 | 99¢ | $122 | 0x537f24… |
| 05-04 20:14:36 | Whimsical-Stockintrade 0x6986…fec0 | Up | SELL | 104 | 99¢ | $103 | 0x61b745… |
| 05-04 20:14:36 | Early-Colonial 0xb2d2…26c2 | Up | SELL | 104 | 99¢ | $103 | 0x42bfb6… |
| 05-04 20:14:36 | General-Aluminium 0xd84b…83dc | Up | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xac426f… |
| 05-04 20:14:34 | Voluminous-Zombie 0x6621…2fd5 | Up | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x7f99ba… |
| 05-04 20:14:34 | Unrealistic-Cappelletti 0x6765…9785 | Up | SELL | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x13af4b… |
| 05-04 20:14:34 | Klutzy-Ratio 0x65a5…9458 | Up | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x93631b… |
| 05-04 20:14:32 | Last-Incandescence 0x9a3b…a43d | Up | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xfb346b… |
| 05-04 20:14:32 | Gleaming-Initialise 0xa6b7…2309 | Up | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x994276… |
| 05-04 20:14:32 | Friendly-Wilderness 0x5749…b18b | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x7ce07b… |
| 05-04 20:14:32 | Bitshaikh 0x5050…ddf1 | Up | SELL | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xb1e931… |
| 05-04 20:14:32 | Super-Amber 0xed3b…0982 | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x53821a… |
| 05-04 20:14:30 | (anonymous) 0xe6ba…d1d4 | Up | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0xa6405d… |
| 05-04 20:14:30 | Infantile-Meeting 0xa237…17e6 | Up | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x2b23ad… |
| 05-04 20:14:30 | Fuzzy-Crawdad 0xd528…ecb7 | Up | SELL | 17 | 99¢ | $17 | 0x7f7c4b… |
| 05-04 20:14:28 | Pushy-Igloo 0x5c3c…6b9b | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x5bf9ef… |
| 05-04 20:14:28 | Hard-Counter 0x32e4…beed | Down | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x91f1b1… |
| 05-04 20:14:28 | Shallow-Disk 0x2c12…950e | Up | SELL | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0xcc29e0… |
| 05-04 20:14:28 | Flamboyant-Determination 0xdd3c…c43b | Down | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xb05e0d… |
| 05-04 20:14:28 | Full-Steel 0x4910…b2b8 | Down | BUY | 300 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xadf0c6… |
| 05-04 20:14:28 | Miniature-Accusation 0x159d…0d66 | Up | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xc01b45… |
| 05-04 20:14:28 | Whole-Array 0x9bab…f109 | Up | SELL | 18 | 99¢ | $18 | 0x18d46d… |
| 05-04 20:14:26 | Torn-Fibroblast 0x5d1d…3d94 | Up | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x942023… |
| 05-04 20:14:26 | Black-And-White-Viscose 0xa6ae…13f4 | Up | SELL | 196 | 99¢ | $194 | 0x66767e… |
| 05-04 20:09:48 | Demanding-Premeditation 0x3355…3119 | Up | BUY | 196 | 51¢ | $100 | 0x294cbc… |
| 05-04 20:09:46 | (anonymous) 0xeaff…c4a5 | Up | BUY | 2 | 51¢ | $1 | 0xd2e5d9… |
| 05-04 20:09:38 | Wooden-Aperitif 0xd91e…fa48 | Down | BUY | 4 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xa24377… |
| 05-04 20:09:38 | Deafening-Execution 0x9fd5…928d | Down | BUY | 12 | 50¢ | $6 | 0x82fa32… |
| 05-04 20:04:34 | Sniveling-Access 0x8566…1905 | Up | BUY | 8 | 51¢ | $4 | 0x3eeab1… |
| 05-04 20:00:20 | Winged-Dud 0xf0a8…e346 | Up | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x0c3133… |