Pink-Presume — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30.0K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.5%

Resolved

1,857

Trades

2,905

lifetime

Volume

$663.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$228

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-31

last 10-12 14:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 150 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 76% -$28,623

Other

1% 29% -$1,402

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-03 15:45 UTC	2	$10.1K	5,382	5,367	+15	Up	+$587	03-03 15:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 18:25 UTC	1	$6.3K	6,645	0	+6,645	Down	-$6,270	03-03 18:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 17:05 UTC	1	$6.2K	6,270	0	+6,270	Down	+$100	03-03 17:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 16:55 UTC	1	$6.1K	6,171	0	+6,171	Down	+$64	03-03 16:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 16:25 UTC	2	$5.3K	6,126	0	+6,126	Down	+$809	03-03 16:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 16:10 UTC	2	$4.8K	2,476	2,474	+1	Down	+$99	03-02 16:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 18:45 UTC	5	$3.3K	3,896	3,896	+0	Up	-$2,668	07-05 18:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 19:50 UTC	3	$3.3K	4,093	4,059	+34	Up	-$2,943	03-02 19:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-06 17:30 UTC	4	$3.2K	3,186	3,139	+47	Up	+$363	02-06 17:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 23:25 UTC	4	$3.2K	3,159	3,142	+17	Down	-$2,711	07-05 23:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 23:15 UTC	1	$2.9K	2,939	0	+2,939	Down	+$39	07-05 23:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 23:05 UTC	2	$2.8K	2,913	0	+2,913	Down	+$123	07-05 23:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 23:00 UTC	2	$2.5K	2,806	0	+2,806	Up	+$261	07-05 23:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 17:25 UTC	1	$2.5K	2,575	0	+2,575	Up	-$2,489	03-02 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 17:10 UTC	1	$2.4K	2,489	0	+2,489	Up	+$40	03-02 17:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 22:50 UTC	3	$2.4K	2,567	0	+2,567	Up	+$187	07-05 22:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 22:45 UTC	1	$2.3K	2,390	0	+2,390	Up	+$100	07-05 22:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-04 19:00 UTC	2	$2.2K	1,206	1,203	+4	Up	+$138	03-04 19:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 13:10 UTC	2	$2.2K	2,229	2,175	+53	Down	-$1,763	03-01 13:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 15:55 UTC	1	$2.1K	2,357	0	+2,357	Up	+$254	03-02 15:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 22:05 UTC	1	$2.1K	2,292	0	+2,292	Down	+$222	07-05 22:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-03 22:15 UTC	2	$2.0K	1,462	1,439	+22	Up	+$771	02-03 22:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 14:45 UTC	1	$2.0K	2,105	0	+2,105	Up	+$110	03-02 14:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 12:15 UTC	2	$1.9K	1,010	1,009	+1	Up	+$49	03-07 12:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-02 14:35 UTC	1	$1.9K	1,995	0	+1,995	Up	+$61	03-02 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 21:30 UTC	2	$1.8K	2,093	0	+2,093	Down	+$273	07-05 21:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 15:25 UTC	3	$1.8K	1,252	696	+556	Up	+$150	07-02 15:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 09:05 UTC	2	$1.8K	908	907	+0	Up	+$32	03-07 09:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 21:25 UTC	2	$1.8K	1,830	0	+1,830	Up	+$70	07-05 21:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 12:55 UTC	2	$1.7K	1,980	0	+1,980	Down	+$267	03-01 12:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-12 14:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	92	12¢	$11	0x1f4138…
10-12 14:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	92	52¢	$48	0x707558…
10-12 14:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	76	65¢	$49	0x170920…
10-12 14:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	76	96¢	$73	0x49c3da…
10-12 14:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	119	64¢	$76	0xf6b60d…
10-12 14:20:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	119	79¢	$94	0x4a3c7b…
10-12 14:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	95	94¢	$90	0xd7018b…
10-12 14:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	163	58¢	$94	0x15f690…
10-12 14:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	163	73¢	$118	0x550a44…
10-12 14:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	122	99¢	$120	0x11a28f…
10-12 14:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	122	74¢	$90	0xa09f1f…
10-12 14:03:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	90	87¢	$78	0xe131d1…
10-12 14:02:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	143	58¢	$83	0x47b291…
10-12 14:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	143	71¢	$102	0x1a24bd…
10-12 12:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	104	74¢	$77	0x0a2f8b…
10-12 12:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	77	93¢	$72	0xcb8b08…
10-12 12:02:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	73	92¢	$67	0x9a54df…
10-12 12:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	108	64¢	$69	0x323b54…
10-12 12:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	108	75¢	$81	0x0ea27f…
10-12 11:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	141	60¢	$85	0x73c8fa…
10-12 11:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	141	92¢	$130	0x76faf1…
10-11 08:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	60¢	$16	0x149e73…
10-11 08:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	SELL	41	42¢	$17	0xf48b88…
10-11 08:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	41	58¢	$24	0xd49b00…
10-10 09:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xdc3bf3…
10-10 09:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	32	12¢	$4	0xf299c2…
10-10 09:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	35	48¢	$17	0x730f65…
10-10 09:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	41	43¢	$18	0xb5d0d8…
10-10 09:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	41	84¢	$34	0xaf42fa…
10-10 09:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	35	99¢	$35	0x4df8ff…
10-10 09:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	35	91¢	$32	0x9d6ffb…
10-10 09:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	33	97¢	$32	0x3e856d…
10-10 09:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	87¢	$29	0x1c1fe8…
10-10 09:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	33	90¢	$30	0xd9d540…
10-10 09:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	33	48¢	$16	0x659252…
10-10 09:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	167	10¢	$17	0xc70584…
10-10 09:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	167	82¢	$137	0x3bd1a5…
10-10 09:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	SELL	143	97¢	$139	0x14e3e2…
10-10 09:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	143	75¢	$107	0xee6c0b…
10-10 09:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	109	99¢	$108	0xecb8b7…
10-10 09:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	109	80¢	$87	0x9e0312…
10-10 09:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	91	98¢	$89	0xc68127…
10-10 09:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	91	79¢	$72	0xfeca60…
09-05 10:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	241	10¢	$23	0x610429…
09-05 10:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	241	66¢	$159	0x0fb7b0…
09-04 20:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	87	34¢	$30	0xd9a114…
09-04 20:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0xef5029…
09-04 20:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	125	25¢	$31	0x80e323…
09-04 20:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	125	54¢	$68	0xc95030…
09-04 20:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	300	24¢	$72	0x1764af…
09-04 20:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	300	87¢	$260	0x3f8463…
09-04 19:47:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	141	91¢	$128	0x061a2a…
09-04 19:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x76225a…
08-08 13:48:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 13:45 UTC	Down	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x3bdb55…
08-08 13:48:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 13:45 UTC	Down	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0xfbdb95…
08-08 13:47:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-08 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	13	82¢	$11	0x38f1de…
08-08 13:12:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	70	29¢	$20	0xd4df34…
08-08 13:09:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	70	50¢	$35	0xd29993…
08-08 13:05:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 13:00 UTC	Down	SELL	137	28¢	$38	0x426dee…
08-08 13:04:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	137	59¢	$81	0x36acbf…
08-08 12:58:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 12:45 UTC	Down	BUY	81	85¢	$69	0xb7c050…
08-08 12:58:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 12:45 UTC	Up	SELL	204	37¢	$75	0xd8c349…
08-08 12:51:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	204	78¢	$160	0xe8e5bd…
08-08 11:59:36	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	161	93¢	$150	0xf37b3e…
08-08 11:39:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	152	79¢	$119	0xa4d2cc…
08-08 11:12:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	121	87¢	$105	0x505bf3…
08-08 10:59:31	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 10:45 UTC	Down	BUY	106	96¢	$102	0x9fa5ed…
08-08 10:44:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 10:30 UTC	Down	SELL	110	94¢	$103	0x180b85…
08-08 10:41:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	110	82¢	$90	0x55d65b…
08-08 10:25:30	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 10:15 UTC	Up	SELL	98	94¢	$92	0xcf0f05…
08-08 10:25:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 10:15 UTC	Up	BUY	98	89¢	$87	0x054520…
08-08 10:11:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 10:00 UTC	Up	SELL	91	96¢	$88	0xc8b51b…
08-08 10:09:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	91	86¢	$78	0x048ed5…
08-08 09:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	81	98¢	$80	0x4051c1…
08-08 09:41:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-08 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	81	82¢	$67	0x539c07…
08-07 09:09:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 09:05 UTC	Up	SELL	64	7¢	$5	0xe1c7e2…
08-07 09:08:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	64	62¢	$40	0xb8727d…
08-07 09:07:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 09:05 UTC	Up	SELL	177	25¢	$44	0xf1c218…
08-07 09:06:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	177	46¢	$81	0x872d5b…
08-07 08:59:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 08:55 UTC	Down	SELL	88	3¢	$3	0x5fdb3f…
08-07 08:58:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 08:55 UTC	Down	BUY	88	74¢	$65	0x1e28d0…
08-07 08:54:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 08:50 UTC	Down	SELL	76	98¢	$74	0x2398ff…
08-07 08:53:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	76	79¢	$60	0xb637e9…
08-06 22:09:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 22:05 UTC	Up	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x9ca618…
08-06 21:44:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	65	86¢	$56	0x493bc1…
08-06 21:43:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x930fb6…
08-06 21:43:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	104	36¢	$37	0x49525b…
08-06 21:42:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	89	36¢	$32	0x69e6f6…
08-06 21:40:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	193	36¢	$70	0xea18e7…
08-06 20:55:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 20:45 UTC	Down	BUY	76	79¢	$60	0x61cb36…
08-06 20:28:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x8474d4…
08-02 12:44:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 12:40 UTC	Down	BUY	63	80¢	$50	0xb8a424…
08-02 12:38:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	60	86¢	$52	0x46e520…
08-02 12:38:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	60	46¢	$28	0xe4cd29…
08-02 12:23:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 12:20 UTC	Up	SELL	33	86¢	$29	0xf9d8eb…
08-02 12:22:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 12:20 UTC	Up	BUY	33	57¢	$19	0x1bbb60…
08-02 12:19:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 12:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0x8e85ed…
08-02 12:19:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 12:15 UTC	Down	SELL	58	32¢	$18	0x6e0aaf…
08-02 12:19:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	63	87¢	$55	0x4b4b14…
08-02 12:18:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 12:15 UTC	Up	SELL	139	43¢	$60	0xe3e957…