Confused-Dusk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

16.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$357

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 21:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 18% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	2	$12	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-04 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-05 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	05-05 09:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	1	$9	0	10	-10	Down	$-0	05-05 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$9	0	9	-9	Down	$-0	05-04 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$8	0	9	-9	Up	$-0	05-04 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$8	0	8	-8	Down	$-0	05-04 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	1	$7	0	7	-7	Down	$-0	05-05 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$7	0	7	-7	Down	$-0	05-04 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$7	0	7	-7	Down	$-0	05-04 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	1	$7	0	7	-7	Up	$-0	05-05 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$7	0	7	-7	Down	$-0	05-04 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	1	$7	0	7	-7	Up	$-0	05-04 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	1	$7	0	7	-7	Down	$-0	05-04 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$7	0	7	-7	Up	$-0	05-04 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$7	0	7	-7	Down	$-1	05-05 01:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$7	0	7	-7	Down	$-0	05-05 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$7	0	7	-7	open	—	05-05 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	1	$6	0	7	-7	Down	$-0	05-04 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	1	$6	0	6	-6	open	—	05-05 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$6	0	6	-6	Up	$-0	05-04 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	1	$6	0	6	-6	open	—	05-05 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$6	0	6	-6	open	—	05-05 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$6	0	6	-6	open	—	05-05 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$6	0	6	-6	Up	$-0	05-05 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$6	0	6	-6	Up	$-0	05-05 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$6	0	6	-6	open	—	05-05 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	1	$6	0	6	-6	open	—	05-05 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	1	$5	0	6	-6	Up	$-0	05-05 03:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	1	$5	0	6	-6	open	—	05-05 16:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 21:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x07c6c3…
05-05 21:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfbf583…
05-05 21:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xcd6ab2…
05-05 21:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x49bc5f…
05-05 21:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x5e11eb…
05-05 20:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x2be751…
05-05 20:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x610959…
05-05 20:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0x78562a…
05-05 19:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x86c21f…
05-05 19:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0e62c5…
05-05 19:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x6c7dfc…
05-05 19:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x7bb1cd…
05-05 19:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x296e78…
05-05 19:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	7	51¢	$4	0x4bbacc…
05-05 19:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xf48897…
05-05 19:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0xe40346…
05-05 19:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xe0b0b6…
05-05 18:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0x535ebb…
05-05 17:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0xe954e4…
05-05 17:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0x2a9dab…
05-05 16:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0xcda9de…
05-05 16:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x7a02bd…
05-05 16:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x5e33ca…
05-05 15:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0x045be8…
05-05 15:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0x6acd15…
05-05 14:19:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x223677…
05-05 12:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x6cf4d8…
05-05 10:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xed758c…
05-05 09:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	7	55¢	$4	0x8ce87e…
05-05 09:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0x6c8a4b…
05-05 09:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x6f798e…
05-05 09:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x20ca97…
05-05 09:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x6655a7…
05-05 08:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	7	46¢	$3	0xe9f398…
05-05 06:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x557c86…
05-05 06:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xfed52b…
05-05 05:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x20a054…
05-05 05:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xb13549…
05-05 04:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x6e5243…
05-05 03:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x60c1fd…
05-05 03:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x2178d4…
05-05 03:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x3edab8…
05-05 03:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x219efb…
05-05 01:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0x42963f…
05-05 00:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	67¢	$5	0x557ec8…
05-05 00:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x547153…
05-05 00:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x0a972c…
05-05 00:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$9	0x650271…
05-05 00:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x8ca593…
05-04 23:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0x98cad4…
05-04 23:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	9	97¢	$8	0xb5824c…
05-04 23:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x314e69…
05-04 23:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x154426…
05-04 23:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x8a75a6…
05-04 22:14:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0x4dba1c…
05-04 22:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	7	93¢	$6	0x42db2f…
05-04 22:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x9f58b0…
05-04 21:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0xc4ebd5…
05-04 21:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	8	57¢	$5	0x9efca9…
05-04 21:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x0c9837…
05-04 21:29:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x5ce4c9…
05-04 21:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x1cc4eb…
05-04 20:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc31871…
05-04 20:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x4fbc2f…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	59	$8.78K	298	05-05 21:55
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	44	$17.4K	260	05-05 21:59
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	40	$2.50K	237	05-05 22:00
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	39	$2.43K	149	05-05 21:55
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	38	$5.17K	98	05-05 21:55
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	38	$1.78K	172	05-05 21:55
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	37	$2.32K	142	05-05 21:55
Equal-Renaissance 0x1c4e…4150	37	$760	155	05-05 21:59