Severe-Vestment — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.54K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.2%

Resolved

9,429

Trades

27,955

lifetime

Volume

$137.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 07-27 08:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 59% -$1,074

Other

9% 35% -$469

Sports

0% 25% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-27).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 23:20 UTC	6	$701	859	847	+12	Up	+$66	03-24 23:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 18:00 UTC	1	$477	482	0	+482	Up	+$5	03-27 18:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 17:55 UTC	1	$455	478	0	+478	Down	+$22	03-27 17:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 19:15 UTC	4	$299	250	250	+0	Down	+$27	06-25 19:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 09:10 UTC	2	$291	193	193	+0	Down	+$91	06-25 09:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 14:30 UTC	1	$282	288	0	+288	Up	+$6	03-29 14:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 13:15 UTC	3	$254	1,441	1,346	+95	Up	+$11	04-12 13:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$248	149	149	+0	Down	+$28	05-06 22:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 13:10 UTC	2	$234	709	665	+43	Down	+$24	04-12 13:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	4	$231	175	175	+0	Down	+$12	05-05 22:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	3	$223	161	161	+0	Down	+$23	05-06 21:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 07:35 UTC	2	$222	262	262	+0	Down	+$62	07-27 07:36
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 23:05 UTC	4	$215	322	319	+3	Up	+$39	03-24 23:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 13:05 UTC	2	$206	332	315	+17	Up	+$14	04-12 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	19	$204	124	124	+0	Up	+$4	05-06 21:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 16:50 UTC	3	$197	153	153	+0	Up	+$105	03-25 16:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-27 10:40 UTC	20	$193	261	260	+1	Down	+$96	03-27 10:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-12 12:55 UTC	1	$192	262	0	+262	Down	-$192	04-12 12:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 13:00 UTC	8	$189	131	128	+3	Down	+$27	04-21 13:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-25 09:25 UTC	1	$185	330	0	+330	Up	-$185	06-25 09:25
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on July 9?	2	$179	129	129	+0	Yes	+$77	07-09 07:30
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on May 27?	5	$169	101	101	+0	No	+$31	05-27 19:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 08:35 UTC	2	$168	263	263	+0	Down	-$147	07-27 08:39
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-21 12:55 UTC	10	$167	145	140	+5	Up	-$2	04-21 12:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-24 23:15 UTC	2	$167	243	240	+3	Down	+$7	03-24 23:17
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 16:50 UTC	4	$161	150	150	+0	Up	+$71	03-25 16:55
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 16:50 UTC	6	$158	150	150	+0	Up	+$68	03-25 16:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 13:40 UTC	2	$155	91	91	+0	Up	+$15	07-25 13:43
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 15:45 UTC	10	$153	119	119	+0	Up	+$82	03-25 15:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	2	$150	94	94	+0	Up	+$30	05-05 22:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-27 08:46:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x49ec7f…
07-27 08:39:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 08:35 UTC	Up	SELL	263	4¢	$11	0xaaf036…
07-27 08:38:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 08:35 UTC	Up	BUY	263	60¢	$158	0x79d467…
07-27 07:48:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 07:45 UTC	Up	BUY	163	86¢	$140	0xf97c52…
07-27 07:36:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 07:35 UTC	Down	SELL	262	54¢	$142	0x272615…
07-27 07:35:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	262	30¢	$80	0x0e56a9…
07-25 13:43:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 13:40 UTC	Up	SELL	91	93¢	$85	0xf0ab4b…
07-25 13:42:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 13:40 UTC	Up	BUY	91	77¢	$70	0x9f581d…
07-24 10:40:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 10:35 UTC	Down	SELL	76	99¢	$75	0x25c929…
07-24 10:36:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 10:35 UTC	Down	BUY	76	46¢	$35	0xcdc7d8…
07-24 10:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0xf1e715…
07-24 10:26:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x69bfd3…
07-19 07:59:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 07:55 UTC	Down	BUY	24	94¢	$22	0x373aa7…
07-19 03:24:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0xf0df6a…
07-19 02:44:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	23	91¢	$21	0x59a680…
07-19 02:14:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0x1d0c25…
07-19 00:24:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	21	88¢	$19	0x3e6654…
07-18 23:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0x4eb962…
07-18 04:24:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x988ba6…
07-18 02:44:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0xb2f46a…
07-18 00:54:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x34319f…
07-18 00:54:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 00:50 UTC	Down	BUY	9	92¢	$9	0xa09557…
07-17 18:44:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x377a86…
07-17 18:34:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	13	98¢	$12	0x6c6230…
07-17 16:19:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0xe63657…
07-17 15:49:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xc15bb4…
07-17 15:09:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x871924…
07-17 14:39:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0x63b51d…
07-17 13:34:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$3	0xd7f587…
07-17 13:34:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	13	94¢	$13	0x4c78f3…
07-17 12:29:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xcc78b4…
07-17 08:01:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xa01cd8…
07-17 07:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	94¢	$16	0x1aae59…
07-17 06:04:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 06:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0xdb1414…
07-17 03:24:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	16	89¢	$14	0x3eecff…
07-17 02:24:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x35a0da…
07-16 22:44:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 22:40 UTC	Down	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x1e6377…
07-16 21:39:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 21:35 UTC	Up	BUY	14	96¢	$14	0xc5a7a8…
07-16 18:36:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 18:30 UTC	Down	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xe860ff…
07-16 18:34:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 18:30 UTC	Down	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x2b15d8…
07-16 17:54:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:50 UTC	Down	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x955ec3…
07-16 16:19:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xb11d9a…
07-16 15:49:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x50115c…
07-16 09:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0401df…
07-16 08:49:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8e25b5…
07-16 08:49:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x254cee…
07-16 08:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xce48a2…
07-16 07:24:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc1a0b2…
07-16 04:59:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xad485b…
07-16 04:34:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x134474…
07-16 03:19:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xadf115…
07-16 03:14:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 03:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe0913a…
07-16 02:49:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 02:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xf8c462…
07-16 01:14:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 01:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x7c832f…
07-16 00:59:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xceefee…
07-16 00:34:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x97b101…
07-16 00:29:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 00:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6e4530…
07-16 00:19:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6a8c7e…
07-16 00:14:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$0	0xfdbdf7…
07-15 23:04:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x8ebb59…
07-15 22:54:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x312e91…
07-15 22:49:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9f1f0a…
07-15 22:29:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0eebed…
07-15 21:29:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-15 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x565cd4…
07-15 21:29:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 21:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x94363b…
07-15 21:09:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xff8a26…
07-15 17:39:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x14e1e9…
07-15 17:19:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xede3d4…
07-15 17:14:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 17:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x51504a…
07-15 15:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x035a8a…
07-15 14:09:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x99a0ab…
07-15 09:29:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 09:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x4e5509…
07-15 07:39:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 07:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x580e89…
07-15 07:19:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xea781c…
07-15 07:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x1f5fc2…
07-15 07:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x95f3b5…
07-15 06:19:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xb6c647…
07-15 01:09:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 01:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbb6dbe…
07-15 00:19:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 00:15 UTC	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xdc41e9…
07-15 00:19:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 00:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x67a928…
07-14 23:04:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5a02dd…
07-14 19:59:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 19:55 UTC	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x126455…
07-14 19:59:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 19:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0x90c9bf…
07-14 19:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x95072a…
07-14 19:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x02afae…
07-14 19:09:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 19:05 UTC	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0xc56161…
07-14 19:09:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x65faa6…
07-14 18:34:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 18:30 UTC	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0xa18563…
07-14 18:34:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0xd89a99…
07-14 16:59:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 16:55 UTC	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xedd6b3…
07-14 16:59:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 16:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xf1b60d…
07-14 16:24:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 16:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0xfaf162…
07-14 15:49:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x823726…
07-14 15:04:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 15:00 UTC	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x73879f…
07-14 15:04:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xaf6bf3…
07-14 15:04:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd836d0…
07-14 14:50:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 14:45 UTC	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x7693a2…
07-14 14:49:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0xbb239b…
07-14 12:54:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 12:50 UTC	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x195bf6…
07-14 12:54:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 12:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0x150d38…