Severe-Vestment — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$8

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

12.6%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

38 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$237

$237 lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$69

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 21:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 10% $-8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	-24	$-24	99¢	$-24	+$0	05-05 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	-24	$-23	99¢	$-23	+$0	05-05 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	-22	$-22	99¢	$-22	+$0	05-05 21:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$24	0	24	-24	open	—	05-05 21:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$23	0	24	-24	open	—	05-05 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$22	0	22	-22	open	—	05-05 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	1	$22	0	22	-22	open	—	05-05 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$9	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 03:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Up	$-0	05-05 04:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Up	$-0	05-05 01:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Down	$-0	05-05 01:34
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Up	$-0	05-05 00:04
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Up	$-0	05-04 22:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	05-05 06:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	open	—	05-05 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Down	$-0	05-04 23:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Down	$-0	05-05 00:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Down	$-0	05-05 06:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Down	$-0	05-05 02:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Up	$-0	05-05 03:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Up	$-0	05-05 04:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Down	$-0	05-05 02:19
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Up	$-0	05-04 23:00
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Up	$-0	05-04 20:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Down	$-0	05-04 22:34
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Down	$-0	05-04 20:54
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Up	$-0	05-05 04:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Down	$-0	05-04 20:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Down	$-0	05-05 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Up	$-0	05-05 03:09
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Up	$-0	05-05 04:00
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$5	0	5	-5	Down	$-0	05-04 23:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$4	5	0	+5	Down	+$1	05-05 03:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 21:20:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x23597c…
05-05 21:19:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x875497…
05-05 20:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	24	99¢	$23	0x930ce5…
05-05 20:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x8bae95…
05-05 20:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x861c55…
05-05 16:44:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdf24e3…
05-05 06:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xb5b16b…
05-05 06:10:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe2688f…
05-05 05:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xeee176…
05-05 04:39:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xdbab4b…
05-05 04:05:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2c2fc2…
05-05 04:05:00	Solana Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa1669b…
05-05 04:00:02	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x4713b5…
05-05 03:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xc798b2…
05-05 03:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xa7b5d3…
05-05 03:24:14	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x5ecfae…
05-05 03:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x7812b9…
05-05 03:09:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xad8ee3…
05-05 03:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x32e9fc…
05-05 02:19:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x058293…
05-05 02:19:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6052de…
05-05 01:49:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x2efbda…
05-05 01:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0efc38…
05-05 00:40:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xffb770…
05-05 00:30:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xe84073…
05-05 00:04:46	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x5f8ad3…
05-04 23:25:02	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x358a24…
05-04 23:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf215fa…
05-04 23:20:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x4e1f95…
05-04 23:00:02	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xf1f2dd…
05-04 22:49:42	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x25d010…
05-04 22:34:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe1d389…
05-04 20:59:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0xcd439f…
05-04 20:59:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x9bd0ff…
05-04 20:54:44	Solana Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x41083f…
05-04 20:49:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x4280d0…
05-04 20:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xe552d6…
05-04 20:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xcb654d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	23	$2.58K	88	05-05 21:19
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	17	$1.63K	79	05-05 21:20
Slow-Minute 0xdf0d…9f79	12	$8.86K	12	05-05 21:20
Little-Fraction 0xcfb1…f694	10	$1.32K	20	05-05 21:15
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	9	$626	50	05-05 21:15
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	9	$605	51	05-05 21:15
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	9	$525	47	05-05 21:15
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	8	$577	47	05-05 21:15