Ruddy-Finding — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.1%

Resolved

262

Trades

672

lifetime

Volume

$4.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 06-02 10:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 76% +$8

Politics

23% — —

Other

16% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$377	190	190	+0	open	—	04-10 19:55
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$169	100	100	+0	open	—	02-28 19:30
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	2	$148	82	82	+0	open	—	03-29 06:29
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	8	$145	440	440	+0	open	—	01-19 23:26
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	4	$126	74	74	+0	open	—	03-30 17:42
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$104	100	100	+0	open	—	03-04 01:25
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	2	$102	100	100	+0	open	—	03-09 02:40
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 12, 2026?	2	$96	50	50	+0	open	—	01-13 05:04
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	5	$83	150	150	+0	open	—	03-07 21:55
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	4	$73	142	142	+0	open	—	02-28 18:43
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$63	58	58	+0	open	—	03-22 21:21
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	4	$35	299	299	+0	open	—	05-09 19:01
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	3	$31	30	30	+0	open	—	01-11 18:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	6	$29	21	21	+0	open	—	05-03 14:00
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$27	20	20	+0	open	—	03-16 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	5	$27	19	19	+0	open	—	05-01 12:30
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	2	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	03-09 01:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	5	$21	13	13	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	6	$20	14	14	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 22:39
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	2	$20	50	50	+0	open	—	01-10 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	3	$19	10	10	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 12:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	4	$19	14	14	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 22:19
btc updown 15m 1768051800	3	$17	15	10	+5	open	—	01-10 13:39
btc updown 15m 1768145400	6	$16	21	21	+0	open	—	01-11 15:40
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	03-29 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	3	$15	16	0	+16	Up	+$2	05-06 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$15	24	24	+0	open	—	05-03 12:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	4	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	05-19 21:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	4	$14	12	12	+0	open	—	05-03 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	3	$14	25	25	+0	Up	+$6	05-06 11:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 10:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xf67a60…
06-02 10:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x0456cd…
06-02 10:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x4b0f64…
06-02 10:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x5f4bf0…
05-23 12:09:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xdbd4a5…
05-20 18:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x8a9337…
05-19 21:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x39e1bc…
05-19 21:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xae9261…
05-19 21:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x93d165…
05-19 21:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x02fe53…
05-19 21:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xa2147f…
05-19 21:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	73¢	$4	0x4ca1ff…
05-19 21:25:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x1a1115…
05-19 21:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x7e2eeb…
05-19 21:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xb56c9e…
05-19 21:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x68ad20…
05-19 21:18:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x687983…
05-19 21:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0x0bc53e…
05-19 21:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x2452cc…
05-19 21:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0x9e217f…
05-19 21:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xd5fd38…
05-19 20:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	69¢	$3	0xef8b47…
05-19 20:45:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x533794…
05-18 01:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xb8542a…
05-17 23:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x826cb9…
05-17 23:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0x7aa026…
05-17 23:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd6f81a…
05-17 17:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xcca883…
05-17 17:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x66677a…
05-17 16:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x767e18…
05-17 16:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x907a23…
05-17 16:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xa7da6d…
05-17 16:13:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0xc5a257…
05-17 16:08:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xaaa1d6…
05-17 15:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x3f70b5…
05-17 15:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x2e4b1f…
05-17 15:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xe1a286…
05-17 15:23:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xddfc3e…
05-17 15:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x764e8e…
05-17 15:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xce0f25…
05-17 14:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xb0517d…
05-17 14:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x9ea08f…
05-17 14:33:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xc3fff5…
05-17 14:33:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	84¢	$2	0xc2e437…
05-17 14:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0xe61a0b…
05-17 14:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x2606ef…
05-17 14:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe1becc…
05-17 13:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xa35ef5…
05-17 13:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xdd63af…
05-16 21:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xc2f2b8…
05-16 21:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xb24325…
05-16 20:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x14c66b…
05-16 19:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xfdcf9e…
05-16 19:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x7b7274…
05-16 19:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x498904…
05-16 18:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x58f730…
05-16 16:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x0240fc…
05-16 16:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x82973e…
05-16 16:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xeac0cb…
05-16 15:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x96f5fb…
05-16 15:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x89d563…
05-16 14:38:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x86d1e1…
05-16 14:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xdef621…
05-16 14:23:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x1236da…
05-16 14:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x8a098b…
05-16 01:51:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x1bc1e9…
05-16 01:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0xc491b6…
05-16 01:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x161830…
05-16 01:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x4ae705…
05-16 01:41:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xd8fc8c…
05-16 01:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xe716f5…
05-16 01:37:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xa3be4f…
05-15 21:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x79527c…
05-15 21:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x383540…
05-15 20:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x81a3de…
05-15 20:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xc1c8b6…
05-15 20:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x649a00…
05-15 20:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x5c6f8c…
05-15 20:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xdb435d…
05-15 19:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xc9113c…
05-15 19:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0x6c9b59…
05-15 19:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$3	0x68a20c…
05-15 19:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xec6b14…
05-15 19:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x51d495…
05-15 19:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x9424d2…
05-15 19:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xdb0a84…
05-15 18:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0x328df6…
05-15 18:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xa94505…
05-15 18:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x17b60f…
05-15 17:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x2b9b2f…
05-15 17:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$1	0x0226b9…
05-15 17:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x5ce45f…
05-15 17:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$1	0x800fea…
05-15 17:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$1	0xc2ddf3…
05-15 16:58:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0xd7941d…
05-15 16:53:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$1	0x0f3e7a…
05-15 16:48:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0x22d3c6…
05-15 16:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x1e6838…
05-15 16:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x552204…
05-15 16:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	76¢	$1	0x710f79…