Unrealistic-Cappelletti — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.0%

Resolved

214

Trades

2,896

lifetime

Volume

$14.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 06-01 12:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 45% +$41

Other

9% 20% $-11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 340 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli	24	$128	184	184	+0	open	—	04-28 21:43
Madrid Open, Qualification: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Elmer Moeller	12	$118	141	138	+3	open	—	04-21 11:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	13	$107	112	106	+6	open	—	05-19 18:54
Madrid Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Tyra Caterina Grant	9	$96	100	76	+24	open	—	04-21 13:48
Madrid Open: Martin Landaluce vs Adam Walton	18	$87	90	89	+1	open	—	04-23 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	5	$80	54	54	+0	open	—	04-29 20:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	5	$78	51	47	+5	open	—	04-29 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	10	$78	75	61	+14	open	—	05-19 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	8	$73	60	60	+0	open	—	05-19 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	6	$72	91	49	+43	open	—	05-19 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	6	$72	54	54	+0	open	—	05-19 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	14	$70	132	97	+36	open	—	05-20 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	7	$70	47	47	+0	open	—	06-01 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	9	$69	80	72	+8	open	—	05-19 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	9	$68	78	40	+39	open	—	05-19 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	7	$67	254	54	+200	open	—	05-19 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	9	$67	142	63	+79	open	—	05-19 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$66	37	36	+0	open	—	04-29 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	4	$66	95	31	+64	open	—	04-29 23:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	7	$65	62	42	+20	open	—	04-29 21:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	3	$60	51	36	+16	open	—	04-29 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	11	$59	61	46	+15	open	—	05-16 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	11	$58	58	54	+5	open	—	05-19 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	4	$56	87	47	+40	open	—	04-30 15:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	6	$55	62	62	+0	open	—	04-30 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	9	$54	69	55	+14	open	—	05-15 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	5	$54	310	30	+280	open	—	05-16 12:34
Madrid Open: Camila Osorio vs Naomi Osaka	17	$54	59	58	+1	open	—	04-23 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	4	$54	89	24	+65	open	—	05-20 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	5	$53	59	42	+17	open	—	04-29 19:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 12:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x9764ea…
06-01 12:30:44	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x917fde…
06-01 12:30:35	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xc0adaa…
06-01 12:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x5bb09b…
06-01 12:26:02	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0xc213b2…
06-01 12:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0x034fbe…
06-01 12:22:39	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	44	11¢	$5	0x236d7f…
06-01 12:22:02	Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajda	Zachary Svajda	BUY	64	16¢	$10	0x7803dc…
06-01 12:16:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xbb32b0…
06-01 12:15:43	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x5ac7e9…
06-01 12:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x9628cc…
06-01 12:10:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xc0be3d…
06-01 12:08:37	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x20d176…
06-01 12:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	36	98¢	$35	0x423407…
06-01 12:08:02	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	24	81¢	$19	0x241cb0…
06-01 12:06:35	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x8735bc…
06-01 12:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x7a6341…
06-01 12:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xc10681…
06-01 12:01:16	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xc8dfc4…
06-01 12:01:02	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x73fb8a…
06-01 11:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xee3760…
06-01 11:55:19	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xc09d3e…
06-01 11:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	SELL	18	9¢	$2	0xc4ed64…
06-01 11:53:29	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x64aa07…
06-01 11:52:38	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	14	27¢	$4	0xd1c9af…
06-01 11:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xf0d232…
06-01 11:51:23	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x9ba618…
06-01 11:39:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0x7e3b6a…
06-01 11:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xa40f1e…
06-01 11:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	26	94¢	$25	0x5201a9…
06-01 11:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x9d06ca…
06-01 11:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xbc056a…
06-01 11:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	15	78¢	$12	0x533e16…
06-01 11:36:25	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	15	34¢	$5	0x41feba…
06-01 11:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xc14b64…
06-01 11:35:33	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xbff839…
06-01 11:34:53	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0xd559f5…
06-01 11:34:28	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc68921…
06-01 11:33:55	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	13	57¢	$7	0x5f8cb7…
06-01 11:33:25	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x2b7d32…
06-01 11:31:02	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	14	49¢	$7	0xd1c68d…
06-01 11:30:28	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x5edb3d…
06-01 11:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0xc3b732…
06-01 11:29:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x7d8f62…
06-01 11:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x5aee8e…
06-01 11:27:51	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	12¢	$1	0xb25f19…
06-01 11:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	18	20¢	$4	0x49d3cd…
06-01 11:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x8cf8cf…
06-01 11:25:22	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x298a2c…
06-01 11:22:57	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xad673e…
06-01 11:22:32	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	7	46¢	$3	0x266b99…
06-01 11:22:17	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x73f02c…
06-01 11:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x221296…
06-01 11:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x34358f…
05-30 14:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x191d55…
05-29 19:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xd042a6…
05-29 19:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xdafac7…
05-29 19:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x13d704…
05-29 19:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x8e76b3…
05-29 19:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x938afe…
05-29 19:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x486b7d…
05-29 19:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x6f2837…
05-29 19:16:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xb1ad5b…
05-29 19:15:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x67dee6…
05-29 19:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x5161d5…
05-29 19:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	SELL	11	17¢	$2	0x185fec…
05-29 19:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	77¢	$7	0xf2b1b5…
05-29 19:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x91184e…
05-29 19:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x1c8e0c…
05-29 19:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xbce99f…
05-29 18:52:23	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Joao Fonseca	SELL	12	93¢	$12	0x9eb885…
05-29 18:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9aba80…
05-29 18:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x3b8015…
05-29 18:26:26	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul	Tommy Paul	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x2cc01b…
05-29 18:25:58	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul	Casper Ruud	SELL	9	27¢	$3	0xeb4ee4…
05-29 17:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x486571…
05-29 17:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x9bc96e…
05-29 17:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x93a236…
05-29 17:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x5d8805…
05-29 17:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	11	42¢	$5	0x9f07f6…
05-29 17:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xfd5b11…
05-29 17:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xda3797…
05-29 17:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x4c7338…
05-29 17:31:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0xfaa2ab…
05-29 17:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xc0c6f5…
05-29 17:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x55c2a3…
05-29 17:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe176a8…
05-29 17:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x57a9cf…
05-29 17:28:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xc92bcb…
05-29 17:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0xdee925…
05-29 17:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x861bb4…
05-29 17:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xd70476…
05-29 17:23:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0x3c0083…
05-29 17:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x274bda…
05-29 17:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x743e04…
05-29 17:18:07	Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic	Joao Fonseca	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x4c6373…
05-29 17:17:04	Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paul	Casper Ruud	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xf790f5…
05-29 16:56:36	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xc03f5c…
05-29 16:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x7bd28b…
05-29 16:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0xd73f6b…