Fuzzy-Crawdad — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$125

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.4%

Resolved

Trades

9,550

lifetime

Volume

$68.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 06-24 21:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 24% $-125

Other

2% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1771368600	7	$779	754	750	+4	open	—	02-17 22:55
btc updown 5m 1771356900	3	$735	625	621	+4	open	—	02-17 19:40
btc updown 5m 1771194600	4	$733	730	691	+39	open	—	02-15 22:34
btc updown 5m 1771404900	5	$568	616	240	+375	open	—	02-18 09:02
btc updown 5m 1771405500	4	$550	641	343	+298	open	—	02-18 09:10
btc updown 5m 1771281300	5	$537	466	410	+56	open	—	02-16 22:40
btc updown 5m 1771248600	6	$532	470	255	+215	open	—	02-16 13:36
btc updown 5m 1772576400	3	$505	500	500	+0	open	—	03-03 22:25
btc updown 5m 1771280700	7	$501	629	263	+366	open	—	02-16 22:30
btc updown 5m 1771282200	5	$479	578	574	+4	open	—	02-16 22:55
btc updown 5m 1771277700	12	$469	426	249	+177	open	—	02-16 21:40
btc updown 5m 1771457700	4	$468	384	381	+3	open	—	02-18 23:40
btc updown 5m 1771525800	9	$457	863	379	+484	open	—	02-19 18:34
btc updown 5m 1771616100	5	$454	376	373	+3	open	—	02-20 19:40
btc updown 5m 1771367100	8	$431	541	357	+184	open	—	02-17 22:30
btc updown 5m 1771366800	5	$404	422	417	+5	open	—	02-17 22:24
btc updown 5m 1771366500	4	$396	599	431	+168	open	—	02-17 22:19
btc updown 5m 1771614000	6	$382	820	310	+510	open	—	02-20 19:04
btc updown 5m 1771368000	5	$359	918	317	+601	open	—	02-17 22:44
btc updown 5m 1771278300	8	$349	405	160	+245	open	—	02-16 21:50
btc updown 5m 1771353900	5	$346	1,035	254	+781	open	—	02-17 18:49
btc updown 5m 1771281000	8	$337	377	194	+183	open	—	02-16 22:35
nancy guthrie kidnapper arrested by february 28	7	$331	502	502	+0	open	—	02-17 15:30
btc updown 5m 1772528400	10	$314	270	262	+8	open	—	03-03 09:05
btc updown 5m 1771272300	5	$307	253	251	+2	open	—	02-16 20:10
btc updown 5m 1771193400	2	$300	209	206	+3	open	—	02-15 22:14
btc updown 5m 1771613100	3	$300	340	337	+3	open	—	02-20 18:49
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	34	$298	4,507	4,507	+0	open	—	03-24 21:57
btc updown 5m 1771279500	12	$290	215	212	+3	open	—	02-16 22:09
btc updown 5m 1771458600	3	$279	223	221	+2	open	—	02-18 23:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 21:33:26	btc updown 5m 1782336600	Down	BUY	18	31¢	$6	0x4cf658…
06-24 21:19:17	btc updown 5m 1782335700	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x1966ca…
06-24 21:18:59	btc updown 5m 1782335700	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xd36d02…
06-24 21:14:37	btc updown 5m 1782335400	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x272a5a…
06-24 21:12:53	btc updown 5m 1782335400	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xda02e8…
06-24 21:10:31	btc updown 5m 1782335100	Up	SELL	34	99¢	$33	0x8a6196…
06-24 21:08:47	btc updown 5m 1782335100	Up	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0xd4d748…
06-24 21:00:25	btc updown 5m 1782334500	Down	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x37cc3e…
06-24 20:59:14	btc updown 5m 1782334500	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x35095d…
06-24 20:57:41	btc updown 5m 1782334500	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x75f6e0…
06-24 19:44:52	btc updown 5m 1782330000	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x20e70f…
06-15 17:13:21	btc updown 5m 1781543400	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xffa877…
06-14 21:58:09	eth updown 5m 1781474100	Up	BUY	58	7¢	$4	0x45e056…
06-14 21:48:52	eth updown 5m 1781473500	Down	BUY	51	20¢	$10	0x793ab3…
06-14 21:43:57	btc updown 5m 1781473200	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xfda36a…
05-17 08:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf1ed62…
05-17 08:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x55c990…
05-17 08:28:51	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	729	9¢	$66	0x4ff0a6…
05-16 22:59:05	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	81	10¢	$8	0x86a06f…
05-16 22:11:10	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	7¢	$7	0xa6cf5c…
05-16 21:59:16	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0xf9ec2b…
05-16 21:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x9d5b67…
05-16 21:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xcb2b42…
05-16 21:26:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xf92490…
05-16 21:25:08	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	68	15¢	$10	0x4b7fbb…
05-16 21:20:33	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	15¢	$18	0x1747c0…
05-16 21:00:05	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	426	2¢	$9	0xd7bd46…
05-16 20:59:53	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	238	2¢	$5	0xf5890e…
05-16 20:59:46	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	238	2¢	$5	0xd619db…
05-16 20:59:26	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	286	2¢	$6	0xd6b488…
05-10 20:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x2f8de7…
05-10 20:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x8b85cd…
05-10 20:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x29e324…
05-10 20:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x0290f2…
05-10 20:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xeab504…
05-10 20:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xbd24fd…
05-10 19:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x020d4e…
05-10 19:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x4ce584…
05-10 19:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	40	81¢	$33	0xd7e0dd…
05-10 19:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0xec4673…
05-10 19:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x6b0ed9…
05-10 19:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5068a9…
05-10 19:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0xf6413e…
05-10 19:37:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	114	9¢	$10	0x46eef6…
05-10 19:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x2d1e52…
05-10 19:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x285604…
05-10 19:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	35	7¢	$2	0xde6c1d…
05-10 19:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x29054b…
05-10 19:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf664c5…
05-10 19:24:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x300952…
05-10 19:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	48	10¢	$5	0x521017…
05-10 19:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	108	9¢	$10	0x41416c…
05-10 19:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0xca32ce…
05-10 19:19:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x19f06b…
05-10 19:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xf20f14…
05-10 19:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	113	4¢	$5	0x8f3235…
05-10 19:12:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	54	97¢	$52	0xd0ac07…
05-10 19:08:20	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	273	2¢	$5	0x4dabbd…
05-10 19:05:37	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	86	6¢	$5	0xba44ef…
05-10 19:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb1864a…
05-10 19:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xa43100…
05-10 19:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xbd4844…
05-10 19:02:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	31	2¢	$1	0xd4a9a2…
05-10 19:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xee43e2…
05-10 19:02:11	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa7df82…
05-10 19:02:04	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x10edf0…
05-10 19:02:00	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x813459…
05-10 18:58:56	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xffbc74…
05-10 18:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xc0c71e…
05-05 17:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x2a64e0…
05-05 17:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x34421b…
05-05 17:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x43b9b3…
05-05 17:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x5c6297…
05-05 17:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x410246…
05-05 17:26:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x673888…
05-04 21:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3ce29a…
05-04 21:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x794e86…
05-04 21:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x4ad7f5…
05-04 21:07:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x6a8bda…
05-04 21:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x1a8a6d…
05-04 21:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfedbe9…
05-04 21:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	128	8¢	$10	0x028f42…
05-04 21:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x8a3d20…
05-04 21:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xa80ec1…
05-04 20:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0xc9b457…
05-04 20:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x262dfc…
05-04 20:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xcf7c0d…
05-04 20:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x82932b…
05-04 20:49:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	226	2¢	$5	0xa1d365…
05-04 20:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x449076…
05-04 20:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xc5107e…
05-04 20:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x0bf810…
05-04 20:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x9ddcb6…
05-04 20:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x1edc2a…
05-04 20:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x47bd1f…
05-04 20:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x247eda…
05-04 20:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x0766b4…
05-04 20:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xf5a6d8…
05-04 20:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x0795ed…
05-04 20:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xbcded0…