Watery-Income — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$21

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 05-05 11:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% $-21

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	6	$315	193	193	+0	open	—	05-04 15:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	4	$202	113	113	+0	open	—	05-04 12:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	4	$127	70	70	+0	open	—	05-03 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$107	60	60	+0	Down	+$7	05-05 08:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	4	$100	66	66	+0	open	—	05-04 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	4	$99	97	97	+0	open	—	05-04 12:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	4	$95	96	96	+0	open	—	05-03 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$95	54	45	+9	open	—	05-03 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$93	50	50	+0	open	—	05-03 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	4	$88	60	60	+0	Up	+$8	05-04 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$64	34	34	+0	Up	+$4	05-04 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	3	$61	55	36	+19	Up	$-19	05-05 11:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	4	$61	41	41	+0	open	—	05-04 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	1	$50	330	0	+330	open	—	05-04 15:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$43	29	29	+0	open	—	05-04 16:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	3	$43	24	24	+0	open	—	05-03 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	4	$39	25	25	+0	Up	$-1	05-04 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	4	$38	28	28	+0	open	—	05-03 18:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	4	$29	38	38	+0	open	—	05-04 12:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	3	$25	33	18	+16	Up	$-15	05-05 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	2	$25	18	18	+0	Up	+$5	05-05 10:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	05-04 12:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$23	13	13	+0	open	—	05-04 14:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-03 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$19	15	15	+0	open	—	05-04 12:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$18	20	20	+0	open	—	05-04 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$14	15	15	+0	open	—	05-03 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	Down	$-10	05-05 08:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	05-04 12:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$5	80	0	+80	open	—	05-04 12:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 11:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x4fb835…
05-05 11:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	36	59¢	$21	0xc873f3…
05-05 11:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0x5a3941…
05-05 10:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	18	84¢	$15	0x17c631…
05-05 10:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x8e388e…
05-05 08:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x5fca8e…
05-05 08:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	18	30¢	$5	0x01c9b8…
05-05 08:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xb37de2…
05-05 08:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xbffa6c…
05-05 08:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	60	95¢	$57	0x6da9d2…
05-05 08:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x962c3a…
05-04 21:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$11	0x35aeec…
05-04 21:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xe07695…
05-04 21:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	13	53¢	$7	0x62622a…
05-04 21:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xcb1966…
05-04 20:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x1ba0af…
05-04 20:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x7dbeed…
05-04 20:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x0b537e…
05-04 20:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0xeb8c56…
05-04 20:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	22	46¢	$10	0xf83e1d…
05-04 20:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xb56350…
05-04 16:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	45	99¢	$44	0xf1b0b6…
05-04 16:29:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0x7f19da…
05-04 16:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	21	75¢	$16	0xb581d6…
05-04 16:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xf4f7f3…
05-04 16:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x47f022…
05-04 16:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x2d98d7…
05-04 16:12:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	18	45¢	$8	0x40bbef…
05-04 16:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x167bf4…
05-04 16:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	29	78¢	$23	0x59d974…
05-04 16:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xa519d8…
05-04 16:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0xbe3aef…
05-04 16:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x916d80…
05-04 15:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	330	15¢	$50	0x12a5fc…
05-04 15:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	62	99¢	$61	0x6a1bfd…
05-04 15:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0xd6c88e…
05-04 15:53:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	78	68¢	$53	0xb02993…
05-04 15:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xcd2b69…
05-04 15:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	53	95¢	$50	0x416eb0…
05-04 15:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0xd9f3c6…
05-04 14:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x14dd84…
05-04 14:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x0031ad…
05-04 12:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	SELL	15	59¢	$9	0xd642a7…
05-04 12:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x62668c…
05-04 12:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0x05165a…
05-04 12:38:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x266384…
05-04 12:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	62	85¢	$53	0x9ac11e…
05-04 12:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0xd830f8…
05-04 12:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0xa34600…
05-04 12:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x2c7aef…
05-04 12:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	19	12¢	$2	0x4a2f1a…
05-04 12:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x2b99ad…
05-04 12:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	19	34¢	$7	0xd9e951…
05-04 12:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x68e8e6…
05-04 12:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x3a9a93…
05-04 12:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	80	6¢	$5	0x3ffb2f…
05-04 12:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0x45d37c…
05-04 12:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	47	39¢	$18	0xd13d62…
05-04 12:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0x8b3a6e…
05-04 12:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x00b279…
05-03 18:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xec3c35…
05-03 18:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	50	89¢	$45	0xafcea6…
05-03 18:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x2e3b31…
05-03 18:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	54	93¢	$50	0x872133…
05-03 18:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	24	95¢	$23	0x19e51b…
05-03 18:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xb73546…
05-03 18:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x52e7e0…
05-03 18:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0xfe8164…
05-03 18:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x563328…
05-03 18:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	53	5¢	$3	0x9ffee4…
05-03 18:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x90dc09…
05-03 18:28:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0xb2e08e…
05-03 18:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x0a7d04…
05-03 18:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	15	29¢	$4	0x5b9560…
05-03 18:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x1e48e4…
05-03 18:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x080910…
05-03 18:18:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x21afcb…
05-03 18:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	13	30¢	$4	0x3f4f68…
05-03 18:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x546c98…
05-03 18:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	56	99¢	$55	0x76955b…
05-03 18:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x7983a9…
05-03 18:11:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	15	79¢	$12	0x7a0c0c…
05-03 18:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x04b5d8…