Hard-Counter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$106

Unrealized P&L

-$13

Hit rate

53.9%

Resolved

Trades

338

lifetime

Volume

$2.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$120

11 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 16:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% +$106

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 329 trades/day

Open positions (11) Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	+40	$35	82¢	$33	$-2	05-05 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	+20	$17	99¢	$20	+$3	05-05 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	+20	$10	84¢	$17	+$7	05-05 16:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	+20	$16	68¢	$14	$-2	05-05 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	+20	$9	68¢	$14	+$5	05-05 15:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	+20	$11	42¢	$8	$-2	05-05 16:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	+20	$17	32¢	$6	$-10	05-05 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	+20	$12	32¢	$6	$-6	05-05 15:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	+10	$0	16¢	$2	+$1	05-05 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	+20	$4	1¢	$0	$-4	05-05 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	+20	$3	1¢	$0	$-3	05-05 15:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	7	$74	140	+140	open	—	05-05 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	9	$72	150	+150	Up	$-2	05-05 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	6	$68	120	+120	open	—	05-05 13:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	6	$64	120	+120	open	—	05-05 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	9	$62	130	+130	Down	+$28	05-05 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	6	$61	120	+120	Down	$-1	05-05 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	6	$54	100	+100	open	—	05-05 12:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	5	$53	100	+100	Down	+$7	05-05 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	5	$52	100	+100	open	—	05-05 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	5	$46	100	+100	open	—	05-05 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	4	$45	80	+80	open	—	05-05 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	4	$44	80	+80	open	—	05-05 12:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	5	$42	90	+90	open	—	05-05 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	5	$41	90	+90	open	—	05-05 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	4	$38	70	+70	Down	+$2	05-05 04:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	4	$38	70	+70	Up	$-8	05-05 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	4	$38	70	+70	open	—	05-05 07:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	4	$38	70	+70	Up	+$2	05-05 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	4	$37	60	+60	open	—	05-05 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	4	$36	70	+70	open	—	05-05 06:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	4	$36	80	+80	open	—	05-05 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	3	$35	60	+60	open	—	05-05 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	4	$35	80	+80	open	—	05-05 13:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	4	$35	70	+70	open	—	05-05 07:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$35	40	+40	open	—	05-05 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	4	$33	70	+70	Up	$-3	05-05 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$33	40	+40	open	—	05-05 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	3	$32	60	+60	Up	+$8	05-05 05:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	3	$31	60	+60	open	—	05-05 12:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	3	$31	60	+60	open	—	05-05 11:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 16:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x8f046a…
05-05 16:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xe3d17c…
05-05 16:14:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x848629…
05-05 16:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x7270d6…
05-05 16:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xbe204e…
05-05 15:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xc74ca3…
05-05 15:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xa7098f…
05-05 15:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x44e14a…
05-05 15:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x8df05c…
05-05 15:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x33fdad…
05-05 15:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xbe3bc9…
05-05 15:27:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x26fb47…
05-05 15:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x4cf0ee…
05-05 15:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x9e47ed…
05-05 15:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xab3d10…
05-05 15:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xb27e6e…
05-05 15:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xb87866…
05-05 15:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x60b92e…
05-05 15:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xde8a7d…
05-05 15:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xecfdce…
05-05 15:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x883902…
05-05 15:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xf494f4…
05-05 14:57:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x749fb6…
05-05 14:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x26bcd4…
05-05 14:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xe92641…
05-05 14:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x934103…
05-05 14:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x4f9018…
05-05 14:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x5926e8…
05-05 14:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x96746d…
05-05 14:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x9d8c70…
05-05 14:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x8e024e…
05-05 14:42:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xa45a9c…
05-05 14:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x5242a5…
05-05 14:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xbf26a6…
05-05 14:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x2715b1…
05-05 14:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x1dc018…
05-05 14:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xd2c24c…
05-05 14:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xb776f9…
05-05 14:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x45aa38…
05-05 14:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xff666b…
05-05 14:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x92a3bf…
05-05 14:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xe09460…
05-05 14:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xc451a5…
05-05 14:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xda2454…
05-05 14:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xe73516…
05-05 14:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x03e03f…
05-05 14:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x595789…
05-05 14:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x7109c2…
05-05 14:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x707b3d…
05-05 13:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x25b624…
05-05 13:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xc7c1e4…
05-05 13:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xa14f7d…
05-05 13:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x1caec7…
05-05 13:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xc83ace…
05-05 13:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xf56480…
05-05 13:47:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x1863a2…
05-05 13:46:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xf4a41c…
05-05 13:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xdd5fe0…
05-05 13:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x05aba0…
05-05 13:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xb8a290…
05-05 13:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xb36707…
05-05 13:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x149dcd…
05-05 13:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xfb208f…
05-05 13:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x0a8b09…
05-05 13:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x910cc8…
05-05 13:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xba5944…
05-05 13:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xdee7b7…
05-05 13:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x66fc23…
05-05 13:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xdd9128…
05-05 13:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x3877f9…
05-05 13:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x4b3ea0…
05-05 13:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x62cb73…
05-05 13:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x1ef4a2…
05-05 13:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x018c28…
05-05 13:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xca48ce…
05-05 13:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0xbb4c70…
05-05 13:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x361eb6…
05-05 13:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xe69b8c…
05-05 13:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xa73ef8…
05-05 13:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x79057e…
05-05 13:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x8fef54…
05-05 13:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xca894c…
05-05 13:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x1ac277…
05-05 13:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x40cf7f…
05-05 13:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0x081720…
05-05 13:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x6a295d…
05-05 13:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x895cc7…
05-05 13:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xdf2487…
05-05 13:05:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x121750…
05-05 13:05:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x0e0c44…
05-05 13:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x599081…
05-05 12:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x735228…
05-05 12:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x6ea5fe…
05-05 12:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x4b69cf…
05-05 12:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xa9da60…
05-05 12:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0xead3e1…
05-05 12:31:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xe9f148…
05-05 12:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x6ff2a7…
05-05 12:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0x620c90…
05-05 12:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xb2897b…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	160	$24.2K	916	05-05 16:17
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	152	$10.4K	597	05-05 16:17
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	147	$7.51K	669	05-05 16:17
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	146	$10.7K	614	05-05 16:17
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	144	$21.4K	733	05-05 16:19
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	143	$6.99K	611	05-05 16:14
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	140	$1.37K	361	05-05 16:12
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	136	$2.69K	326	05-05 16:19