Hard-Counter — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

+$94

Unrealized P&L

+$13

Hit rate

52.1%

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

420

443 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$3.54K

$3.70K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$186

20 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 23:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% +$106

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 434 trades/day

Open positions (20) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	+20	$9	99¢	$20	+$11	05-05 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	+20	$10	98¢	$20	+$10	05-05 22:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	+30	$19	60¢	$18	$-1	05-05 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	+30	$16	56¢	$17	+$1	05-05 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	+20	$8	81¢	$16	+$8	05-05 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	+30	$14	48¢	$15	+$0	05-05 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	+20	$11	52¢	$10	$-0	05-05 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	+10	$5	99¢	$10	+$5	05-05 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	+10	$5	99¢	$10	+$5	05-05 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	+10	$5	98¢	$10	+$5	05-05 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	+20	$9	44¢	$9	$-1	05-05 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	+10	$5	84¢	$8	+$3	05-05 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	+20	$7	40¢	$8	+$1	05-05 22:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	+10	$7	66¢	$7	$-0	05-05 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	+10	$6	36¢	$4	$-3	05-05 22:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	+20	$8	16¢	$3	$-5	05-05 23:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	+10	$6	19¢	$2	$-4	05-05 23:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	+10	$6	2¢	$0	$-6	05-05 22:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	+20	$12	1¢	$0	$-12	05-05 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	+10	$5	1¢	$0	$-5	05-05 22:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	7	$74	140	+140	open	—	05-05 14:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	9	$72	150	+150	Up	$-2	05-05 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	6	$68	120	+120	open	—	05-05 13:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	6	$64	120	+120	open	—	05-05 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	9	$62	130	+130	Down	+$28	05-05 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	6	$61	120	+120	Down	$-1	05-05 02:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	6	$54	100	+100	open	—	05-05 12:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	5	$53	100	+100	Down	+$7	05-05 02:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	5	$52	100	+100	open	—	05-05 13:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	4	$51	80	+80	open	—	05-05 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	5	$46	100	+100	open	—	05-05 13:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	4	$45	80	+80	open	—	05-05 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	4	$44	80	+80	open	—	05-05 12:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	5	$42	90	+90	open	—	05-05 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	5	$41	90	+90	open	—	05-05 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	4	$38	70	+70	Down	+$2	05-05 04:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	4	$38	70	+70	Up	$-8	05-05 02:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	4	$38	70	+70	open	—	05-05 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	4	$38	70	+70	open	—	05-05 07:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	4	$38	70	+70	Up	+$2	05-05 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	4	$37	60	+60	open	—	05-05 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	4	$36	70	+70	open	—	05-05 06:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	4	$36	80	+80	open	—	05-05 14:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	3	$35	60	+60	open	—	05-05 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	4	$35	80	+80	open	—	05-05 13:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	4	$35	70	+70	open	—	05-05 07:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$35	40	+40	open	—	05-05 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	3	$34	60	+60	open	—	05-05 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	4	$33	70	+70	Up	$-3	05-05 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$33	40	+40	open	—	05-05 16:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 23:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xf3cae4…
05-05 23:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x56bfdf…
05-05 23:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x595549…
05-05 23:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x627524…
05-05 23:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xe3b058…
05-05 23:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x524ef9…
05-05 23:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x85fb3e…
05-05 22:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x152347…
05-05 22:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x1dd351…
05-05 22:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8d77cb…
05-05 22:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xebec7b…
05-05 22:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x059a37…
05-05 22:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x7c46a5…
05-05 22:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xd97193…
05-05 22:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x8edb0f…
05-05 22:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xcfaf96…
05-05 22:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x780b32…
05-05 22:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x3082cc…
05-05 22:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x85eab2…
05-05 22:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x134904…
05-05 22:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x61d262…
05-05 22:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xd72da2…
05-05 22:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x04a721…
05-05 22:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xe73bb2…
05-05 22:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0x2f1137…
05-05 22:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0xc49336…
05-05 22:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x4e1ab7…
05-05 21:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xe582d5…
05-05 21:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x8fb3a9…
05-05 21:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x510876…
05-05 21:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x37edb1…
05-05 21:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x1584ca…
05-05 21:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x27bcfc…
05-05 21:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb580e0…
05-05 21:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x487989…
05-05 21:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x7fcb64…
05-05 21:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x4d4abb…
05-05 21:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xd8760d…
05-05 21:10:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x23be6b…
05-05 21:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0b2245…
05-05 20:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xeb9e9e…
05-05 20:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x41ca6f…
05-05 20:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x4ccdac…
05-05 20:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x13c849…
05-05 20:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x7d4687…
05-05 20:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x3e3b51…
05-05 20:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x59693f…
05-05 20:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x82112c…
05-05 20:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x5d12d1…
05-05 19:58:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x864bf2…
05-05 19:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x7526cc…
05-05 19:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x91cf76…
05-05 19:48:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xdc6ec5…
05-05 19:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x6f6f14…
05-05 19:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xff1ccc…
05-05 19:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x4918aa…
05-05 19:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x6383ea…
05-05 19:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xf1dedf…
05-05 19:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x42598e…
05-05 19:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x6422d8…
05-05 19:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xd05f0e…
05-05 19:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xd9c7e2…
05-05 19:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x7a9628…
05-05 19:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x39c09f…
05-05 19:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x6e2a2b…
05-05 19:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x6e79e9…
05-05 19:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x979d9d…
05-05 19:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xb0a9de…
05-05 18:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xd98bab…
05-05 18:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x95af50…
05-05 18:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x202301…
05-05 18:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x165233…
05-05 18:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x4f64a6…
05-05 18:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x65c3d3…
05-05 18:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x81467a…
05-05 18:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x91f4a6…
05-05 18:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xc690b5…
05-05 18:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xaa59bc…
05-05 18:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xc86651…
05-05 18:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x8a96c3…
05-05 18:33:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xeae98a…
05-05 18:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x4274f7…
05-05 18:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xfe08c1…
05-05 18:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xf5e593…
05-05 18:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xd68e25…
05-05 18:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x0ddc6a…
05-05 18:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xc55bdf…
05-05 18:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x45c73f…
05-05 17:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x8da8ca…
05-05 17:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xb8a530…
05-05 17:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x4161c7…
05-05 17:22:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x55de21…
05-05 17:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xa92434…
05-05 17:17:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xec564f…
05-05 17:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xb7778b…
05-05 17:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xe56b7a…
05-05 17:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xc0b9c7…
05-05 17:02:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xbac927…
05-05 16:57:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x2f4b8c…
05-05 16:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x986670…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xe907…cff6	207	$31.0K	1,117	05-05 23:10
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	207	$13.5K	757	05-05 23:10
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	199	$13.9K	777	05-05 23:10
Upset-Sight 0xe022…6603	199	$11.5K	1,030	05-05 23:10
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	193	$45.7K	999	05-05 23:10
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	189	$1.98K	488	05-05 23:10
Novel-Morbid 0x4766…5a03	187	$9.19K	816	05-05 23:00
Sentimental-Differential 0x510a…d77f	181	$4.05K	477	05-05 23:00