Svelte-Negotiation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6.86K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.9%

Resolved

Trades

1,510

lifetime

Volume

$310.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$206

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 05-23 00:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 42% $-6,862

Sports

1% — —

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$1.3K	2,356	+2,356	open	—	04-24 21:49
btc updown 5m 1777057500	2	$1.2K	2,283	+2,283	open	—	04-24 19:04
btc updown 5m 1777042800	2	$1.1K	2,369	+2,369	open	—	04-24 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$1.1K	1,968	+1,968	Down	$-1,064	05-05 23:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$1000	2,006	+2,006	Down	$-1,000	05-05 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	2	$1000	1,914	+1,914	Down	+$914	05-05 21:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	3	$1000	1,871	+1,871	Down	$-1,000	05-05 23:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$1000	1,916	+1,916	open	—	04-24 20:39
btc updown 5m 1777043700	2	$963	1,807	+1,807	open	—	04-24 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$900	1,687	+1,687	Up	+$787	05-05 22:18
btc updown 5m 1777050600	2	$896	1,693	+1,693	open	—	04-24 17:08
btc updown 5m 1776750600	1	$822	1,677	+1,677	open	—	04-21 05:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	2	$820	1,730	+1,730	Up	$-820	05-05 23:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$810	1,563	+1,563	Down	+$753	05-05 22:53
btc updown 5m 1776864900	1	$800	1,610	+1,610	open	—	04-22 13:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$800	1,578	+1,578	Up	+$778	05-05 19:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	2	$800	1,533	+1,533	Down	$-800	05-06 04:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	2	$800	1,501	+1,501	Down	$-800	05-06 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	2	$750	1,388	+1,388	open	—	04-30 05:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$750	1,453	+1,453	Up	+$703	05-05 18:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$727	1,404	+1,404	open	—	04-28 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$722	1,229	+1,229	open	—	05-02 05:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	1	$700	1,437	+1,437	Up	$-700	05-05 22:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	2	$700	1,293	+1,293	open	—	05-03 04:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	2	$700	1,262	+1,262	open	—	05-03 02:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$700	1,346	+1,346	open	—	05-04 16:12
btc updown 5m 1776483900	2	$700	1,365	+1,365	open	—	04-18 03:44
btc updown 5m 1776728400	2	$690	1,336	+1,336	open	—	04-20 23:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$685	1,340	+1,340	open	—	05-16 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	3	$680	1,191	+1,191	open	—	05-23 00:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 00:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	70	63¢	$44	0xb93344…
05-23 00:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	411	54¢	$223	0x44b582…
05-23 00:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	710	58¢	$413	0x0ad0a3…
05-23 00:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	623	56¢	$346	0x9eaca6…
05-23 00:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	300	58¢	$174	0x97d8fd…
05-23 00:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	641	55¢	$350	0x09cf44…
05-22 23:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	326	53¢	$173	0xa0af3c…
05-22 23:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	330	54¢	$177	0x1a58c9…
05-22 23:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	558	56¢	$310	0xfd139d…
05-22 23:48:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	327	58¢	$190	0x894fa5…
05-22 23:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	323	55¢	$178	0xa7d8c8…
05-22 23:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	331	52¢	$172	0xa4be35…
05-22 23:32:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	860	50¢	$430	0x2e84dd…
05-22 23:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	804	54¢	$430	0x2e5a2f…
05-22 23:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	472	52¢	$243	0x80c2d0…
05-22 23:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	342	55¢	$187	0x48f02b…
05-22 22:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	185	49¢	$91	0x4434ac…
05-22 22:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	540	48¢	$259	0x36498c…
05-22 22:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	725	48¢	$350	0x09c023…
05-22 22:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	458	55¢	$250	0xd532b6…
05-22 21:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	540	46¢	$250	0x6ef4be…
05-22 21:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	521	48¢	$250	0xd11078…
05-22 21:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	481	52¢	$250	0x14b3b7…
05-22 19:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	508	49¢	$250	0x1161c1…
05-22 19:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	549	46¢	$250	0x4419a5…
05-22 19:32:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	441	57¢	$250	0x6bfb78…
05-22 18:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	540	46¢	$250	0x113861…
05-22 18:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	536	47¢	$250	0x7968d4…
05-22 18:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	457	55¢	$250	0x6f9a4e…
05-22 17:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	556	45¢	$250	0x53782d…
05-22 17:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	157	54¢	$85	0xdfcab3…
05-22 17:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	634	53¢	$335	0x142f9f…
05-22 15:43:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	423	53¢	$225	0x29e3d5…
05-22 08:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	424	53¢	$225	0x4a3d8f…
05-22 08:39:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	417	54¢	$225	0xe0362a…
05-22 08:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	512	39¢	$200	0x045e3e…
05-22 08:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	463	52¢	$241	0x7faebc…
05-22 08:12:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0x650659…
05-22 07:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	447	51¢	$230	0x92d67e…
05-22 07:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	450	56¢	$250	0xf9e64f…
05-22 06:58:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	510	49¢	$250	0xca13ba…
05-22 06:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	612	53¢	$322	0x3c3317…
05-22 06:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	707	49¢	$345	0xcaa440…
05-22 06:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	640	49¢	$317	0xd139ac…
05-22 06:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	51¢	$25	0x8db10f…
05-22 06:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	827	49¢	$406	0xe2f8a3…
05-22 05:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	426	47¢	$200	0x85a2df…
05-22 05:29:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	835	47¢	$395	0xe475eb…
05-22 05:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	486	53¢	$260	0xb4f214…
05-22 05:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	385	52¢	$200	0x0255f2…
05-22 04:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	409	49¢	$200	0x8f66fa…
05-22 03:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	682	50¢	$340	0xa0013b…
05-20 06:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	521	57¢	$295	0x318676…
05-20 06:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	692	48¢	$330	0xcf13f9…
05-20 06:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	646	50¢	$323	0x463417…
05-20 05:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	694	49¢	$340	0x172271…
05-20 05:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	605	50¢	$301	0xf36f83…
05-20 05:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	76	51¢	$39	0x9a0241…
05-20 04:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	665	51¢	$340	0x173329…
05-19 01:22:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	546	53¢	$289	0x7e688a…
05-19 01:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	624	53¢	$330	0x07744a…
05-19 00:53:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	572	50¢	$286	0x0e06bd…
05-19 00:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	658	53¢	$350	0xd218d3…
05-19 00:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	92	55¢	$50	0xa56851…
05-19 00:27:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	511	47¢	$238	0xe5ab93…
05-19 00:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	918	49¢	$450	0x644896…
05-18 23:54:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	680	50¢	$340	0x7b57fd…
05-18 23:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	564	51¢	$285	0x9ade7b…
05-18 23:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	645	53¢	$340	0xb4f299…
05-18 22:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	643	53¢	$340	0x8174ee…
05-18 05:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	61	52¢	$32	0x66904b…
05-18 04:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	54¢	$18	0x32dad8…
05-17 21:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	585	58¢	$340	0xacd793…
05-17 20:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	502	68¢	$340	0x9fd092…
05-17 01:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	894	54¢	$478	0x531fd5…
05-17 01:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	264	55¢	$145	0xae843f…
05-17 01:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	898	53¢	$480	0x7886e5…
05-17 00:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	754	53¢	$400	0x7a7352…
05-17 00:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	464	43¢	$200	0x48d135…
05-16 23:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	439	46¢	$200	0x55f3b2…
05-16 23:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	733	27¢	$200	0xdef465…
05-16 23:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	784	51¢	$400	0x74d582…
05-16 23:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	558	61¢	$340	0xf26d9e…
05-16 23:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	697	49¢	$340	0x6d7b43…
05-16 23:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	665	51¢	$340	0x324fa1…
05-16 22:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	680	50¢	$340	0x7bbe41…
05-16 22:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	662	51¢	$340	0x1f0f52…
05-16 22:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	638	53¢	$340	0xfe0f2f…
05-16 19:49:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	834	68¢	$570	0xc5a3a6…
05-16 19:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1,000	50¢	$500	0xdf81fd…
05-16 19:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	158	4¢	$7	0x859b4c…
05-16 19:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	603	6¢	$35	0x4d107c…
05-16 19:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	761	53¢	$400	0x9cfe42…
05-16 19:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	594	67¢	$400	0x66107d…
05-16 18:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	816	51¢	$413	0x632b9c…
05-16 18:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	99	53¢	$52	0x4e4504…
05-16 11:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	76	54¢	$41	0xf95e5f…
05-16 11:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	791	52¢	$412	0x1589cd…
05-16 11:13:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	468	52¢	$241	0x6d2693…
05-16 11:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	571	51¢	$290	0x6f4ee4…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Altruistic-Trust 0xd9a0…dbca	956	$1.62K	4,194	05-23 00:33
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	945	$649.7K	41,636	05-23 00:57
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	943	$154.6K	21,109	05-23 00:57
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	938	$247.1K	42,714	05-23 00:58
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	934	$243.9K	80,121	05-23 00:58
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	932	$287.6K	87,006	05-23 00:58
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	929	$277.1K	53,235	05-23 00:58
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	917	$498.3K	19,844	05-23 00:58