Fair-Philosopher — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$273

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

44.6%

Resolved

273

Trades

2,693

lifetime

Volume

$43.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 06-09 23:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 68% $-273

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 650 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1773413100	29	$1.6K	1,108	1,091	+17	open	—	03-13 14:56
btc updown 15m 1773956700	14	$835	744	733	+11	open	—	03-19 22:00
btc updown 15m 1773408600	17	$820	622	614	+8	open	—	03-13 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	14	$726	747	732	+15	Down	$-105	05-06 18:23
btc updown 15m 1773056700	16	$712	522	512	+10	open	—	03-09 11:56
btc updown 15m 1773051300	10	$711	522	512	+10	open	—	03-09 10:29
btc updown 15m 1773406800	17	$710	522	512	+10	open	—	03-13 13:15
btc updown 15m 1773672300	11	$709	522	512	+10	open	—	03-16 14:56
btc updown 15m 1773410400	10	$680	712	706	+7	open	—	03-13 14:12
btc updown 15m 1773950400	6	$602	446	437	+9	open	—	03-19 20:15
btc updown 15m 1773087300	9	$579	448	380	+67	open	—	03-09 20:30
btc updown 15m 1773333900	11	$558	418	410	+8	open	—	03-12 17:00
btc updown 15m 1773094500	9	$440	448	439	+9	open	—	03-09 22:30
btc updown 15m 1773412200	2	$437	1,031	1,016	+15	open	—	03-13 14:41
btc updown 15m 1773086400	12	$420	438	386	+52	open	—	03-09 20:11
btc updown 5m 1773670800	10	$414	522	219	+303	open	—	03-16 14:25
btc updown 15m 1781046000	5	$405	488	204	+285	open	—	06-09 23:13
btc updown 15m 1772838900	12	$381	463	219	+243	open	—	03-06 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	6	$373	375	368	+7	open	—	05-22 15:14
btc updown 15m 1773345600	11	$368	389	175	+214	open	—	03-12 20:14
btc updown 15m 1773335700	15	$363	279	275	+4	open	—	03-12 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	16	$322	319	313	+6	Down	$-34	05-06 18:59
btc updown 15m 1773388800	4	$321	210	210	+0	open	—	03-13 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	9	$318	358	245	+113	Up	$-22	05-06 18:09
btc updown 15m 1773396000	13	$314	180	180	+0	open	—	03-13 10:09
btc updown 15m 1773075600	19	$311	419	88	+331	open	—	03-09 17:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	9	$309	354	262	+92	Down	$-53	05-06 18:32
btc updown 15m 1773411300	2	$308	492	484	+8	open	—	03-13 14:23
btc updown 15m 1773043200	13	$300	224	219	+4	open	—	03-09 08:15
btc updown 15m 1773028800	23	$300	224	219	+4	open	—	03-09 04:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 23:36:37	btc updown 15m 1781047800	Up	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x1de042…
06-09 23:36:34	btc updown 15m 1781047800	Down	SELL	114	78¢	$89	0x1f49c2…
06-09 23:35:31	btc updown 15m 1781047800	Down	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xa29133…
06-09 23:35:30	btc updown 15m 1781047800	Up	SELL	76	13¢	$10	0xd5f6cd…
06-09 23:34:03	btc updown 15m 1781047800	Up	BUY	77	65¢	$50	0xecbac7…
06-09 23:28:46	btc updown 15m 1781046900	Down	BUY	91	71¢	$65	0xd1cf01…
06-09 23:28:46	btc updown 15m 1781046900	Up	SELL	49	30¢	$15	0xa1f477…
06-09 23:16:07	btc updown 15m 1781046900	Up	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0xc62585…
06-09 23:13:43	btc updown 15m 1781046000	Down	SELL	130	28¢	$36	0xcc54a2…
06-09 23:13:43	btc updown 15m 1781046000	Up	BUY	280	71¢	$200	0x4156f8…
06-09 23:11:10	btc updown 15m 1781046000	Down	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0xbdcca3…
06-09 23:11:10	btc updown 15m 1781046000	Up	SELL	74	26¢	$19	0x41f30e…
06-09 23:00:27	btc updown 15m 1781046000	Up	BUY	75	66¢	$50	0xe8b0ff…
05-22 16:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	98	35¢	$34	0x5d7892…
05-22 16:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	101	65¢	$65	0x467103…
05-22 16:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	SELL	47	36¢	$17	0x1a8d7c…
05-22 16:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	48	68¢	$33	0xc4c22f…
05-22 16:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	31	37¢	$12	0xbf8185…
05-22 16:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x96c454…
05-22 16:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	16	37¢	$6	0x3686f6…
05-22 16:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0xc33327…
05-22 16:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x9d56b7…
05-22 16:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xa2835b…
05-22 15:14:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	206	33¢	$68	0x252339…
05-22 15:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	210	67¢	$141	0xed5ab5…
05-22 15:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	108	35¢	$38	0x9d61e7…
05-22 15:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	54	37¢	$20	0xe007b6…
05-22 15:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	110	64¢	$71	0x639049…
05-22 15:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	55	64¢	$35	0x92fce8…
05-22 14:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	30	35¢	$11	0x5507ad…
05-22 14:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0xa21b09…
05-22 14:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	15	36¢	$6	0x28c3cb…
05-22 14:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xd86289…
05-22 14:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0x4386f6…
05-22 14:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x1856f9…
05-22 14:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x99ec39…
05-22 14:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0xb7c411…
05-22 14:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x6da93f…
05-22 14:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x3ebce4…
05-22 14:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x37c0c4…
05-22 13:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x42591c…
05-22 13:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0x52a118…
05-22 13:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	28	70¢	$20	0x053205…
05-22 13:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x4d803e…
05-22 13:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0x205737…
05-22 13:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x97471c…
05-22 13:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	110	99¢	$109	0x7e1480…
05-22 13:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	110	66¢	$72	0x77c53d…
05-22 13:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	54	34¢	$18	0xef4385…
05-22 13:16:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	55	65¢	$36	0xbde167…
05-22 13:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	29	37¢	$11	0x9009fb…
05-22 13:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xaec102…
05-22 13:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0x3ed95d…
05-22 13:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x6e2eac…
05-22 13:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0xe54426…
05-22 13:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x2fc761…
05-22 12:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xfbd891…
05-22 12:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x7e95ad…
05-22 12:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0x2a3199…
05-22 12:34:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xb6cca3…
05-22 12:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x4555b7…
05-22 12:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	37¢	$3	0x8827a5…
05-22 12:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x1f52b5…
05-22 12:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xb6005a…
05-22 11:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xc8ddc7…
05-22 11:47:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	34¢	$3	0xcfd7b4…
05-22 11:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x996851…
05-22 11:32:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x058d3c…
05-22 10:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0xeb435c…
05-22 10:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xcb2a61…
05-22 10:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xa860c0…
05-22 10:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xd96c2e…
05-22 10:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x95f572…
05-22 10:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xf25959…
05-22 10:05:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0x46d978…
05-22 10:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	15	35¢	$5	0xe57a36…
05-22 10:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xfab5c7…
05-22 10:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0xf03b7c…
05-22 10:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x3d5d3f…
05-22 09:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	16	38¢	$6	0xfd1119…
05-22 09:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x42ce84…
05-22 09:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xd6f9a2…
05-22 09:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0x06cbdc…
05-22 09:46:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x1bfccb…
05-22 09:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	38¢	$3	0xd98961…
05-22 09:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xcb3c95…
05-22 09:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x01af39…
05-22 03:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	51	65¢	$33	0x3b5c4c…
05-22 02:54:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	30	37¢	$11	0x193518…
05-22 02:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x563e59…
05-22 02:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	16	36¢	$6	0x080eb1…
05-22 02:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x402655…
05-22 02:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0x155507…
05-22 02:46:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xebde24…
05-22 02:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	37¢	$3	0xcc02b1…
05-22 02:34:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x8abb8c…
05-22 02:30:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x960e48…
05-22 02:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xaef0c0…
05-22 02:24:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0x277b43…
05-22 02:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xf11775…