Fair-Philosopher — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$110

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.2%

Resolved

1,278

Trades

4,062

lifetime

Volume

$73.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 09-28 11:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 70 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 62% -$110

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 14:45 UTC	29	$1.6K	1,108	1,091	+17	Down	+$503	03-13 14:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-31 21:45 UTC	15	$962	671	671	+0	Down	+$313	07-31 21:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 17:45 UTC	8	$897	656	656	+0	Up	+$57	06-17 17:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-05 21:30 UTC	29	$850	549	549	+0	Up	+$237	08-05 21:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 21:45 UTC	14	$835	744	733	+11	Down	-$158	03-19 22:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 13:30 UTC	17	$820	622	614	+8	Up	+$43	03-13 13:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-22 18:45 UTC	2	$728	470	470	+0	Up	+$211	07-22 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	14	$726	747	732	+15	Down	-$105	05-06 18:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 11:45 UTC	16	$712	522	512	+10	Up	+$26	03-09 11:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 10:15 UTC	10	$711	522	512	+10	Down	+$31	03-09 10:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 13:00 UTC	17	$710	522	512	+10	Up	+$27	03-13 13:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-16 14:45 UTC	11	$709	522	512	+10	Up	+$33	03-16 14:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 14:00 UTC	10	$680	712	706	+7	Up	-$201	03-13 14:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-17 18:30 UTC	8	$628	612	612	+0	Up	-$212	06-17 18:37
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 20:00 UTC	6	$602	446	437	+9	Up	-$92	03-19 20:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 20:15 UTC	9	$579	448	380	+67	Down	+$50	03-09 20:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 16:45 UTC	11	$558	418	410	+8	Up	+$40	03-12 17:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 18:45 UTC	29	$541	694	694	+0	Up	-$277	07-27 18:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 14:45 UTC	8	$538	338	338	+0	Up	+$138	07-24 14:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 01:45 UTC	10	$492	891	0	+891	Up	-$492	07-30 01:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 14:45 UTC	12	$473	306	306	+0	Down	+$133	08-10 14:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 22:15 UTC	9	$440	448	439	+9	Up	-$127	03-09 22:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 14:30 UTC	2	$437	1,031	1,016	+15	Down	-$363	03-13 14:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 20:00 UTC	12	$420	438	386	+52	Up	-$134	03-09 20:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-16 14:20 UTC	10	$414	522	219	+303	Down	-$249	03-16 14:25
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-09 23:00 UTC	5	$405	488	204	+285	Up	-$13	06-09 23:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-06 23:15 UTC	12	$381	463	219	+243	Up	+$13	03-06 23:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	6	$373	375	368	+7	Up	-$119	05-22 15:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 20:00 UTC	11	$368	389	175	+214	Down	+$117	03-12 20:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 17:15 UTC	15	$363	279	275	+4	Down	+$35	03-12 17:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-28 11:57:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	87	56¢	$49	0xc41f83…
09-28 11:57:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	43	56¢	$24	0x866b73…
09-28 11:57:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x740447…
09-28 11:57:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	28	56¢	$16	0x51363d…
09-28 11:45:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x7e5962…
09-28 11:45:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf5abfc…
09-28 11:30:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	76	55¢	$42	0x6054f1…
09-28 11:15:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xb4dcc4…
09-28 11:15:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x58b606…
09-28 11:00:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xf677eb…
09-28 11:00:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xe2cc54…
09-28 10:36:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 10:30 UTC	Down	SELL	48	10¢	$5	0x00dcb5…
09-28 10:30:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 10:30 UTC	Down	BUY	48	45¢	$22	0x9de3d8…
09-28 10:15:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	26	36¢	$10	0x92a69e…
09-28 10:00:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0xe4fe3a…
09-28 09:00:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-28 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0x109bba…
09-25 17:15:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	37	46¢	$17	0x68c826…
09-25 17:00:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	19	41¢	$8	0x6229af…
09-25 16:42:44	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 16:30 UTC	Down	SELL	68	92¢	$62	0x9dbe2f…
09-25 16:30:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 16:30 UTC	Down	BUY	68	52¢	$35	0x4da649…
09-25 16:15:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	31	43¢	$13	0x838486…
09-25 16:00:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	38¢	$7	0x19ec1f…
09-25 15:00:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x96cea0…
09-25 15:00:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x9ff7c1…
09-25 12:29:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 12:15 UTC	Up	SELL	50	99¢	$49	0x169c02…
09-25 12:15:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	50	55¢	$27	0x59a30e…
09-25 12:00:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	22	51¢	$11	0xd0f202…
09-25 11:00:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-25 11:00 UTC	Up	BUY	22	48¢	$10	0x2f9d02…
09-24 16:06:02	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 16:00 UTC	Up	SELL	22	10¢	$2	0x3490c4…
09-24 16:00:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0xc7348c…
09-24 15:48:23	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 15:45 UTC	Down	SELL	176	46¢	$81	0x2e013f…
09-24 15:45:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	176	42¢	$74	0x0363a2…
09-24 15:34:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 15:30 UTC	Down	SELL	100	27¢	$27	0x832c17…
09-24 15:30:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xbbd033…
09-24 15:15:05	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 15:15 UTC	Down	BUY	52	50¢	$26	0xfe9a4d…
09-24 15:00:29	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x083d29…
09-24 15:00:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 15:00 UTC	Down	BUY	17	56¢	$10	0x4ca74e…
09-24 14:00:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x682ef2…
09-24 12:43:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 12:30 UTC	Down	SELL	107	99¢	$106	0x638162…
09-24 12:30:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	107	46¢	$49	0x4e5b39…
09-24 12:15:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 12:15 UTC	Down	BUY	57	56¢	$32	0xefb3c6…
09-24 12:08:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	22	56¢	$12	0xeb1d95…
09-24 12:08:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x9291f2…
09-24 11:15:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	38	52¢	$19	0x55cacc…
09-24 11:00:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	39¢	$7	0x63556a…
09-24 10:00:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 10:00 UTC	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x9dcf45…
09-24 09:33:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 09:30 UTC	Up	SELL	149	9¢	$13	0xdc6be1…
09-24 09:30:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	149	56¢	$83	0x13d114…
09-24 09:15:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	66	48¢	$31	0xf735a4…
09-24 09:02:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xb787b0…
09-24 09:02:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x5f9e6d…
09-24 09:02:14	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-24 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	19	56¢	$11	0x2326f8…
09-23 18:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	22	26¢	$6	0x6ac79b…
09-23 18:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	52¢	$12	0xb8a936…
09-23 17:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0xae6a06…
09-23 16:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	36	48¢	$17	0x323b78…
09-23 16:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	44¢	$8	0xd45b15…
09-23 14:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x5d609b…
09-23 14:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	38¢	$6	0x683afa…
09-23 12:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	41¢	$7	0xcc56c0…
09-23 11:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	45¢	$9	0xef5812…
09-23 09:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	41	50¢	$21	0xce0751…
09-23 09:00:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-23 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x316d94…
09-23 07:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	41	53¢	$22	0x8390cc…
09-23 07:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	43¢	$8	0x0e9a5c…
09-22 20:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x5f06f8…
09-22 20:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x1d7c96…
09-22 20:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xcfed13…
09-22 20:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xdfbc48…
09-22 18:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	63	46¢	$29	0x802b1c…
09-22 18:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	34	42¢	$14	0x1ea704…
09-22 18:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xb069e3…
09-22 17:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	34	51¢	$17	0x6b7211…
09-22 17:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	37¢	$6	0xa92823…
09-22 16:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	94	70¢	$66	0xc4c8b8…
09-22 16:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	94	45¢	$42	0xb281f7…
09-22 16:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	51	54¢	$27	0xe5d27b…
09-22 16:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	23	55¢	$13	0xa9ffc8…
09-22 13:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xb9ce55…
09-22 13:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	56¢	$10	0x37ba3b…
09-22 12:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	36	35¢	$13	0xd2d90b…
09-22 12:00:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	54¢	$13	0x2b25ab…
09-22 09:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	65	99¢	$65	0x7899fa…
09-22 09:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	65	49¢	$32	0xfe6055…
09-22 09:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	49¢	$16	0x9c0c66…
09-22 09:00:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-22 09:00 UTC	Up	BUY	17	36¢	$6	0x0bacb8…
09-21 19:15:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xdc68d0…
09-21 19:15:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xbec900…
09-21 19:15:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xabdebc…
09-21 19:15:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	51¢	$0	0x02ae6e…
09-21 19:02:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 19:00 UTC	Up	BUY	23	46¢	$10	0x61e8c7…
09-21 18:00:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xf70d98…
09-21 18:00:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0x72d85d…
09-21 16:29:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 16:15 UTC	Up	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x239685…
09-21 16:15:04	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	49	55¢	$27	0x6ca583…
09-21 16:00:35	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	22	52¢	$11	0x467382…
09-21 15:00:19	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	21	50¢	$11	0xc21e5b…
09-21 14:15:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	43	48¢	$21	0x66df6e…
09-21 14:00:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0xf76148…
09-21 13:44:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-21 13:30 UTC	Up	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0xbf4390…