Plump-Withdrawal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

2.6%

Resolved

Trades

576

lifetime

Volume

$36.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 07-25 06:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

45% 25% $-4

Politics

37% — —

Tech

9% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

4% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	26	$1.8K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	07-20 09:45
Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5	2	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-17 02:39
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)	2	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-16 11:08
Spread: OGC Nice (-1.5)	2	$980	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-16 22:53
will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	8	$949	600	600	+0	open	—	07-20 04:57
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)	2	$910	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-17 02:26
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	10	$904	800	800	+0	open	—	07-22 11:58
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	11	$902	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	07-19 05:59
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	16	$895	878	878	+0	open	—	06-18 07:27
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	9	$746	600	600	+0	open	—	07-21 03:06
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	7	$724	600	600	+0	open	—	07-21 03:04
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	2	$715	500	500	+0	open	—	05-01 03:47
Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5	2	$701	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-17 04:20
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	6	$681	600	600	+0	open	—	06-13 13:40
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5	11	$673	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-16 04:52
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	7	$664	600	400	+200	open	—	06-25 05:41
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	4	$534	400	400	+0	open	—	07-01 00:55
spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	11	$528	450	450	+0	open	—	06-25 10:34
michael saylor federally charged by december 31 2026 20260625210239195	7	$453	262	262	+0	open	—	07-03 02:51
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	7	$452	600	600	+0	open	—	07-20 09:47
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	2	$439	228	228	+0	open	—	03-11 02:42
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner	2	$433	500	500	+0	open	—	05-01 04:19
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	6	$430	410	410	+0	open	—	07-16 04:27
Bordeaux: Raphael Collignon vs Tallon Griekspoor	2	$419	612	612	+0	open	—	05-16 11:09
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	5	$412	400	400	+0	open	—	04-30 04:42
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	4	$408	400	400	+0	open	—	06-14 03:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	5	$408	400	400	+0	open	—	06-26 05:53
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	4	$398	400	400	+0	open	—	07-03 09:05
will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	14	$392	400	400	+0	open	—	07-14 08:30
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	5	$388	400	401	-1	open	—	06-14 04:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 07:30:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	200	58¢	$116	0x913e9a…
07-25 07:30:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	No	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x0c1199…
07-25 07:30:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0xb601cb…
07-25 07:19:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0x3cc38a…
07-25 06:12:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 29	No	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0xa6dda4…
07-25 06:03:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x6e3a01…
07-25 05:07:13	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	No	SELL	36	33¢	$12	0xd8c4aa…
07-25 05:07:07	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 30	No	BUY	36	33¢	$12	0x490b05…
07-25 04:50:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	SELL	50	24¢	$12	0x02b8fc…
07-25 04:50:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 28	No	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x1aec96…
07-25 03:45:01	wnba spoon coop 2026 07 25 total 279pt5	Under	SELL	48	43¢	$21	0x27c08e…
07-25 03:45:00	wnba spoon coop 2026 07 25 total 279pt5	Under	SELL	52	44¢	$23	0x8d42c2…
07-25 03:44:58	wnba spoon coop 2026 07 25 total 279pt5	Under	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x6369c0…
07-25 03:21:09	wnba spoon coop 2026 07 25 total 279pt5	Under	SELL	95	45¢	$43	0x83d060…
07-25 03:13:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	Yes	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0x827888…
07-25 03:10:07	wnba spoon coop 2026 07 25 total 279pt5	Under	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xea41c2…
07-25 03:07:12	wnba spoon coop 2026 07 25 total 279pt5	Under	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xad5f70…
07-25 02:15:04	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	148	53¢	$78	0xf1bcfa…
07-25 02:12:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	52	53¢	$28	0x232182…
07-25 02:10:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	200	53¢	$106	0x3acc93…
07-25 01:38:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	Yes	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0x5eb825…
07-25 01:38:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	Yes	BUY	29	76¢	$22	0x86b3b8…
07-25 01:31:13	will there be a super el nino this winter 202627 20260721221614682	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x54bab6…
07-25 00:37:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	No	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0xa614f8…
07-25 00:37:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	No	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x8bc914…
07-24 09:58:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	Yes	SELL	200	52¢	$104	0x90ceb3…
07-24 07:59:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	Yes	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0xdb3fc1…
07-24 07:40:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	SELL	200	31¢	$62	0x6b0c71…
07-24 06:23:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	No	BUY	200	31¢	$62	0xf67dd8…
07-24 05:02:28	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	SELL	11	44¢	$5	0xdc6ab2…
07-24 04:42:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	SELL	95	45¢	$43	0x5a9559…
07-24 04:33:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	SELL	8	45¢	$3	0x10f36b…
07-24 04:10:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	SELL	86	45¢	$39	0x907973…
07-24 03:35:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	No	BUY	200	45¢	$90	0x0cc40f…
07-23 03:00:30	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	SELL	46	31¢	$14	0xc61e37…
07-23 03:00:27	will there be saudi arabian military action against yemen by july 31 2026 20260714210903833	No	BUY	46	31¢	$14	0xb75317…
07-22 11:58:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	200	63¢	$126	0x5ecfc8…
07-22 07:44:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0x7a85dd…
07-22 05:36:46	over 25m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129609 887	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x2d7d1a…
07-21 03:06:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	200	89¢	$178	0x3c0ae9…
07-21 03:04:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	SELL	200	19¢	$38	0xf91b9e…
07-21 02:57:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	200	82¢	$164	0x2e12db…
07-21 02:54:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	Yes	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0x3d907d…
07-21 02:37:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0xd8c0ea…
07-21 02:36:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0x9eea75…
07-20 09:47:58	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	200	62¢	$124	0x8dfcb0…
07-20 09:47:33	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	200	14¢	$28	0x03bb48…
07-20 09:45:18	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	156	85¢	$132	0x28c17e…
07-20 09:43:57	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x886c83…
07-20 09:43:55	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0xd28bba…
07-20 09:43:54	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xc7f2d6…
07-20 09:43:52	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	8	86¢	$7	0x1f36b2…
07-20 09:43:51	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x23e8e7…
07-20 09:42:37	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	13	86¢	$11	0xc7a3a8…
07-20 09:42:28	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	200	86¢	$172	0xdde475…
07-20 09:21:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	190	14¢	$27	0x0d1329…
07-20 09:20:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x1fb338…
07-20 09:20:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0x4b2d23…
07-20 08:41:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	169	80¢	$135	0x5c3829…
07-20 08:09:13	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	31	80¢	$25	0xbf4d43…
07-20 08:02:09	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0xc0a29f…
07-20 07:48:40	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x9ec695…
07-20 07:30:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0x4a2348…
07-20 07:17:39	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	No	SELL	92	30¢	$28	0xd56552…
07-20 06:58:13	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	No	SELL	40	30¢	$12	0xf94cfd…
07-20 06:52:12	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	No	BUY	66	30¢	$20	0x42fbda…
07-20 06:52:07	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	No	BUY	66	30¢	$20	0xbe1475…
07-20 05:38:10	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	SELL	200	25¢	$50	0xe9ab0b…
07-20 05:37:34	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	125	25¢	$31	0x5d4a08…
07-20 05:37:28	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	Yes	BUY	75	25¢	$19	0x52eea4…
07-20 04:57:06	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	SELL	121	79¢	$95	0xc740c6…
07-20 02:22:09	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	SELL	3	80¢	$2	0xda2edd…
07-20 02:19:13	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	SELL	76	80¢	$61	0x5aeb82…
07-20 01:12:58	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0xe21fc5…
07-19 15:16:52	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0x4265bc…
07-19 09:49:12	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	SELL	200	77¢	$154	0x227d74…
07-19 07:33:04	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x7b82b6…
07-19 06:51:01	iran leadership change by june 30 2027	No	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x95f494…
07-19 05:59:12	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	40¢	$80	0xf0ee48…
07-19 03:11:40	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	200	71¢	$142	0x9ac647…
07-19 03:11:22	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	BUY	200	71¢	$142	0x8ca9bb…
07-19 02:40:58	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0xd5effc…
07-19 00:08:42	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	SELL	200	88¢	$177	0x6feebf…
07-19 00:07:12	kharg island no longer under iranian control by august 31	No	BUY	200	88¢	$177	0x3d5831…
07-18 07:59:45	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	SELL	200	76¢	$153	0x01c38a…
07-18 07:59:37	will the announcers say tom cruise during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403328	No	SELL	50	58¢	$29	0x3b0c4b…
07-18 07:20:19	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	171	59¢	$101	0x3970ed…
07-18 07:15:06	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	29	59¢	$17	0x984b95…
07-18 07:13:19	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	200	59¢	$118	0x2d874b…
07-18 06:38:15	will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	Yes	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0xa12916…
07-18 04:11:48	will the announcers say tom cruise during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403328	No	BUY	50	67¢	$34	0xe8203a…
07-17 07:51:25	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0x23b647…
07-17 07:51:18	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0x54d3fc…
07-17 07:51:12	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	SELL	50	71¢	$36	0x082eab…
07-17 07:51:04	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875	No	SELL	200	18¢	$36	0x015dab…
07-17 06:22:03	yevhen khmara appointed as ukrainian minister of defence by july 31 20260716170825742	No	SELL	49	87¢	$43	0x33ced4…
07-17 06:21:52	yevhen khmara appointed as ukrainian minister of defence by july 31 20260716170825742	No	BUY	49	87¢	$43	0x55e3f2…
07-17 05:45:45	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	Yes	SELL	40	34¢	$13	0xb68f99…
07-17 05:43:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	SELL	198	83¢	$164	0x580ba6…
07-17 05:42:48	will the starship for spacex starship flight test 13 achieve a successful splashdown	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x0fc3c7…