Plump-Withdrawal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

+$60

Hit rate

2.6%

Resolved

Trades

324

lifetime

Volume

$22.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

$200

1 position

First seen

2026-01-20

last 07-01 06:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

59% 25% $-4

Politics

26% — —

Tech

8% — —

Crypto

6% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	No		+200	$140	100¢	$200	+$60	06-10 11:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5	2	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-17 02:39
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)	2	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-16 11:08
Spread: OGC Nice (-1.5)	2	$980	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-16 22:53
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)	2	$910	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-17 02:26
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	16	$895	878	878	+0	open	—	06-18 07:27
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	2	$715	500	500	+0	open	—	05-01 03:47
Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5	2	$701	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-17 04:20
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	6	$681	600	600	+0	open	—	06-13 13:40
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5	11	$673	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-16 04:52
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	7	$664	600	400	+200	open	—	06-25 05:41
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	4	$534	400	400	+0	open	—	07-01 00:55
spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	11	$528	450	450	+0	open	—	06-25 10:34
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	2	$439	228	228	+0	open	—	03-11 02:42
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner	2	$433	500	500	+0	open	—	05-01 04:19
Bordeaux: Raphael Collignon vs Tallon Griekspoor	2	$419	612	612	+0	open	—	05-16 11:09
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	5	$412	400	400	+0	open	—	04-30 04:42
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	4	$408	400	400	+0	open	—	06-14 03:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	5	$408	400	400	+0	open	—	06-26 05:53
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 19	5	$388	400	401	-1	open	—	06-14 04:53
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	6	$368	400	400	+0	open	—	06-28 00:13
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	3	$354	200	200	+0	open	—	05-17 00:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$342	200	200	+0	open	—	06-26 08:37
will iran close its airspace by june 12 20260609184136050	3	$340	200	200	+0	open	—	06-11 17:30
starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	2	$330	200	200	+0	open	—	06-22 05:15
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	2	$328	200	200	+0	open	—	06-28 07:00
iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	8	$316	400	400	+0	open	—	06-17 07:09
will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	12	$316	200	200	+0	open	—	07-01 03:03
Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	2	$312	200	200	+0	open	—	05-09 23:25
tesla and spacex merger officially announced by september 30	4	$294	191	191	+0	open	—	06-17 22:26
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	2	$294	200	200	+0	open	—	06-26 08:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 06:47:49	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0x2e799e…
07-01 03:03:08	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x5c1b01…
07-01 03:03:08	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	6	79¢	$4	0x4b9448…
07-01 03:03:08	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	11	79¢	$8	0x0ca304…
07-01 03:03:05	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x429dcc…
07-01 03:03:04	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0xd5aa82…
07-01 03:03:04	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	8	79¢	$7	0x3ffb12…
07-01 03:03:04	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	13	79¢	$10	0x07caec…
07-01 03:03:02	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	11	79¢	$9	0xc5c658…
07-01 03:03:02	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xbb97be…
07-01 03:03:02	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	2	79¢	$2	0x039f94…
07-01 03:02:59	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	SELL	136	79¢	$107	0x6693fd…
07-01 03:02:55	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x77ffce…
07-01 02:44:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	SELL	200	67¢	$134	0x421e50…
07-01 02:42:07	gpt 5pt6 released by july 6 2026	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x605691…
07-01 02:12:56	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	No	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0x1965ff…
07-01 00:55:23	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	200	9¢	$18	0x63709f…
07-01 00:55:11	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	SELL	200	61¢	$122	0x19dbbc…
06-29 10:22:50	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0x7093b1…
06-29 08:14:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	200	18¢	$36	0x0be654…
06-29 08:14:04	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	200	18¢	$36	0x591f85…
06-29 02:23:50	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	200	56¢	$112	0x9f184d…
06-29 02:10:11	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0x7cdd82…
06-29 00:17:20	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	46	31¢	$14	0x73ca7d…
06-29 00:17:20	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	40	31¢	$12	0x5eefd8…
06-29 00:17:17	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0xaa1c97…
06-29 00:17:17	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	36	31¢	$11	0x6c75b4…
06-28 14:57:44	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	SELL	111	11¢	$12	0x20bf39…
06-28 14:57:32	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	SELL	36	11¢	$4	0xe38c50…
06-28 14:57:31	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x15af36…
06-28 14:57:29	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	SELL	33	11¢	$4	0xe8cf84…
06-28 10:53:07	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x3381a8…
06-28 10:00:38	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xd79a54…
06-28 10:00:34	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	Yes	BUY	195	11¢	$21	0x54903e…
06-28 07:00:02	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	Yes	SELL	200	82¢	$164	0xd87e2e…
06-28 06:59:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	Yes	BUY	200	82¢	$164	0x7e4c9e…
06-28 05:44:05	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	SELL	30	11¢	$3	0x9bf5e2…
06-28 05:43:19	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	SELL	170	11¢	$19	0x8e392e…
06-28 05:43:08	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	200	11¢	$22	0xb01d47…
06-28 00:14:29	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	74	72¢	$53	0xac9a40…
06-28 00:14:20	Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	74	72¢	$53	0x4b9af9…
06-28 00:13:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	SELL	200	64¢	$128	0x4e2e94…
06-27 01:14:02	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	SELL	200	66¢	$132	0x49517a…
06-27 01:07:04	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0x6198d5…
06-27 00:38:02	michael saylor federally charged by december 31 2026 20260625210239195	No	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0x9279ee…
06-27 00:36:59	michael saylor federally charged by december 31 2026 20260625210239195	No	SELL	6	90¢	$5	0xa33abe…
06-27 00:36:40	michael saylor federally charged by december 31 2026 20260625210239195	No	SELL	7	90¢	$7	0x0957f2…
06-27 00:36:34	michael saylor federally charged by december 31 2026 20260625210239195	No	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x1f266b…
06-27 00:35:23	michael saylor federally charged by december 31 2026 20260625210239195	No	BUY	62	90¢	$56	0xae957d…
06-26 08:37:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	200	86¢	$171	0xb889fe…
06-26 08:37:58	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345 931 774	No	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0xccfdf4…
06-26 08:36:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0xa597e6…
06-26 08:32:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	200	72¢	$144	0x345025…
06-26 05:53:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	200	51¢	$102	0xbe33f4…
06-26 05:53:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	35	51¢	$18	0xce1a18…
06-26 05:53:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	165	51¢	$84	0x6f10cc…
06-26 05:05:23	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0xe03157…
06-25 10:34:23	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	140	43¢	$60	0xb6aa51…
06-25 05:41:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	200	66¢	$132	0x2e9f5e…
06-25 05:41:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	200	66¢	$132	0x6270de…
06-25 00:52:31	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	40	44¢	$18	0xd373a1…
06-25 00:52:31	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	60	44¢	$26	0xaad0d2…
06-25 00:52:28	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0xef3762…
06-25 00:52:25	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	60	44¢	$26	0x68f5e6…
06-24 08:04:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	83	26¢	$22	0x18d2f7…
06-24 08:02:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	32	26¢	$8	0xda3c86…
06-24 07:49:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	SELL	85	26¢	$22	0xc95e9b…
06-24 07:19:59	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	Yes	BUY	200	26¢	$52	0x493186…
06-22 05:15:53	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	Yes	SELL	200	82¢	$164	0x8909ff…
06-22 05:14:14	starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	Yes	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x9becac…
06-21 02:02:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	92	72¢	$66	0xa6f11b…
06-21 02:01:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	200	50¢	$100	0x4dfe22…
06-21 02:01:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x0be6d6…
06-21 01:58:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	104	72¢	$75	0x4ba631…
06-21 01:54:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x4b05a3…
06-21 01:54:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	200	74¢	$148	0xe72f75…
06-20 06:06:35	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	160	35¢	$56	0xb24319…
06-20 05:37:25	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xde9997…
06-20 05:31:23	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	155	33¢	$51	0xe2199d…
06-20 03:10:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	72¢	$144	0x6b9514…
06-20 03:06:49	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	73¢	$146	0x7cb7aa…
06-20 01:36:13	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	SELL	200	16¢	$32	0xaf56a1…
06-20 00:46:19	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0x813009…
06-18 21:59:53	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	SELL	50	67¢	$34	0xe64c64…
06-18 17:40:52	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0xf98112…
06-18 17:40:49	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Down	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xae5587…
06-18 15:54:31	will ng reach 3 40 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x94a51c…
06-18 08:44:02	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	96	83¢	$79	0x50fa99…
06-18 07:44:46	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	SELL	104	84¢	$88	0xaadfd8…
06-18 07:44:40	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	62	84¢	$52	0x533981…
06-18 07:44:37	spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	Up	BUY	138	84¢	$116	0x9ac0af…
06-18 07:27:58	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	128	50¢	$64	0x16ef82…
06-18 07:15:55	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x8f5c34…
06-18 07:15:53	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	118	52¢	$61	0x20303c…
06-18 06:50:44	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	200	55¢	$110	0xa85bd0…
06-18 06:42:07	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	200	17¢	$34	0xf62ac4…
06-18 05:27:14	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0x878f75…
06-17 23:55:49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0x2192e9…
06-17 23:21:53	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	200	54¢	$108	0x0aa06a…
06-17 22:49:41	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0x912013…