Plump-Withdrawal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

2.6%

Resolved

Trades

692

lifetime

Volume

$41.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$61

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-20

last 08-06 08:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

44% — —

Other

40% 25% $-4

Tech

8% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

3% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

46 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	26	$1.8K	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	07-20 09:45
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	29	$1.7K	1,578	1,578	+0	open	—	08-06 08:43
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	27	$1.1K	1,105	905	+200	open	—	08-02 00:11
Pisa SC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5	2	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-17 02:39
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)	2	$1.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-16 11:08
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	17	$1.0K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	08-01 03:06
Spread: OGC Nice (-1.5)	2	$980	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-16 22:53
will spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy pop	8	$949	600	600	+0	open	—	07-20 04:57
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	14	$921	844	844	+0	open	—	07-27 05:54
Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)	2	$910	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-17 02:26
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	11	$902	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	07-19 05:59
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	16	$895	878	878	+0	open	—	06-18 07:27
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	9	$746	600	600	+0	open	—	07-21 03:06
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs	2	$715	500	500	+0	open	—	05-01 03:47
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	12	$703	685	685	+0	open	—	08-02 00:15
Olympique de Marseille vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 2.5	2	$701	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-17 04:20
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	6	$681	600	600	+0	open	—	06-13 13:40
FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5	11	$673	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-16 04:52
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	7	$664	600	400	+200	open	—	06-25 05:41
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	4	$534	400	400	+0	open	—	07-01 00:55
spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	11	$528	450	450	+0	open	—	06-25 10:34
michael saylor federally charged by december 31 2026 20260625210239195	7	$453	262	262	+0	open	—	07-03 02:51
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	7	$452	600	600	+0	open	—	07-20 09:47
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	9	$444	433	433	+0	open	—	07-27 00:06
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	2	$439	228	228	+0	open	—	03-11 02:42
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner	2	$433	500	500	+0	open	—	05-01 04:19
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	6	$430	410	410	+0	open	—	07-16 04:27
Bordeaux: Raphael Collignon vs Tallon Griekspoor	2	$419	612	612	+0	open	—	05-16 11:09
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	5	$412	400	400	+0	open	—	04-30 04:42
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	4	$408	400	400	+0	open	—	06-14 03:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-06 08:58:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0x1e35ec…
08-06 08:43:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	189	13¢	$25	0x7ae176…
08-02 02:07:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	200	30¢	$60	0x0550be…
08-02 02:07:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0x53cd45…
08-02 02:07:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x1b1d3e…
08-02 02:06:02	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	11	51¢	$5	0xf617aa…
08-02 02:05:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0xca2c0a…
08-02 01:09:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	200	32¢	$64	0xfcb660…
08-02 01:09:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0x79cce4…
08-02 01:02:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	83	34¢	$28	0xa30925…
08-02 01:01:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	83	34¢	$28	0x2aaef2…
08-02 00:30:35	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	No	SELL	200	83¢	$166	0x61884e…
08-02 00:25:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	71	36¢	$25	0xd6747a…
08-02 00:25:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	71	36¢	$25	0xa8a18f…
08-02 00:19:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xd745f0…
08-02 00:19:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xc6dd68…
08-02 00:19:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0xb6aeab…
08-02 00:19:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xac10be…
08-02 00:19:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	46	53¢	$24	0xa74fe2…
08-02 00:19:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x8d3364…
08-02 00:19:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x0197a0…
08-02 00:19:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x44da01…
08-02 00:19:11	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	111	54¢	$60	0x6430ee…
08-02 00:19:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	178	53¢	$94	0xd34d47…
08-02 00:15:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	200	75¢	$150	0x59a7c6…
08-02 00:15:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	85	50¢	$43	0x2c7e23…
08-02 00:14:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	85	50¢	$43	0x89429e…
08-02 00:11:08	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0xa32f60…
08-01 23:59:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	SELL	47	79¢	$37	0xcc9e00…
08-01 23:59:23	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x05457c…
08-01 23:58:42	foreign intervention in gaza by september 30	No	BUY	200	85¢	$170	0x24801a…
08-01 23:57:50	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0xc8c6cb…
08-01 23:57:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	Yes	BUY	50	79¢	$39	0xd2fa1e…
08-01 23:57:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	SELL	44	21¢	$9	0xd2fa1e…
08-01 23:55:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x7be3ca…
08-01 23:53:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0xe6ab21…
08-01 23:52:45	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x3d004a…
08-01 23:50:47	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	141	55¢	$78	0x5f384c…
08-01 23:49:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	SELL	200	19¢	$38	0x9604ea…
08-01 16:17:44	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	200	75¢	$150	0x630576…
08-01 07:59:05	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0xcc3f36…
08-01 03:06:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	47	46¢	$22	0x457ea5…
08-01 03:06:05	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x9c341a…
08-01 03:05:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	0	62¢	$0	0x7fb57a…
08-01 02:56:35	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	8	49¢	$4	0x149a23…
08-01 02:04:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	200	62¢	$124	0x951459…
08-01 02:04:20	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	200	62¢	$124	0x6ea4b5…
08-01 01:08:50	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	145	49¢	$71	0x988a47…
08-01 01:08:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	200	49¢	$98	0xb68798…
08-01 01:04:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 3	No	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xfcc7e5…
07-31 07:25:36	untitled market 1 20260730180943686	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x08f742…
07-31 06:42:56	untitled market 1 20260730180943686	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xf08c3c…
07-31 05:58:17	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0xd8862b…
07-31 05:41:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	25	61¢	$15	0xa623a6…
07-31 05:36:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	SELL	200	36¢	$72	0xa9621f…
07-31 04:36:38	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0x713216…
07-31 04:36:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	200	24¢	$48	0xde17ea…
07-31 04:36:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0x30e44f…
07-31 04:32:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xf710d1…
07-31 04:04:20	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	6	61¢	$3	0x66ba8b…
07-31 03:47:56	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	6	61¢	$3	0x2c24d8…
07-31 03:31:12	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x486057…
07-31 03:29:42	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	6	61¢	$3	0xb3ff3e…
07-31 03:24:02	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x190631…
07-31 03:17:29	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	0	61¢	$0	0x0c000f…
07-31 03:15:05	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0x9e298a…
07-31 03:15:05	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	200	39¢	$78	0x9e298a…
07-31 02:37:56	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x944b64…
07-31 02:02:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0x161ad7…
07-31 01:57:26	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	200	39¢	$78	0x749e8c…
07-28 06:10:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	200	24¢	$48	0xd16e8b…
07-28 06:10:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0x9048fc…
07-28 05:48:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x0f4ddb…
07-28 05:45:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	38	15¢	$6	0x80eac2…
07-28 05:45:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	No	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x020619…
07-28 00:51:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	SELL	50	10¢	$5	0xce941d…
07-28 00:51:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xfab34b…
07-27 10:58:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	157	67¢	$105	0xef5a75…
07-27 08:38:16	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	194	66¢	$128	0x89533a…
07-27 08:37:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	168	56¢	$94	0x37bf5e…
07-27 08:33:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	18	57¢	$10	0xe621e2…
07-27 08:32:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	14	57¢	$8	0xff5cea…
07-27 08:29:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	12	67¢	$8	0x47d1d3…
07-27 08:28:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	31	67¢	$21	0xe774c7…
07-27 08:10:58	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x74f623…
07-27 08:08:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x552c14…
07-27 08:08:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	Yes	BUY	200	68¢	$136	0xa4a864…
07-27 07:45:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	200	34¢	$68	0xb250da…
07-27 07:44:40	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	200	34¢	$68	0xb7d75b…
07-27 06:43:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	57¢	$114	0x8ba3f8…
07-27 05:54:46	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	31	43¢	$13	0xec8c4a…
07-27 05:48:00	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	13	43¢	$6	0x737788…
07-27 05:47:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	44	43¢	$19	0x264815…
07-27 05:32:58	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	200	67¢	$134	0x2223c8…
07-27 00:17:03	will there be a super el nino this winter 202627 20260721221614682	No	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x7dbb39…
07-27 00:06:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	SELL	33	86¢	$28	0x9350d7…
07-27 00:06:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	Yes	BUY	33	86¢	$28	0xe2bb66…
07-26 13:00:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	45	60¢	$27	0x2c8a0d…
07-26 12:15:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	38	60¢	$23	0x1da38c…
07-26 11:59:33	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	83	60¢	$50	0xe5bb22…