That-Jumbo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

67.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-12

last 06-02 20:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 68% $-24

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes		+20	$4	15¢	$3	$-2	06-02 20:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	3	$65	74	0	+74	Up	+$9	05-12 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$57	32	32	+0	Down	+$7	05-12 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	1	$50	74	0	+74	Down	$-50	05-13 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	2	$50	68	0	+68	Up	+$18	05-12 14:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$35	56	0	+56	Down	$-35	05-13 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$30	40	0	+40	Up	+$10	05-13 03:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$30	50	0	+50	Down	+$20	05-12 21:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	1	$30	41	0	+41	Up	+$11	05-12 21:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$30	34	0	+34	Up	+$4	05-12 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	1	$30	53	0	+53	Down	+$23	05-12 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$30	42	0	+42	Up	$-22	05-13 04:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	1	$30	38	0	+38	Down	+$8	05-12 23:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	2	$30	42	0	+42	Down	$-30	05-13 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	2	$30	39	0	+39	Up	+$9	05-12 17:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	1	$30	36	0	+36	Up	+$6	05-12 21:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$30	42	0	+42	Down	+$2	05-12 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$25	39	0	+39	Up	$-25	05-13 03:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$25	45	0	+45	Down	$-25	05-12 17:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$25	46	0	+46	Up	+$21	05-13 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$25	35	0	+35	Down	$-25	05-12 16:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$25	35	0	+35	Up	$-25	05-13 06:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	1	$25	45	0	+45	Down	+$20	05-13 04:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$25	35	0	+35	Up	+$10	05-13 04:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$25	37	0	+37	Up	$-25	05-13 04:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$25	32	0	+32	Down	+$7	05-12 14:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	1	$25	40	0	+40	Up	$-25	05-13 04:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$25	29	0	+29	Down	+$4	05-12 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$25	34	0	+34	Down	+$9	05-12 20:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$25	40	0	+40	Up	$-25	05-12 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$25	30	0	+30	Up	+$5	05-12 08:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 20:52:51	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xe12caa…
05-14 08:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x762eb9…
05-13 07:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x6a2341…
05-13 06:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0xe42406…
05-13 05:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x75de99…
05-13 04:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x832c03…
05-13 04:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x7ac54d…
05-13 04:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x18a057…
05-13 04:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x7e0b85…
05-13 04:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x281a5b…
05-13 04:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x9e95f0…
05-13 04:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0xa30f72…
05-13 04:28:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x9e6c50…
05-13 04:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x32ad6a…
05-13 04:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x25bf8f…
05-13 04:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x24c89e…
05-13 04:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0xdba5ce…
05-13 04:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xd207ae…
05-13 03:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x611835…
05-13 03:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0x1f0509…
05-13 03:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xf5af5d…
05-13 03:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0x7fd602…
05-13 03:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x4e8ab6…
05-12 23:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0xafa7c5…
05-12 22:00:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0xa22bfd…
05-12 21:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0xdd7df2…
05-12 21:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x7e1e2a…
05-12 21:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xde437b…
05-12 21:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0xfb27e5…
05-12 21:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x2a5d43…
05-12 21:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0x8f4529…
05-12 21:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	53	57¢	$30	0x0d5fd4…
05-12 20:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0xe35006…
05-12 19:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xcc8ce4…
05-12 19:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x097387…
05-12 19:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xe6727d…
05-12 18:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x1eb8cb…
05-12 18:02:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x0dc4e8…
05-12 17:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0xc6ff57…
05-12 17:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa50f2b…
05-12 17:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0x9a2ea3…
05-12 17:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xe43e7b…
05-12 17:10:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x3f1c14…
05-12 17:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x711259…
05-12 16:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x5dbe5d…
05-12 16:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	32	78¢	$25	0xce1c91…
05-12 16:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xe7e269…
05-12 16:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0xeeaa66…
05-12 16:07:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xaa64b8…
05-12 15:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xbe4063…
05-12 14:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0xca53e3…
05-12 14:45:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	36	69¢	$25	0xbd014d…
05-12 14:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	32	79¢	$25	0x5254c7…
05-12 13:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x27ad97…
05-12 08:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x1bd59d…
05-12 07:43:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x6fcd0c…
05-12 07:31:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0x90682a…
05-12 07:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xf99338…
05-12 07:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xfb9c93…
05-12 07:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xeeed73…
05-12 07:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xb05cf7…
05-12 06:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x66fcf7…
05-12 06:35:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xf9eba9…
05-12 06:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xf3004c…
05-12 06:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	11	35¢	$4	0x8086bb…
05-12 06:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x779c31…
05-12 06:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x42750e…
05-12 06:22:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x4ead49…
05-12 06:20:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x8f1f44…
05-12 06:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xb29c09…
05-12 06:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xc17ff2…
05-12 06:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x39c21c…
05-12 06:01:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x59b62d…
05-12 05:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x081b47…
05-12 05:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xe65c25…
05-12 05:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8849d9…
05-12 05:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xe0c2a2…
05-12 05:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xc137aa…
05-12 04:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xd3c82a…
05-12 04:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xd34a0b…
05-12 04:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xb9934c…