Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$174

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.8%

Resolved

344

Trades

782

lifetime

Volume

$5.38K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 07-25 15:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 87% -$119

Other

14% 67% -$15

Politics

8% 46% -$39

Sports

8% 44% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-25).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nothing ever happens microstrategy	5	$169	300	300	+0	No	+$11	02-10 09:37
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$141	130	130	+0	Yes	+$114	02-28 21:43
another us government shutdown by february 14	2	$132	200	200	+0	No	+$20	02-13 04:31
will microstrategy announce holding 740k btc by february 28	9	$102	440	0	+440	No	-$102	02-03 13:02
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	11	$101	190	160	+30	Yes	+$16	01-30 18:55
will the government shutdown last 5 days or more	2	$75	100	100	+0	No	+$23	02-01 14:06
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-30 17:00 UTC	2	$49	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	01-30 16:59
bitcoin up or down january 27 10am et	2	$49	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	01-27 15:01
bitcoin up or down january 27 3am et	4	$49	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	01-27 07:58
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-30 13:00 UTC	3	$49	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	01-30 13:04
bitcoin up or down february 3 11am et	4	$49	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	02-03 15:54
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-29 17:00 UTC	7	$49	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	01-29 17:05
bitcoin up or down january 27 11am et	3	$49	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	01-27 15:57
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-27 01:00 UTC	3	$49	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	01-27 01:21
bitcoin up or down january 26 7am et	4	$49	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	01-26 12:00
bitcoin up or down january 29 10am et	3	$49	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	01-29 15:00
wta pegula anisimo 2026 01 27	5	$49	100	0	+100	Pegula	+$1	01-26 11:44
bitcoin up or down february 3 12pm et	6	$49	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	02-03 17:01
bitcoin up or down january 26 8am et	5	$49	100	0	+100	Up	+$1	01-26 12:58
bitcoin up or down january 27 7am et	5	$49	100	0	+100	Down	+$1	01-27 11:59
bitcoin up or down january 29 11am et	2	$47	96	0	+96	Up	+$3	01-29 16:27
nba sac cle 2026 01 23	10	$46	100	40	+60	Cavaliers	-$1	01-22 08:50
nba nop okc 2026 01 27	3	$34	20	20	+0	Thunder	+$0	01-27 19:08
wta yastrem pegula 2026 01 07	9	$34	22	22	+0	Pegula	+$10	01-08 11:06
wta gauff svitoli 2026 01 27	1	$32	50	0	+50	Svitolina	-$32	01-26 11:21
will qatar strike iran by march 31	5	$32	70	0	+70	No	-$32	03-04 16:46
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-01-27 09:00 UTC	5	$32	60	0	+60	Down	-$22	01-27 10:10
nba sac nyk 2026 01 27	3	$31	20	20	+0	Knicks	+$1	01-26 19:14
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	1	$30	150	0	+150	Yes	-$30	02-17 21:12
bitcoin up or down february 10 5am et	2	$29	60	0	+60	Down	+$1	02-10 10:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-25 15:56:06	will trump meet with netanyahu by july 28 2026	No	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xb170d0…
03-08 10:50:11	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x9cffdb…
03-07 22:08:07	will canada strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x1c2dc6…
03-04 17:49:27	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$6	0xd22d47…
03-04 16:46:51	will qatar strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0x4d1cf8…
03-04 14:16:17	will turkey strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xb9fc71…
03-04 11:35:03	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x45f11c…
03-04 09:51:19	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x8a0ef4…
03-04 09:51:05	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0xfe8a19…
03-04 09:50:57	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x29ae77…
03-04 09:50:57	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x1b2a19…
03-04 09:50:45	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0x6784cb…
03-04 09:50:45	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x34f2c2…
03-04 09:48:41	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xcb8021…
03-04 09:47:05	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x370088…
03-04 09:42:37	will qatar strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x2f5a91…
03-03 16:06:37	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	Yes	BUY	62	13¢	$8	0x261b97…
03-03 16:01:01	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x87b2fe…
03-03 15:54:39	will qatar strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x8b15ab…
03-03 15:51:17	will qatar strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xf0f1af…
03-03 15:50:57	will qatar strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x7e107f…
03-03 15:50:01	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x64ba08…
03-03 15:49:31	us forces enter iran by march 7	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x136125…
03-02 21:24:15	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xcd385d…
03-01 15:44:29	will iran strike gulf oil facilities by march 31	Yes	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xc9feb5…
03-01 11:34:33	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	36	19¢	$7	0xbb88ab…
03-01 10:48:29	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x354cc5…
03-01 10:48:09	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x16d2ac…
03-01 10:34:09	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x9b5217…
03-01 10:30:45	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	Yes	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x6538dd…
03-01 10:14:33	will iran strike gulf oil facilities by march 31	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xc3f830…
03-01 10:12:41	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0x60089e…
03-01 09:12:57	usisrael strike on fordow nuclear facility by march 31 388	Yes	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xf14512…
03-01 09:10:35	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x84ccc7…
03-01 09:10:13	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	Yes	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0xecc10f…
03-01 09:07:53	us x iran ceasefire by march 6	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0xc36996…
02-28 21:46:41	will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	Yes	SELL	10	61¢	$6	0x9a1941…
02-28 21:43:41	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	130	98¢	$127	0x3d0f1c…
02-28 16:05:51	will us or israel strike iran on march 10 2026	Yes	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xa4a6c8…
02-18 20:50:56	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0x40a787…
02-18 19:59:26	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x5566ab…
02-18 16:16:26	nba den por 2026 02 20	Trail Blazers	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x853163…
02-18 16:07:56	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x35803f…
02-18 16:00:12	bitcoin up or down february 18 11am et	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0x97b873…
02-18 16:00:10	bitcoin up or down february 18 11am et	Down	BUY	14	49¢	$7	0x7bcd24…
02-18 15:28:08	bitcoin up or down february 18 11am et	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x816bfa…
02-18 15:21:20	bitcoin up or down february 18 11am et	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x7dac9b…
02-18 14:35:22	bitcoin up or down february 18 10am et	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x9f9845…
02-18 13:45:06	bitcoin up or down february 18 9am et	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x1d52aa…
02-18 13:04:54	bitcoin up or down february 18 8am et	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xfa6928…
02-18 12:41:06	bitcoin up or down february 18 8am et	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x3483e2…
02-18 11:32:14	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-18 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x113176…
02-18 11:15:50	bitcoin up or down february 18 7am et	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x83fae7…
02-18 11:00:58	bitcoin up or down february 18 6am et	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xcc0b43…
02-18 10:46:02	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-18 13:00 UTC	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x3cd830…
02-18 10:43:26	bitcoin up or down february 18 6am et	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x548b57…
02-18 10:11:18	bitcoin up or down february 18 9am et	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$0	0x404ef0…
02-18 10:08:24	bitcoin up or down february 18 5am et	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xc604ef…
02-18 09:57:08	bitcoin up or down february 18 9am et	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xb4b3eb…
02-18 09:41:34	bitcoin up or down february 18 9am et	Up	BUY	24	49¢	$12	0xc432ef…
02-18 09:32:30	bitcoin up or down february 18 5am et	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x19d61e…
02-18 08:04:44	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x1f7bee…
02-17 21:12:21	Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	BUY	150	20¢	$30	0x51dda2…
02-17 21:12:03	Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x99ed2b…
02-17 16:59:29	bitcoin up or down february 17 12pm et	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xd5cb01…
02-17 16:34:57	bitcoin up or down february 17 12pm et	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x8a96ae…
02-17 15:13:55	bitcoin up or down february 17 11am et	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xbdcb56…
02-17 15:13:55	bitcoin up or down february 17 11am et	Down	BUY	11	49¢	$5	0xb51caf…
02-17 15:13:55	bitcoin up or down february 17 11am et	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xa02a7c…
02-17 15:13:55	bitcoin up or down february 17 11am et	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5853ef…
02-17 15:04:11	bitcoin up or down february 17 11am et	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x07a5af…
02-17 14:31:19	bitcoin up or down february 17 10am et	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x375ce1…
02-17 14:27:13	bitcoin up or down february 17 10am et	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xaabaad…
02-15 15:56:19	bitcoin up or down february 15 11am et	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x2b0c55…
02-15 15:45:33	bitcoin up or down february 15 11am et	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x5f039e…
02-15 14:42:55	bitcoin up or down february 15 10am et	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xbab502…
02-15 14:12:47	bitcoin up or down february 15 9am et	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xed8b95…
02-15 14:12:45	bitcoin up or down february 15 9am et	Up	BUY	24	49¢	$12	0xbf5066…
02-15 13:42:13	bitcoin up or down february 15 10am et	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x8a1450…
02-15 13:29:59	bitcoin up or down february 15 9am et	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x520772…
02-15 12:46:35	bitcoin up or down february 15 8am et	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x9ce4b3…
02-15 12:46:03	bitcoin up or down february 15 8am et	Up	BUY	27	49¢	$13	0xc52b1a…
02-15 12:46:01	bitcoin up or down february 15 8am et	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$2	0x8b88ed…
02-15 12:01:25	bitcoin up or down february 15 7am et	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x90193f…
02-15 11:50:09	bitcoin up or down february 15 7am et	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x36bca5…
02-15 10:56:25	bitcoin up or down february 15 6am et	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdc3e83…
02-15 10:56:25	bitcoin up or down february 15 6am et	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xb10f48…
02-15 10:56:23	bitcoin up or down february 15 6am et	Up	BUY	26	49¢	$13	0xde15c3…
02-15 10:16:47	bitcoin up or down february 15 6am et	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x33a64a…
02-15 09:53:41	bitcoin up or down february 15 5am et	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x1e8f95…
02-15 09:37:27	bitcoin up or down february 15 5am et	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xa112fa…
02-15 08:53:59	bitcoin up or down february 15 4am et	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x5eff11…
02-15 08:43:17	bitcoin up or down february 15 4am et	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0xa141dd…
02-15 07:33:37	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0xc769c8…
02-13 16:02:03	bitcoin up or down february 13 11am et	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x73e8f7…
02-13 15:02:47	bitcoin up or down february 13 11am et	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x853829…
02-13 15:00:19	bitcoin up or down february 13 10am et	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x72e6b5…
02-13 14:45:45	bitcoin up or down february 13 10am et	Up	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x72c1d4…
02-13 14:02:25	bitcoin up or down february 13 9am et	Down	BUY	30	49¢	$15	0x682620…
02-13 12:54:27	bitcoin up or down february 13 7am et	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0xf76fad…