Informal-Sector — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

39.3%

Resolved

Trades

120

lifetime

Volume

$601

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-19

last 06-13 20:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

40% 100% +$18

Crypto

32% — —

Other

17% — —

Politics

7% 0% $-11

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes		+100	$2	1¢	$1	$-1	06-03 14:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nba lal den 2026 01 20	1	$100	227	0	+227	open	—	01-20 23:36
bitcoin above 80k on january 31	2	$52	143	143	+0	open	—	01-31 14:40
will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on january 31	2	$34	46	46	+0	open	—	01-31 14:34
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 40 64	2	$31	155	155	+0	open	—	02-06 00:47
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	5	$31	120	0	+120	open	—	02-09 02:36
us strike on somalia by february 7 553	2	$21	16	16	+0	open	—	02-10 12:00
bitcoin above 82k on january 31	2	$20	26	26	+0	open	—	01-31 14:34
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	2	$20	15	15	+0	open	—	06-09 02:45
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	3	$17	25	25	+0	open	—	05-24 01:36
ufc son sea1 2026 01 24	1	$14	32	0	+32	open	—	01-25 04:31
ufc jus3 pad 2026 01 24	3	$13	24	0	+24	open	—	01-25 05:08
another us government shutdown by february 14	2	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	02-13 12:31
will bitcoin dip to 80k january 26 1	2	$10	14	14	+0	open	—	01-31 14:41
Will the US strike Somalia next?	2	$10	24	24	+0	open	—	02-05 23:48
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by february 6	2	$10	26	13	+13	open	—	02-06 23:25
will claude 5 be released on february 5 2026	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	02-05 00:12
elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 0 39	2	$8	250	250	+0	open	—	02-06 00:24
btc updown 15m 1773157500	2	$8	10	9	+0	open	—	03-10 15:57
solana above 90 on february 4	3	$7	29	29	+0	open	—	02-04 15:04
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	3	$6	0	18	-18	Yes	$-11	03-02 17:25
us strike on somalia by february 28	3	$6	140	0	+140	open	—	02-07 00:25
bitcoin above 92k on january 20	2	$6	142	0	+142	open	—	01-20 16:27
nhl mon ana 2026 03 06	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	03-07 04:06
bitcoin above 94k on january 20	1	$5	25	0	+25	open	—	01-19 23:40
solana above 130 on january 27	1	$5	312	0	+312	open	—	01-27 11:55
will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	2	$5	37	0	+37	open	—	02-13 12:39
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	1	$5	17	0	+17	open	—	03-10 15:50
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$5	22	0	+22	open	—	03-10 17:30
bitcoin above 78k on february 1	1	$5	31	0	+31	open	—	02-01 16:06
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-03 23:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 20:12:19	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14	Ciryl Gane	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x038ff4…
06-11 00:35:25	ufc aie sea1 2026 06 14 zahabi win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x4af5d9…
06-11 00:34:40	ufc cir ale30 2026 06 14 go the distance	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x2968c8…
06-11 00:33:00	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb5a18e…
06-11 00:32:36	ufc mic12 mau4 2026 06 14	Michael Chandler	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x74ecb5…
06-11 00:32:09	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14	Justin Gaethje	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x693fd4…
06-10 01:01:58	nhl car las 2026 06 09	Hurricanes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x5f2ed9…
06-10 00:27:33	nhl car las 2026 06 09	Hurricanes	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x255b05…
06-09 02:45:33	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0xdcd913…
06-09 01:08:33	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x67b6cf…
06-03 14:45:16	Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0x77da5a…
06-03 01:01:54	Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xf0532b…
06-03 00:03:48	Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0xee6024…
05-31 16:52:33	Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	BUY	23	2¢	$0	0x41757a…
05-31 14:00:29	Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x37d73c…
05-24 01:36:09	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	SELL	25	40¢	$10	0x36d130…
05-23 23:20:14	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	11	22¢	$2	0x976cdc…
05-23 23:09:07	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xcc31f2…
05-22 00:37:38	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x5ddf57…
05-09 18:44:10	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf265f5…
05-08 03:31:57	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xad952f…
05-03 23:33:26	Will Montreal Canadiens advance to Round 2 of the 2026 NHL Playoffs?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xfa73b3…
05-03 23:11:10	NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. Lightning	Habs	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x0b7c2e…
04-11 01:04:01	will trump attend ufc 327	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe988d1…
03-10 17:34:15	will iran strike israel on march 10	No	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x8d2105…
03-10 17:30:47	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x00fca7…
03-10 15:57:01	btc updown 15m 1773157500	Up	SELL	9	60¢	$6	0x4371dd…
03-10 15:52:37	btc updown 15m 1773157500	Up	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x271378…
03-10 15:50:11	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x1dc949…
03-10 15:50:05	will bitcoin reach 85k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0xb3d517…
03-08 00:11:17	will big ai be out as 1 free app in the us apple store by march 8	No	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xa0eafd…
03-07 04:06:41	nhl mon ana 2026 03 06	Ducks	SELL	4	89¢	$3	0x51e783…
03-07 03:25:53	nhl mon ana 2026 03 06	Ducks	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x2a3fa2…
03-02 17:25:03	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x41f581…
03-02 17:24:59	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0xfd6458…
03-02 17:24:47	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x82aaa2…
02-28 21:11:41	nothing ever happens khamenei	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x127654…
02-28 21:09:53	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	4	94¢	$4	0x78ae47…
02-28 19:17:57	will us or israel strike iran on march 1 2026	No	BUY	44	4¢	$2	0x5e95af…
02-28 19:17:47	iran strike on israel by february 28	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xc11301…
02-25 11:19:28	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xc75ccd…
02-25 00:46:46	will trump say biden during the state of the union address 567	No	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x9d5262…
02-25 00:46:32	will trump say zohran or mamdani during the state of the union address 273	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xce8db8…
02-24 23:30:32	will trump say million or billion or trillion 15 times during the 2026 state of the union address 296	No	BUY	37	8¢	$3	0x9e239b…
02-22 01:48:58	ufc mic6 zac5 2026 02 21	Pereira	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xeeb013…
02-22 01:39:08	ufc mic6 zac5 2026 02 21	Pereira	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x8c5eb4…
02-21 22:40:48	the ring high stakes ryan garcia vs mario barrios	Garcia	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xa685d0…
02-15 02:00:49	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 7 million	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x79e7e5…
02-15 02:00:13	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 12 million 218	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xaaca0f…
02-13 12:39:05	will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x11b97b…
02-13 12:38:03	Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x9d5e70…
02-13 12:31:13	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x266f3a…
02-11 14:10:13	will trump and netanyahu handshake last 26 seconds by february 13 2026	Yes	SELL	11	19¢	$2	0x59c286…
02-11 11:52:35	will trump and netanyahu handshake last 26 seconds by february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x025e90…
02-11 11:23:41	btc updown 15m 1770808500	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x082416…
02-10 12:00:57	us strike on somalia by february 7 553	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0x703aac…
02-10 11:58:45	another us government shutdown by february 14	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x1ee937…
02-09 18:25:35	will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0xa0e008…
02-09 18:23:37	will bitcoin reach 80000 in february 298	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xe51d72…
02-09 18:23:31	will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xb15291…
02-09 03:12:25	will the gatorade shower at super bowl lx be orange	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x6692f2…
02-09 02:36:17	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Patriots	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x47ade8…
02-09 01:58:27	will the gatorade shower at super bowl lx be purple	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x16fd24…
02-09 01:58:19	will the gatorade shower at super bowl lx be greenyellow	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x51f57a…
02-09 01:58:11	will the gatorade shower at super bowl lx be orange	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xdfd55a…
02-09 01:20:53	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Patriots	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x6fa39b…
02-09 00:04:59	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Patriots	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x9e4334…
02-07 12:38:49	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Patriots	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xd39cbb…
02-07 00:25:51	us strike on somalia by february 28	No	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x27a710…
02-07 00:21:13	us strike on somalia by february 28	No	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x891db6…
02-06 23:25:15	will trump admin release any more epstein related files by february 6	No	SELL	13	32¢	$4	0x24b97b…
02-06 23:02:13	will trump admin release any more epstein related files by february 6	No	BUY	26	23¢	$6	0xcc8e1b…
02-06 11:48:13	nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	Patriots	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0xec0119…
02-06 00:47:17	elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 40 64	Yes	SELL	155	17¢	$26	0xdff2a7…
02-06 00:24:01	elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 0 39	Yes	SELL	250	3¢	$8	0xb78549…
02-05 23:48:43	Will the US strike Somalia next?	No	SELL	24	27¢	$6	0xeb9241…
02-05 15:47:27	will the price of solana be between 80 90 on february 5	No	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x4b7a4b…
02-05 15:45:15	will the price of solana be between 70 80 on february 5	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xf3a476…
02-05 02:58:21	will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 4	Yes	SELL	13	21¢	$3	0xe42fb3…
02-05 00:15:23	Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x49d90b…
02-05 00:15:11	Will the US strike Somalia next?	No	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x99ec1b…
02-05 00:12:37	will claude 5 be released on february 5 2026	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x0d323e…
02-04 20:46:35	will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 4	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0xa87539…
02-04 15:04:44	solana above 90 on february 4	No	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0x96487a…
02-04 15:02:46	solana above 90 on february 4	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x933996…
02-04 04:02:36	elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 0 39	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x0750f3…
02-04 04:02:20	elon musk of tweets february 5 february 7 40 64	Yes	BUY	155	3¢	$5	0x03ed91…
02-04 03:33:50	will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 4	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x505f96…
02-04 03:25:46	us strike on somalia by february 7 553	No	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xc8ff0d…
02-04 03:24:48	us strike on somalia by february 28	No	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x5e154c…
02-03 18:29:00	solana above 100 on february 4	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xe77add…
02-03 18:28:54	solana above 90 on february 4	No	BUY	29	10¢	$3	0x296daa…
02-03 17:58:36	will the price of bitcoin be less than 80000 on february 4	No	BUY	45	4¢	$2	0xba3e50…
02-03 17:57:00	bitcoin above 80k on february 4	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x19fde4…
02-02 11:51:12	solana above 110 on february 2	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0x23f04a…
02-02 11:43:56	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on february 2	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x207313…
02-02 11:42:52	bitcoin above 80k on february 2	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x19fdaf…
02-02 11:42:36	bitcoin above 78k on february 2	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xc0a3dc…
02-01 16:06:06	bitcoin above 78k on february 1	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x664fc9…
01-31 14:41:26	will bitcoin dip to 80k january 26 1	Yes	SELL	14	53¢	$7	0x9e5dd9…