Aggressive-Federation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$126

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$147

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 05-08 07:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 80% $-126

Other

10% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 4h 1772845200	1	$1.0K	1,786	0	+1,786	open	—	03-07 02:03
btc updown 4h 1772787600	3	$613	1,496	1,481	+15	open	—	03-06 11:53
eth updown 4h 1772830800	1	$508	794	0	+794	open	—	03-07 00:18
btc updown 4h 1772701200	2	$499	780	0	+780	open	—	03-05 09:56
btc updown 4h 1772730000	1	$464	1,160	0	+1,160	open	—	03-05 17:20
btc updown 4h 1772715600	3	$438	1,216	1,216	+0	open	—	03-05 15:22
dota2 ess iac 2026 03 19	1	$162	577	0	+577	open	—	03-19 06:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$156	173	0	+173	Up	$-156	05-08 07:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	1	$147	156	0	+156	Down	+$9	05-07 22:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$135	147	0	+147	Up	+$12	05-07 06:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	2	$131	139	0	+139	Up	+$8	05-06 10:04
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	1	$126	131	0	+131	open	—	04-24 23:24
eth updown 4h 1772859600	2	$120	200	0	+200	open	—	03-07 06:40
btc updown 4h 1777032000	1	$118	126	0	+126	open	—	04-24 15:10
nba atl det 2026 03 25	1	$110	197	0	+197	open	—	03-26 01:06
atp vukic baadi 2026 03 30	1	$101	113	0	+113	open	—	03-30 12:46
cs2 mnte 9ine 2026 03 25	1	$94	152	0	+152	open	—	03-25 14:36
dota2 tundra ts8 2026 03 14	1	$84	106	0	+106	open	—	03-14 09:16
xrp updown 4h 1774958400	1	$61	66	0	+66	open	—	03-31 14:32
cs2 g2a innerc 2026 03 11	1	$51	83	0	+83	open	—	03-11 10:18
nhl ott wsh 2026 03 18	1	$45	100	0	+100	open	—	03-19 00:41
btc updown 4h 1774987200	2	$41	822	0	+822	open	—	03-31 23:21
xrp updown 4h 1775030400	2	$28	692	0	+692	open	—	04-01 11:45
eth updown 4h 1775016000	1	$25	27	0	+27	open	—	04-01 06:00
cs2 csdiil mana 2026 03 25	1	$24	110	0	+110	open	—	03-25 13:43
eth updown 4h 1774958400	1	$14	479	0	+479	open	—	03-31 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$8	8	0	+8	Down	+$0	05-08 02:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 07:16:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	173	90¢	$156	0xa5b816…
05-08 02:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x5d53dd…
05-07 22:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	156	94¢	$147	0x1c13a2…
05-07 06:54:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	147	92¢	$135	0xcb85bd…
05-06 10:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	119	94¢	$112	0x098679…
05-06 10:03:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xa3288b…
04-24 23:24:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	131	96¢	$126	0x28ab0f…
04-24 15:10:22	btc updown 4h 1777032000	Down	BUY	126	94¢	$118	0x8e528c…
04-01 11:45:13	xrp updown 4h 1775030400	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x4c8277…
04-01 11:44:33	xrp updown 4h 1775030400	Up	BUY	682	4¢	$27	0x9fb65b…
04-01 06:00:17	eth updown 4h 1775016000	Up	BUY	27	93¢	$25	0x74b88f…
03-31 23:21:43	btc updown 4h 1774987200	Down	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x967322…
03-31 23:21:43	btc updown 4h 1774987200	Down	BUY	816	5¢	$41	0x6f3e85…
03-31 14:32:17	xrp updown 4h 1774958400	Up	BUY	66	93¢	$61	0x3e2b79…
03-31 14:19:05	eth updown 4h 1774958400	Down	BUY	479	3¢	$14	0xbc6961…
03-30 12:46:42	atp vukic baadi 2026 03 30	Aleksandar Vukic	BUY	113	89¢	$101	0xd1a9ed…
03-26 01:06:19	nba atl det 2026 03 25	Pistons	BUY	197	56¢	$110	0xb87fd6…
03-25 14:36:59	cs2 mnte 9ine 2026 03 25	9INE	BUY	152	62¢	$94	0x231ad2…
03-25 13:43:37	cs2 csdiil mana 2026 03 25	CSDIILIT	BUY	110	22¢	$24	0x421241…
03-19 06:54:13	dota2 ess iac 2026 03 19	Team Essence	BUY	577	28¢	$162	0x68a9be…
03-19 00:41:33	nhl ott wsh 2026 03 18	Capitals	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xb869dc…
03-14 09:16:27	dota2 tundra ts8 2026 03 14	Team Spirit	BUY	106	79¢	$84	0x0d8016…
03-11 10:18:11	cs2 g2a innerc 2026 03 11	Inner Circle Academy	BUY	83	61¢	$51	0x099205…
03-07 06:40:11	eth updown 4h 1772859600	Down	BUY	112	60¢	$67	0xb0eb74…
03-07 06:39:57	eth updown 4h 1772859600	Down	BUY	88	60¢	$53	0xb53e53…
03-07 02:03:03	btc updown 4h 1772845200	Down	BUY	1,786	56¢	$1,000	0x0fd708…
03-07 00:18:43	eth updown 4h 1772830800	Up	BUY	794	64¢	$508	0x6e1cfd…
03-06 11:53:17	btc updown 4h 1772787600	Up	SELL	1,481	1¢	$15	0xd01933…
03-06 10:07:03	btc updown 4h 1772787600	Up	BUY	1,060	40¢	$424	0xb58584…
03-06 10:07:03	btc updown 4h 1772787600	Up	BUY	436	40¢	$174	0x539ff2…
03-05 17:20:43	btc updown 4h 1772730000	Up	BUY	1,160	40¢	$464	0xe9869a…
03-05 15:22:51	btc updown 4h 1772715600	Up	SELL	1,216	5¢	$61	0x4f3615…
03-05 13:36:11	btc updown 4h 1772715600	Up	BUY	1,184	31¢	$367	0xf74905…
03-05 13:36:11	btc updown 4h 1772715600	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x8c72f4…
03-05 09:56:43	btc updown 4h 1772701200	Up	BUY	304	64¢	$195	0xafa1ee…
03-05 09:56:43	btc updown 4h 1772701200	Up	BUY	476	64¢	$305	0x265890…