Sweet-Distribution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

76.8%

Resolved

100

Trades

904

lifetime

Volume

$1.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$20

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 06-05 13:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 68% $-2

Politics

1% — —

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 256 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No		+11	$10	97¢	$10	+$0	06-04 12:51
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No		+11	$10	93¢	$10	+$0	06-04 13:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$50	50	0	+50	open	—	04-27 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	4	$32	34	0	+34	open	—	04-27 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	4	$27	28	0	+28	open	—	04-27 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	3	$21	22	0	+22	open	—	04-27 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	6	$17	20	3	+17	open	—	04-28 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	6	$17	18	5	+13	open	—	04-27 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	7	$17	11	11	+0	open	—	04-28 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	12	$16	30	14	+16	open	—	04-28 10:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	5	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-28 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	5	$13	14	3	+12	open	—	04-27 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	4	$12	9	6	+4	open	—	04-28 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	3	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	04-28 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	4	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	04-28 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$11	13	0	+13	open	—	04-27 20:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	2	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	04-27 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	3	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	04-28 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	4	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	04-28 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	6	$10	12	3	+8	open	—	04-28 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	04-27 15:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-28 00:50
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	06-04 13:14
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	06-04 12:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	4	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-27 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-27 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	5	$9	10	1	+9	open	—	04-29 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	5	$9	10	3	+8	open	—	04-28 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	4	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	05-04 10:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	3	$8	10	4	+6	open	—	04-28 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	4	$8	8	2	+6	open	—	04-28 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	4	$8	10	2	+8	open	—	04-29 11:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 13:08:10	btc updown 5m 1780664700	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa315d4…
06-04 13:14:51	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x083098…
06-04 13:08:45	btc updown 5m 1780578300	Down	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x3553dd…
06-04 13:07:52	btc updown 5m 1780578300	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x7b2a55…
06-04 12:51:01	Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x9578fc…
06-04 12:29:51	btc updown 5m 1780575900	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xf16e6c…
06-04 12:26:55	btc updown 5m 1780575900	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x1c8d74…
06-04 12:22:00	btc updown 5m 1780575600	Up	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x6e8c46…
06-04 12:21:16	btc updown 5m 1780575600	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xac49e5…
06-04 11:31:30	btc updown 5m 1780572600	Up	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xf3a7e6…
06-04 11:31:12	btc updown 5m 1780572600	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xad5852…
06-03 14:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$1	0x60f862…
06-03 14:23:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa465be…
05-27 20:02:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x5299e3…
05-15 15:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xca4346…
05-13 15:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x44ecbb…
05-13 15:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x5f2cb0…
05-13 15:56:05	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xbaed95…
05-12 11:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x079662…
05-11 18:44:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xa7039c…
05-11 18:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x233cd2…
05-11 18:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x30df0a…
05-11 18:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc5efa5…
05-11 18:28:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x069167…
05-11 16:40:16	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x2d9bc7…
05-11 16:37:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x383bdd…
05-11 16:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x61d373…
05-09 11:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x3bdda8…
05-08 15:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x153882…
05-08 15:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf00e95…
05-08 15:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf69f30…
05-08 11:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x841cd3…
05-08 11:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0xd183f5…
05-08 11:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x822102…
05-08 11:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xf17c27…
05-08 11:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xb865cc…
05-08 11:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x59bd1d…
05-08 11:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xba1f43…
05-08 11:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xf6508e…
05-08 11:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xed74af…
05-08 10:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x1b2879…
05-08 10:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x214f19…
05-08 10:56:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x087003…
05-08 10:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x07d06e…
05-08 10:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xef9cb4…
05-07 13:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$1	0x8825f4…
05-07 13:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd3a800…
05-07 11:21:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa5421c…
05-07 11:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xb836c7…
05-07 11:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x64bd67…
05-07 11:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc16446…
05-07 10:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x631bb0…
05-07 10:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x099c5d…
05-07 10:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x62422e…
05-07 10:08:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	27¢	$0	0x016315…
05-07 10:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x8c4c2f…
05-07 10:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x04b993…
05-07 10:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x090b3c…
05-07 10:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x29fa26…
05-06 22:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0xae04bb…
05-06 22:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x52d458…
05-06 22:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc6f07b…
05-06 22:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x34e4c0…
05-06 22:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x846bb5…
05-06 22:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x6bae82…
05-06 22:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x59fe06…
05-06 22:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x9421e4…
05-06 22:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xeb9612…
05-06 22:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xe2806b…
05-06 22:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xdbf746…
05-06 22:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5774ca…
05-06 22:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x5efb26…
05-06 22:12:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xd0fdcc…
05-06 19:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x764d50…
05-06 16:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	75¢	$1	0x4c26e3…
05-06 16:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xdb8698…
05-06 15:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x579ec3…
05-06 15:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x9e1049…
05-06 15:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xb3d22c…
05-06 15:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xcec6bc…
05-06 15:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x8406d6…
05-06 15:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$1	0xfec577…
05-06 15:32:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0xcdefdf…
05-06 15:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xdd226b…
05-06 15:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x55c1db…
05-06 15:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x9b8a5a…
05-06 15:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x768d1a…
05-06 15:26:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x61f244…
05-06 15:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5c9485…
05-06 15:23:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xb92ee1…
05-06 15:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x875c0f…
05-06 15:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	80¢	$1	0x467bdf…
05-06 15:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa0e147…
05-06 15:12:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x79a708…
05-06 15:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x6a00cc…
05-06 15:08:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x2d3097…
05-06 15:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xbabb77…
05-06 15:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0xa6c7e3…
05-06 15:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x1aa80a…
05-06 15:02:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xd62173…