Conscious-Peacock — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.3%

Resolved

Trades

108

lifetime

Volume

$707

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 07-31 20:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

44% 50% +$4

Other

40% — —

Politics

11% — —

Sports

3% 100% +$6

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	3	$65	45	45	+0	open	—	05-24 08:06
will the price of ethereum be between 3100 3200 on january 13	2	$39	31	31	+0	open	—	01-13 15:17
will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	2	$34	31	31	+0	open	—	03-03 18:20
will the price of bitcoin be between 90000 92000 on january 8	2	$30	23	23	+0	open	—	01-08 16:04
will russia capture kostyantynivka by january 31	1	$30	40	0	+40	open	—	01-10 22:39
bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 9am et	2	$26	18	18	+0	open	—	07-30 13:37
will the price of bitcoin be less than 70000 on february 9	2	$26	26	26	+0	open	—	02-08 21:57
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	2	$23	14	14	+0	open	—	05-24 08:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$23	15	15	+0	open	—	05-24 08:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	04-29 07:50
mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	2	$17	28	28	+0	open	—	07-02 08:09
Fed rate hike in 2026?	2	$17	20	20	-0	open	—	06-19 11:16
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$15	20	0	+20	open	—	03-12 21:26
dota2 ty navi 2026 02 14	3	$13	51	0	+51	open	—	02-14 21:04
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	03-12 21:22
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$10	16	16	+0	open	—	03-03 07:17
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	1	$10	62	0	+62	open	—	01-23 21:34
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)	1	$10	16	0	+16	Yaroslav Amosov	+$6	05-08 08:36
will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 16	1	$10	34	0	+34	open	—	01-15 21:18
will the price of ethereum be between 3400 3500 on january 20	1	$10	56	0	+56	open	—	01-17 21:19
will russia capture all of pokrovsk by march 31	1	$10	28	0	+28	open	—	02-08 21:31
will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on february 13	1	$10	29	0	+29	open	—	02-12 22:32
will israel strike gaza on february 20 2026	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	02-17 22:41
will the price of bitcoin be between 90000 92000 on january 14	1	$10	29	0	+29	open	—	01-13 15:26
dota2 liquid navi 2026 02 15	2	$10	25	0	+25	open	—	02-15 19:27
bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 4pm et	2	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	07-29 20:10
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	05-28 17:53
boxing tyson fury vs arslanbek makhmudov	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-11 21:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8AM ET	2	$10	11	11	+0	Down	$-0	05-06 11:48
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	2	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	06-10 19:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-01 08:43:27	ethereum up or down august 1 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xab05ce…
07-31 20:29:51	bnb up or down july 31 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x1b8661…
07-31 20:29:03	solana up or down july 31 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x0b808e…
07-31 14:46:06	bitcoin up or down july 31 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x23c590…
07-30 21:38:12	solana up or down july 30 2026 5pm et	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0x130570…
07-30 20:05:18	solana up or down july 30 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x76dcbc…
07-30 19:54:20	sol updown 4h 1785427200	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x99dfc3…
07-30 15:37:18	btc updown 4h 1785412800	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xb45bcc…
07-30 13:47:08	ethereum up or down july 30 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x603ef7…
07-30 13:41:18	ethereum up or down july 30 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x035381…
07-30 13:37:11	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 9am et	Down	SELL	18	87¢	$16	0x1ebfec…
07-30 12:52:47	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xea8c21…
07-30 11:20:51	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xd428b0…
07-30 11:08:39	ethereum up or down july 30 2026 7am et	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x4a71a5…
07-30 10:55:14	ethereum up or down july 30 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x5aabbd…
07-30 10:40:41	hype updown 15m 1785408300	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x2c4d78…
07-30 10:36:36	xrp updown 15m 1785407400	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xe7c89c…
07-30 08:54:57	bitcoin up or down july 30 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xd9fdaa…
07-30 08:54:29	ethereum up or down july 30 2026 5am et	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xce9d91…
07-29 20:58:39	sol updown 4h 1785355200	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf8ebcc…
07-29 20:10:08	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0xc25f8d…
07-29 20:09:53	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x62a5db…
07-29 19:19:42	ethereum up or down july 29 2026 3pm et	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xc8d72d…
07-29 14:10:08	ethereum up or down july 29 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x74c6f0…
07-29 14:07:26	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xc84710…
07-29 10:40:29	btc updown 4h 1785312000	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xe587c3…
07-29 10:39:17	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 6am et	Down	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x746132…
07-29 10:16:02	bitcoin up or down july 29 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x0e6a48…
07-28 18:22:22	btc updown 15m 1785262500	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x90585e…
07-25 21:16:16	bitcoin up or down on july 26 2026	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xa70476…
07-23 20:22:27	bitcoin up or down on july 24 2026	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x5b3585…
07-23 08:03:39	bitcoin up or down on july 23 2026	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6033d4…
07-22 16:24:19	btc updown 15m 1784737800	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa99df0…
07-20 13:54:42	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1	No	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xb2595c…
07-16 20:06:02	btc updown 5m 1784232300	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xe809da…
07-16 11:26:35	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xa2ff29…
07-02 08:09:59	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	Yes	SELL	28	25¢	$7	0xb3a95e…
06-30 17:24:14	dota2 stx invisi 2026 06 30	Invision	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x05111b…
06-27 15:08:47	dota2 pr1 yes 2026 06 27	Power Rangers	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x5b1ac1…
06-27 10:47:44	dota2 navi huliga 2026 06 27	Natus Vincere	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xb5c13f…
06-26 18:30:19	dota2 pr1 bald 2026 06 26	Team Bald	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x85bb56…
06-25 13:03:08	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827	Yes	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x8ff7b7…
06-19 11:16:31	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0xc69678…
06-10 19:30:33	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x774771…
06-10 19:29:01	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 30 848 925 757 129 337	Yes	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0xb51d73…
06-10 19:24:31	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0xcb358d…
05-31 10:02:29	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xa530de…
05-28 18:01:27	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x716a69…
05-28 17:53:45	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x75f08f…
05-26 11:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x71a62d…
05-24 08:07:32	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$13	0xa47bd6…
05-24 08:07:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	15	83¢	$13	0x6dace8…
05-24 08:06:04	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x56cc54…
05-23 23:05:53	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x7aacbe…
05-23 23:00:25	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x27f3b1…
05-19 20:48:26	Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Natus Vincere	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xe82ca1…
05-16 10:34:05	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	Nigma Galaxy	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xa3d697…
05-16 10:33:21	Dota 2: PlayTime vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	Natus Vincere	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x7a1580…
05-15 17:42:49	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Team Falcons	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x229a52…
05-08 08:36:18	UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)	Yaroslav Amosov	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x91cf9b…
05-06 12:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x877bd9…
05-06 11:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0xc0e82f…
05-06 11:48:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x705d6a…
05-06 08:10:02	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xd027dd…
04-29 07:52:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x22f438…
04-29 07:50:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x986524…
04-14 11:18:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x618115…
04-14 11:16:33	wti up or down on april 14 2026	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x80359e…
04-11 22:12:41	wti up or down on april 13 2026	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xd3f08a…
04-11 21:07:07	boxing tyson fury vs arslanbek makhmudov	Fury	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xf0aa4e…
04-07 11:35:25	btc updown 5m 1775561700	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6b89b5…
03-25 16:59:15	bitcoin up or down march 25 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x0113ba…
03-24 14:41:13	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x88475c…
03-24 14:40:07	will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by march 29	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x5dd339…
03-24 12:22:43	bitcoin up or down on march 24 2026	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa61d4e…
03-24 09:20:31	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x311e21…
03-24 01:07:37	will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by march 29	No	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x68b708…
03-19 21:45:25	btc updown 5m 1773956400	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9110b4…
03-19 21:42:17	btc updown 5m 1773956400	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xd682f9…
03-19 21:39:31	btc updown 5m 1773956100	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x85830f…
03-12 21:26:55	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x8ec50a…
03-12 21:22:27	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	SELL	7	90¢	$7	0x8e58e7…
03-03 18:27:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on march 4	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x8c7647…
03-03 18:23:51	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xb82316…
03-03 18:20:23	will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	No	SELL	31	78¢	$24	0x19916d…
03-03 07:17:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0x2e2e41…
02-28 14:24:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xa4ea8d…
02-23 14:14:04	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase february 24 march 2	No	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x340d24…
02-21 19:39:14	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on february 23	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xb77cca…
02-17 22:41:41	will israel strike gaza on february 20 2026	No	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xa14bb1…
02-15 19:27:41	dota2 liquid navi 2026 02 15	Team Liquid	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x6a5922…
02-15 11:15:23	dota2 liquid navi 2026 02 15	Natus Vincere	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x539059…
02-14 21:04:33	dota2 ty navi 2026 02 14	Natus Vincere	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xafc1c3…
02-14 20:02:25	dota2 ty navi 2026 02 14	Team Yandex	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x01605f…
02-14 18:26:31	dota2 ty navi 2026 02 14	Natus Vincere	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x5d6dbd…
02-12 22:32:05	will the price of bitcoin be between 66000 68000 on february 13	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x80ad3b…
02-08 21:57:49	will the price of bitcoin be less than 70000 on february 9	No	SELL	26	60¢	$16	0x2466ff…
02-08 21:31:03	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by march 31	No	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x6ac8fb…
02-05 16:45:45	will the price of bitcoin be less than 70000 on february 9	No	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xb61f5a…
01-23 21:34:02	us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0xea2c7f…